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Author Topic: SurveyUSA NH primaries: Clinton Leads, McCain & Giuliani tied  (Read 1486 times)
InsideTheBeltway
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« on: January 29, 2007, 07:35:32 pm »
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Here is a link to the crosstabs for this poll:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a74585b7-563e-438d-af1d-08de962ef7c4

Republicans:

Giulinai 33%
McCain 32%
Romney 21%

Democrats:

Clinton 40%
Obama 25%
Edwards 23%
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2007, 07:40:05 pm »
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To think McCain's losing in a state he solidly carried 8 years ago.
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A Socially Liberal, Fiscally Conservative NE Republican with some Left-Libertarian/3rd Way Leanings. Simply, a Rockefeller Republican.

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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #2 on: January 29, 2007, 07:52:44 pm »
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To think McCain's losing in a state he solidly carried 8 years ago.

It's a year and Huh months away--things WILL change.  Right now, these polls are made so that surveyUSA can make $$$ not show what's gonna happen in 08.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: January 29, 2007, 08:33:43 pm »
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I really hope this poll is wrong. If it isn't we may all be screwed.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: January 29, 2007, 08:46:50 pm »
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I was about to write that Romney's 21% is the highest I've seen him poll anywhere (outside of Utah), but then noticed the strange wording of the poll questions.  The only Democrats they list are Clinton, Edwards, and Obama, and the only Republicans they list are Giuliani, McCain, and Romney.  The poll respondent has the option of choosing "other Democrat" or "other Republican", but still, this wording makes it likely that the respondent will choose one of the three named Democrats or three named Republicans.

Presumably, that's why this poll shows a bigger vote share for both Clinton and Romney than previous NH polls.  the people who would have otherwise gone to someone else went to them in disproportionate numbers.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: January 29, 2007, 09:04:41 pm »
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I was about to write that Romney's 21% is the highest I've seen him poll anywhere (outside of Utah), but then noticed the strange wording of the poll questions.  The only Democrats they list are Clinton, Edwards, and Obama, and the only Republicans they list are Giuliani, McCain, and Romney.  The poll respondent has the option of choosing "other Democrat" or "other Republican", but still, this wording makes it likely that the respondent will choose one of the three named Democrats or three named Republicans.

Presumably, that's why this poll shows a bigger vote share for both Clinton and Romney than previous NH polls.  the people who would have otherwise gone to someone else went to them in disproportionate numbers.


Yeah good find.
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jfern
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« Reply #6 on: February 01, 2007, 03:54:36 am »
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I really hope this poll is wrong. If it isn't we may all be screwed.

IA and NV vote first.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: February 01, 2007, 04:47:54 pm »
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I really hope this poll is wrong. If it isn't we may all be screwed.

IA and NV vote first.

Yeah but NV doesn't look any better (at least at this point). It may be up to Iowa to take Clinton down. Come on she voted against Ethanol people!
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jfern
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« Reply #8 on: February 01, 2007, 04:49:11 pm »
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Yeah but NV doesn't look any better (at least at this point). It may be up to Iowa to take Clinton down. Come on she voted against Ethanol people!

She's not doing so hot in IA.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_Democratic_Party_%28United_States%29_presidential_primaries%2C_2008#Iowa
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #9 on: February 01, 2007, 05:01:41 pm »
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I really hope this poll is wrong. If it isn't we may all be screwed.

What makes you say that?
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