roundup of big state primary calendar news (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 08:42:19 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  roundup of big state primary calendar news (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: roundup of big state primary calendar news  (Read 9493 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: April 18, 2007, 01:43:57 PM »


This obviously makes it more likely that the Jan. 29th primary will be approved by both houses and signed by Crist.  As I speculated upthread, if such a large, influential state ends up ignoring the national party rules wrt the primary scheduling ...


How exactly does a Jan. 29 primary in Florida and Michigan violate DNC and RNC rules ? The 2 states appear to hold their primaries together with SC and all other traditionial primaries/caucuses set by the DNC/RNC are before FL and MI. Can anyone help me out ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: May 16, 2007, 01:30:02 AM »

IL Senate agrees to move the Primary to Feb. 5, 2008.

Gov. Blagojevich will sign it.

http://www.whbf.com/Global/story.asp?S=6520917&nav=0zGo
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2007, 11:12:39 AM »

The Democratic Party of Florida has dropped the idea of holding a separate caucus to award the state's delegates.  They are adamant that the Jan. 29th primary should be what determines the allocation of delegates, but of course the national party rules disallow that:

http://www.sptimes.com/2007/06/11/State/State_Dems_lead_revol.shtml

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

That quote about not disenfranchising the voters is ironic, considering that, with the primary on Jan. 29th, any candidate campaigning in FL will not be able to win any of the delegates, so if all the major candidates campaign there anyway, the vote will be meaningless.  If that's not disenfranchisement, I don't know what is.


The primary voters of FL will certainly be disenfranchised because every major candidate is campaigning there and they are certain to crack the 15% needed to get delegates which they donīt get in the end. So candidates like Gravel who possibly donīt campaign there wonīt get delegates anyway, no matter if he campaigns there or not.

But at least the Democrats are right with their decision not to hold a seperate caucus because, as far as I know, the Republicans face the same problem of delegates being not awarded to their candidates. So if anyone blames the Democrats for voter disenfranchisment, they can just fire back and argue its the Republicans fault, because of the Florida legislature controlled by the GOP and GOP Governor Crist signing the disenfranchising primary date.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: July 04, 2007, 03:39:55 AM »

First, Florida:

It looks like the cutoff date for campaigning in Florida will be August 25th.  Unless Florida moves its primary to some other date in the interim, every Democratic candidate who campaigns in Florida after Aug. 25th will be ineligible to win any of the state's delegates:

Hmm. Thatīs really a problem. Isnīt there a deadline sometimes in September or October when every state has to have itīs primary/caucus date fixed ? What if this is the case lets say in early September that every state has signed their respective date into law and lets say 2 days before the deadline the DNC approves a softening of their rules, so that the votes finally count in the Jan. 29 primary ? No state would have enough time to pass an earlier date before the deadline. Florida has itīs "legitimate rule-softened-primary" and negative publicity about voter disenfranchisement is avoided. Probably this wonīt happen though.

What if status quo prevails and every Democrat who campaigns in FL after August 26 is scrapped of its delegates ?

Do you think that Obama would get above 15% if he doesnīt campaign in the state for the last 5 months ? Would it be better for him to poker and at least hope to get above 15% to get any delegates, while Hillary will campaign there under every circumstance and get NO delegates whatsoever ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #4 on: August 19, 2007, 07:39:29 AM »

I think this makes Mitt Romney the frontrunner now. He could win in IA and NH, gain ground in the coming months in MI and take it on Jan. 15. Later on he could win NV, where heīs currently leading and which would also make up for a "bad" showing in SC.

If thereīs a snowball effect for Romney, heīll enter Supertuesday as the favorite and Rudy Giuliani will be chewing his fingernails ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #5 on: September 05, 2007, 02:02:20 PM »

"You could have state Democratic Party Chairman Brewer telling Democrats to vote in the GOP primary for Ron Paul"

A big LOL to this failed primary system ... Tongue
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 13 queries.