Who would win these congressional races in 2008?
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  Who would win these congressional races in 2008?
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Author Topic: Who would win these congressional races in 2008?  (Read 987 times)
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« on: February 03, 2007, 05:13:12 PM »

DE-AL:
Minner v. Castle

MT-AL:
SChweitxer v. Rehnburg

ND-AL:
Hoeven v. Pomeroy

SD-AL:
ROunds v. Herseth

VT-AL:
Douglas v. Welch

WY-AL:
Freudenthal v. Cubin


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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2007, 05:18:49 PM »

DE-AL:
Minner v. Castle

MT-AL:
SChweitxer v. Rehnburg

ND-AL:
Hoeven v. Pomeroy

SD-AL:
ROunds v. Herseth

VT-AL:
Douglas v. Welch

WY-AL:
Freudenthal v. Cubin

Castle, easily
Toss-up
Hoeven, narrowly
Herseth, narrowly
Welch, easily
Freudenthal, easily
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BRTD
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« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2007, 05:21:19 PM »

Castle
Schweitzer
Hoeven
Herseth
Welch
Freudenthal
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InsideTheBeltway
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« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2007, 05:31:52 PM »

I'll guess some percentages, too:

Delaware:  Castle 56-44
Montana:  Rehberg 51-49(could go the other way)
North Dakota:  Hoeven 57-43
South Dakota:  Herseth 53-47
Vermont:  Welch 52-48
Wyoming:  Freudenthal 58-42
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socaldem
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« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2007, 05:38:38 PM »

Why would a governor run for the House?  Janklow is the only one I can think of who did that and he must've been drunk to do so...

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BRTD
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« Reply #5 on: February 03, 2007, 05:41:06 PM »

Why would a governor run for the House?

Because they have a better chance than the Senate seat (assuming one is even up)

Janklow is the only one I can think of who did that and he must've been drunk to do so...

Castle is a former Governor.
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BRTD
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« Reply #6 on: February 03, 2007, 05:41:32 PM »

I also really want Freudenthal to take on Cubin in 2010.
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socaldem
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« Reply #7 on: February 03, 2007, 06:36:24 PM »

Why would a governor run for the House?

Because they have a better chance than the Senate seat (assuming one is even up)

Janklow is the only one I can think of who did that and he must've been drunk to do so...

Castle is a former Governor.

That's right...  Might Castle retire this year?  He seemed to have been going through some health issues.

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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #8 on: February 05, 2007, 12:06:01 PM »

I don't see why a governor would give up their executive position for a less-prestigious house seat, unless of course they were term-limited or facing a tough reelection battle. (though I'm sure it's happened in the past)
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AndrewTX
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« Reply #9 on: February 05, 2007, 12:21:48 PM »

Why would a governor run for the House?  Janklow is the only one I can think of who did that and he must've been drunk to do so...




 Because sometimes there is nowhere else to go when your term limited. And lets face it, if your coming from a state that only has 3 electorals (North Dakota, Wymoing, Deleware, etc. etc.) your being elected state wide. And when a Senate seat opens, you have a good chance of taking it.


And on for my predictions

DE-AL:
Minner v. Castle

Castle with atleast 58%. Minner is quite unpopular last I heard.

MT-AL:
SChweitxer v. Rehnburg

Toss up, I would say about 52-48 win for either. I would probably throw it to Rehnburg, because Montana might not want to have both seats Democratic, although they had been that way before Burns came in.

ND-AL:
Hoeven v. Pomeroy

Hoeven with about 54%

SD-AL:
ROunds v. Herseth

Herseth with about 55%

VT-AL:
Douglas v. Welch

Toss up, 51%-49% for the winner.  Welch didn't come in with a big margin in 06, which means that could be a possible pick up with the right candidate, since we are talking about a very blue state, in a blue year.

WY-AL:
Freudenthal v. Cubin

Freudenthal with about 99% of the vote. Cubin would be smart to step down in '08, regardless of who runs against her.
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adam
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« Reply #10 on: February 05, 2007, 12:26:23 PM »

I'll guess some percentages, too:

Delaware:  Castle 56-44
Montana:  Rehberg 51-49(could go the other way)
North Dakota:  Hoeven 57-43
South Dakota:  Herseth 53-47
Vermont:  Welch 52-48
Wyoming:  Freudenthal 58-42

This looks about right.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #11 on: February 05, 2007, 06:59:07 PM »

Why would a governor run for the House?  Janklow is the only one I can think of who did that and he must've been drunk to do so...



Because in states with only one cogressional district, statewide representative is often the stepping stone to being senator.
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