Kerrys Made his Pick.
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  Kerrys Made his Pick.
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Author Topic: Kerrys Made his Pick.  (Read 1914 times)
RReagan4EVER
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« on: July 06, 2004, 07:41:45 AM »

 I am thinking it is looking bad. The Election Prediction Page has Bush winning by 10 Votes, North Carolina is Worth 15.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: July 06, 2004, 07:48:13 AM »

Kerry/Edwards = no chance. Look, these VP choices usually boost a candidate in the polls but come Nov. it's going to be a Bush/Cheney win. Look at 1988, for example. A Massachusetts liberal was nominated for President by the Dems, he picked a popular southern Senator and still lost in a landslide. I'm not doubting that Edwards will help Kerry but he's not going to help in the ways that most Dems hope.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2 on: July 06, 2004, 08:58:04 AM »

Who is Kerry's Willie Horton?
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PBrunsel
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« Reply #3 on: July 06, 2004, 10:40:39 AM »
« Edited: July 06, 2004, 04:44:58 PM by PBrunsel »


Good point Tweed.

The VP can be instrumental to victory, look at LBJ in 1960.

I think Bush-Cheney will have their hands full with Kerry-Edwards.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #4 on: July 06, 2004, 11:28:36 AM »

One thing that Edwards is likely to do is bring in more younger voters in general.  In states like Florida where the local wedge issue that Bush has chosen (toughen the Cuba embargo) alienates the youth vote, Edwards will have a disproportionate impact just because of that.  If the youth vote turns out in Florida more than it has in past elections, Bush will have a very hard time there.
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ATFFL
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« Reply #5 on: July 06, 2004, 01:06:20 PM »


Possibly Willie Horton, actually.
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« Reply #6 on: July 06, 2004, 05:48:10 PM »

and I seriously doubt Kerry will ride in a tank Wink
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JohnFKennedy
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« Reply #7 on: July 06, 2004, 06:02:10 PM »

One thing that Edwards is likely to do is bring in more younger voters in general.  In states like Florida where the local wedge issue that Bush has chosen (toughen the Cuba embargo) alienates the youth vote, Edwards will have a disproportionate impact just because of that.  If the youth vote turns out in Florida more than it has in past elections, Bush will have a very hard time there.

How do you think the Cuban vote will break in Florida this time?

It normally breaks for the Republicans but now that Bush has cut down on the amount of visits that Cubans are allowed to legally make to family in Cuba, will it hurt him there?

What is the reckoning? If the election is as close as last time and Bush loses the Cuban support....It could very well tip the election to Kerry. What are your thoughts?
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Platypus
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« Reply #8 on: July 07, 2004, 01:03:56 AM »

The older Cubans will  still vote GOP, the younger ones...depends, as was said before, on turnout.

Overall the cuban community with go GOp-but by a smaller degree, I predict.
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Akno21
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« Reply #9 on: July 07, 2004, 04:06:18 PM »

Why do Cubans always go GOP?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #10 on: July 07, 2004, 04:08:07 PM »

They think the GOP is tougher against Castro.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #11 on: July 07, 2004, 04:57:44 PM »

They think the GOP is tougher against Castro.

You better hope Castro lives thorugh the election!
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King
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« Reply #12 on: July 07, 2004, 10:40:29 PM »

A saggy boring old New England Senator, running with a upright smooth talking young Southern Senator.

They are too peas in a pod. Wink
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PBrunsel
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« Reply #13 on: July 07, 2004, 10:42:20 PM »

It's not exactly the Boston-Austin Axis of 1960 and 1988, but it is close. Smiley
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dazzleman
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« Reply #14 on: July 08, 2004, 12:19:06 PM »

I think Edwards (aka "the Breck Girl") was a good pick but he clearly has some weaknesses.  The Bush team needs to make people understand how the trial lawyers have pushed up the cost of medical care and effectively made it inaccessible to a larger number of people.  This would hurt the Kerry-Edwards ticket among those who are somewhat economically literate.

It appears that Kerry has decided that Bush cannot win without carrying the entire south, as he did in 2000.  I thought Kerry might go for someone from the southwest, like Arizona or Nevada, because it seemed to me that Bush is more there than in the south.

I would never say that they have no chance.  I think Kerry-Edwards stands a decent chance of winning, and a lot will depend on the quality of the campaigns as well as unforseen and uncontrollable outside events.
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ncjake
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« Reply #15 on: July 11, 2004, 09:46:18 PM »

Second Option
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