Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 22, 2014, 05:17:33 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2013 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Tender Branson)
| | |-+  SUSA KY Gov Primary: Democrats Tied, Fletcher with small Lead
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: SUSA KY Gov Primary: Democrats Tied, Fletcher with small Lead  (Read 2703 times)
InsideTheBeltway
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 81


View Profile
« on: April 03, 2007, 03:18:47 pm »
Ignore

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=e4aaf314-6f94-448e-bb81-2323ba3f67c8

Democrats:

Steve Henry 20%
Bruce Lunsford 20%
Steve Beshear 15%
Jody Richards 12%
Jonathan Miller 8%
Gatewood Galbraith 8%
Otis Hensley, Jr. 1%
Other  6%
Undecided  9%

Republicans:

Ernie Fletcher 40%
Anne Northup 31%
Billy Harper 16%
Other 9%
Undecided 4%

This is an improvement compared to last month for Lunsford and Fletcher, and a dropoff for Henry and Northup.

The primary is May 22nd.
Logged

Economic score: -0.26
Social score: +8.17

Your score pegs you as economically centrist and socially strongly authoritarian.

My blog (still under construction):

http://electionadvantage.blogspot.com/
Gabu
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28562
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2007, 03:23:57 pm »
Ignore

Go Fletcher! Wink
Logged



"To me, 'underground' sounds like subway trains.  That's the only sound I associate with 'underground'." - Everett
Adlai Stevenson
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3438
United Kingdom


View Profile WWW
« Reply #2 on: April 03, 2007, 03:36:37 pm »
Ignore

I fail to see why Jonathan Miller is not in the lead.
Logged

[img/http://blog.pennlive.com/thrive/2007/08/WINEHOUSE1.jpgimg]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FpJQq8MoR-g
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14669
United Kingdom


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: April 04, 2007, 06:16:55 pm »
Ignore

Go Fletcher! Wink
Logged

Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

Registered in Georgia for Fantasy Politics
TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7938


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: April 04, 2007, 07:21:03 pm »
Ignore

Republicans can give us Kentucky and we'll give them Louisiana, even swap.
Logged

E: -3.25
S: -2.72

On the GOP side, for 2016, look out for Gov. Phill Kline (KS), Gov. Ralph Reed (GA), Gov. JD Hayworth (AZ), Sen. David Vitter (LA), among others.
RBH
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2069


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: April 04, 2007, 08:02:10 pm »
Ignore

I think this poll is slightly ridiculous.

#1) they ask for "other" then they list all the candidates on the ballot

#2) The poll might slightly undersample Eastern KY (bad for Lunsford/Stumbo's numbers) and oversample North Central KY (good for Lunsford/Stumbo)

Ultimately, South Kentucky is where this election is won on the Republican side.

Northup will win Louisville (24% of the vote), Fletcher will win the Lexington area (16% of the vote). South KY (23% of the vote) is up in the air.

Here's a map



Louisville/Frankfort is in orange
Lexington is in green
South KY is in red
Logged

RBH
HardRCafé
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4403
Italy
View Profile
« Reply #6 on: April 05, 2007, 12:29:12 am »
Ignore

I fail to see why Jonathan Miller is not in the lead.

Because they hate him?
Logged

Harry
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18971
United States


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: April 06, 2007, 01:53:41 pm »
Ignore

Republicans can give us Kentucky and we'll give them Louisiana, even swap.
NO!  Don't give them ANYTHING!

It is very important that we hold Louisiana, and take Kentucky and Mississippi this fall.
Logged
HardRCafé
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4403
Italy
View Profile
« Reply #8 on: April 06, 2007, 05:56:53 pm »
Ignore

Hysterical much?
Logged

Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 34156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

View Profile
« Reply #9 on: April 13, 2007, 02:23:49 am »

Republicans can give us Kentucky and we'll give them Louisiana, even swap.
NO!  Don't give them ANYTHING!

It is very important that we hold Louisiana, and take Kentucky and Mississippi this fall.

The Kentucky race will be a close one I think, if Northup is the candidate. She may even win. The climate for the Dems in the state is not all too bad, considering that they got 48% of the Congressional vote last year, to the 49% for the Republicans. In 2004 it was 37-62% and in 2002 it was 32% to 63%. Fletcher won with 55-45 in 2003, which means that if he is the candidate again in 2007 and there´s some good Democratic challenger, I´d give the thumbs up for the Democrats and they may take the seat by between 50 and 53%. KY will almost certainly get closer on the Presidential level in 2008 either.

In Louisiana and Mississippi it´s the other way round. I predict a GOP win.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines