Alternative 1984: Howard Baker/Jack Kemp vs. Lloyd Bentsen/Joe Biden

[Robespierre's Jaw]

Here's an electoral match-up from my Timeline in planning. But, for now let's assume that President Reagan declines to run and likewise with Vice President George H.W. Bush. Senate Majority Leader, Howard Baker of Tennessee wins the 1984 GOP nomination. Senator Baker selects New York Congressman Jack Kemp as his running mate. On the Democratic side, Senator Lloyd Bentsen of Texas wins the nomination. Bentsen selects Senator Joe Biden of Delaware as his running mate. The 1984 Presidential Tickets are:

Howard Baker/Jack Kemp (R)
Lloyd Bentsen/Joe Biden (D)

Please produce some maps.

Note: On the poll the Democratic ticket should be Bentsen/Biden

[Robespierre's Jaw]

In the event that Reagan did decide not to run for re-election in 1984,  I think that Bush/Baker would be more likely to be the GOP ticket rather than Baker/Kemp and would have defeated any team the Democrats would have run

That probably would have been the case. However, for the sake of the scenario, let's assume Vice President Bush decides not to seek the Republican Nomination for person reasons. I wonder if the ticket of Baker/Kemp would be re-elected in 1988?