Bush +15 in South Carolina (user search)
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  Bush +15 in South Carolina (search mode)
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Author Topic: Bush +15 in South Carolina  (Read 29790 times)
© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« on: July 02, 2004, 09:54:00 PM »
Edwards would give Kerry a 1-2% boost.  Not nearly enough however.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2004, 10:03:00 AM »
Quote from: Al on July 03, 2004, 04:19:15 AM

My *guess* for SC (at the moment and presuming that Edwards isn't Kerry's VP pick. If he is the Dems gain in rural SC) is about 52% for Bush and 45% for Kerry.

Two polls have been done: Bush up 10 and Bush up 15.  I say it is about Bush up 12.
If Edwards is the VP choice, Bush wins it by 8 or 9 points.

You are waaay underestimating Bush in the south.  The cultural gap between Kerry and the average southern Dem is big...
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2 on: July 03, 2004, 10:35:22 AM »
What ratio do you assume undecideds will breaks towards Kerry?
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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Posts: 36,562
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« Reply #3 on: July 03, 2004, 10:45:09 AM »
You greatly overestimate Kerry in the south...you are a dreamer
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