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  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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Author Topic: From Today On  (Read 592 times)
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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« on: February 25, 2007, 12:27:01 PM »

I felt like making a timeline, better than my last one and hopefully much more realistic.  Starting with today and ending with w/e I feel like

The 2008 presidential race is heating up and the Democrats have been hit with the news that Tom Vilsack is no longer continuing his candidacy.  We know this so let's move to something not yet, I'll skip to June.

The candidates are as follows:
Democrats: Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich

Republicans: Rudy Guiliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Jim Gilmore, Tommy Thompson, Ron Paul, Duncan Hunter, Sam Brownback, Newt Gingrich

On June 2, 2007, Mike Huckabee officially announces at a rally in Little Rock, Arkansas that he is running for president of the United States.  This creates a momentum for him and is slowing pulling ahead of Romney for third place.

Five days later at a confrence on Global Warming in Boston, Al Gore announces that he has changed his mind and will run for president of the United States.  He immediatley becomes the frontrunner of the nomination.  With this news, and a very poor showing in polls in Iowa and New Hampshire, Chris Dodd announces he is dropping out of the race and throwing his support behind Gore.

In mid-June President Bush announces that the United States of America will begin a phased redeplyoment of troops early next year because of the success of the troop surge.  The success of the surge is helping McCain the most as he is now the frontrunner for the nomination.

New polls are released July 1st showing this result:
Gore 22%                           
Clinton 15%                         
Obama 11%                       
Richardson  9%                 
Edwards 6%
Biden 3%
Gravel 1%
Kuicinich 1%
Other 2%
Undecided 30%

McCain 22%
Huckabee 15%
Guiliani 15%
Romney 9%
Gingrich 7%
Brownback 7%
Tancredo 6%
Thompson 3%
Paul 2%
Gilmore 1%
Hunter 1%
Other 1%
None 11%

What follows is very unexpected, John McCain announces that he is suffering from prostate cancer is no longer able to pursue the nomination.  He refuses to endorse any candidate at this time.  This creates a battle for the top spot among Republican, but this battle does not include Duncan Hunter who has dropped out and is supporting Tancredo, or Jim Gilmore who has dropped out to suppport Sam Brownback.  Al Gore annouces that his campaign will not slow down his efforts to raise awareness for global warming.

The war in Iraq has now taken a better for the better and Bush's approvals ratings crawl up to about 44%.  It is time for the next batch of polls and there is no good news for John Edwards who drops out and supports Al Gore.  Huckabee is now toping the Republicans, yet Brownback is no far back as he has made a surprising jump to number two after receiving the endorsment of Newt Gingrich who decides not to run.  It looks as if Gore will be unstoppable.

The primary season comes and Iowa goes to Al Gore and Sam Brownback suprisingly.  After this it is off to Nevada where Hillary guarantees victory, loses, and drops out in support of Gore.  Brownback and Gore carry NH and it looks like the nominations are close to sewn up.  Guiliani, Huckabee, Brownback, Romney and Tancredo remain for the GOP, only Gore, Richardson, Obama and Kuicinich for the Dems.  Despite some comeback Brownback and Gore do win the nominations.

Here's the maps:
GOP (Gore wins all Dem):


Blue= Brownback
L. Blue= Tancredo
Green= Huckabee
Red= Guiliani
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