Survey USA: Fletcher and Ann Northup in statistical tie

[OC]

Asked of 419 likely Republican Primary voters:

If the Republican primary for Kentucky governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Ernie Fletcher? Billy Harper? Anne Northup? Or, some other Republican?

33% Ernie Fletcher

13% Billy Harper

31% Anne Northup

14% Other

9% Undecided


Asked of 529 likely Democratic Primary voters:

If the Democratic primary for Kentucky governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Steve Beshear? Gatewood Galbraith? Steve Henry? Otis Hensley, Jr.? Bruce Lunsford? Jonathan Miller? Jody Richards? Or, some other Democrat?

15% Steve Beshear

6% Gatewood Galbraith

26% Steve Henry

2% Otis Hensley, Jr.

7% Bruce Lunsford

8% Jonathan Miller

13% Jody Richards

10% Other

14% Undecided

http://www.whas11.com/news/local/stories/030607whasmjdSurveyUSAGovernor.24d91d5f.html

[Gabu]

15% Steve Beshear

6% Gatewood Galbraith

26% Steve Henry

2% Otis Hensley, Jr.

7% Bruce Lunsford

8% Jonathan Miller

13% Jody Richards

10% Other

14% Undecided

Oh Kentucky Democrats, you and your primaries.

[Democratic Hawk]

Is just a plurality of votes required in Kentucky to win the Democratic and Republican gubernatorial nominations?

Dave

[RBH]

Why does SurveyUSA ask "other" when they put every candidate in the question?

Stupid SurveyUSA

[Sam Spade]

Is just a plurality of votes required in Kentucky to win the Democratic and Republican gubernatorial nominations?

Dave

40% is required in order to avoid a runoff, which would occur a month after.

Fletcher being at 33% is not good for him at all.  I expect him to lose the primary with numbers like that at this point in the game.

[Democratic Hawk]

Is just a plurality of votes required in Kentucky to win the Democratic and Republican gubernatorial nominations?

Dave

40% is required in order to avoid a runoff, which would occur a month after.

Thanks Sam

Fletcher being at 33% is not good for him at all.  I expect him to lose the primary with numbers like that at this point in the game.

Would it surprise you to know that I want him to win. The GOP primary, that is

Dave

[RBH]

Even with SurveyUSA's totally undefined geographic regions.. I think they oversampled Western KY in the GOP Primary.

If I had to weigh four regions, I'd do this

for the Dems

Louisville: 25%
Western KY: 30%
North Central KY: 25%
South & East KY: 20%

for the Reps

Louisville: 24%
Western KY: 17%
North Central KY: 26%
South & East KY: 32%

[Yates]

I must say that I am shocked that Jonathan Miller is not among the top three contenders for the Democrats.

[ex-Senator X]

I predict it will end up in this order: 1st Miller
                                                         2nd Beasher
                                                          3rd Richards
                                                            others won't do very well at all

All this poll proves is that survey USA's Kentucky polls are messed up (As is any poll on Kentucky showing Henry leading).   

[ex-Senator X]

I must say that I am shocked that Jonathan Miller is not among the top three contenders for the Democrats.

Survey-USA is no Mason-Dixon

[Adlai Stevenson]

I must say that I am shocked that Jonathan Miller is not among the top three contenders for the Democrats.

[Verily]

Who is Steve Henry, anyway?

[There Are Some Remedies Worse Than The Disease]

Is just a plurality of votes required in Kentucky to win the Democratic and Republican gubernatorial nominations?

Dave

40% is required in order to avoid a runoff, which would occur a month after.

In that case Fletcher is probably finished, since there's no way he can win a runoff against Northrup.

[There Are Some Remedies Worse Than The Disease]

Who is Steve Henry, anyway?

Former Lt. Gov.

[RBH]

Is just a plurality of votes required in Kentucky to win the Democratic and Republican gubernatorial nominations?

Dave

40% is required in order to avoid a runoff, which would occur a month after.

In that case Fletcher is probably finished, since there's no way he can win a runoff against Northrup.

Granted, a Republican runoff only occurs if Billy Harper gets 20%

[adam]

Ernie Fletcher is an ass. I hope Northup crushes him in the primary. Given the merit system investigations, his 32% approval rating, and general lack of competence...it doesn't seem like I am hoping for a lot.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Who is Steve Henry, anyway?

He's explicitly anti-liberal. I won't vote for him.

[Deano963]

Who is Steve Henry, anyway?

He's explicitly anti-liberal. I won't vote for him.

Are there open primaries in Kentucky? If so, you should vote for Fletcher .

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Are there open primaries in Kentucky? If so, you should vote for Fletcher .

Kentucky is a closed primary state.

I can still vote in the Democratic primary, because I never bothered to change my registration to independent. (There is no independent primary, obviously.)

[There Are Some Remedies Worse Than The Disease]

Are there open primaries in Kentucky? If so, you should vote for Fletcher .

Kentucky is a closed primary state.

I can still vote in the Democratic primary, because I never bothered to change my registration to independent. (There is no independent primary, obviously.)

Who are you voting for?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Who are you voting for?

Galbraith.

[HardRCafé]

That's so awesome.