No, actually Al is assuming "racial voting" DOES continue. For Kerry is get near 45%, he will need near-universal support from black voters... over 90%.
Whites, on the other hand, are not nearly so driven by race...
Actually he will win over 90% of the Black vote at whatever % he gets in SC.
45% would mean he would win more white voters than Gore did.
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Even if there was no racial voting, Black people would still be strongly Democrat (due to their economic status). However it would be about 70% not the insane 90% totals you see so often...
Underinformed class-based generealization. Rasmussen Research conducted a national telephone survey of 822 likely voters on August 23, 2000 (margin of sampling error +/- 3 percentage points; 95% level of confidence). Aside from finding that 16% of the population, when given the WSPQ, scored libertarian and 2% self-identified as libertarians, the poll also concluded:
African Americans comprise the least number of left liberals (9%) and the highest number of libertarians (21%).
Based on these figures, plenty of African Americans should be voting for moderate Republicans for tax cuts and so forth. That whole poor people vote one way or another plank is overstated, and in the US it is way less predictable than in America. Plenty of our so-called 'trailer trash' people are both poor and solid Republicans.
