Republicans can give us Kentucky and we'll give them Louisiana, even swap.
It is very important that we hold Louisiana, and take Kentucky and Mississippi this fall.
The Kentucky race will be a close one I think, if Northup is the candidate. She may even win. The climate for the Dems in the state is not all too bad, considering that they got 48% of the Congressional vote last year, to the 49% for the Republicans. In 2004 it was 37-62% and in 2002 it was 32% to 63%. Fletcher won with 55-45 in 2003, which means that if he is the candidate again in 2007 and there´s some good Democratic challenger, I´d give the thumbs up for the Democrats and they may take the seat by between 50 and 53%. KY will almost certainly get closer on the Presidential level in 2008 either.
In Louisiana and Mississippi it´s the other way round. I predict a GOP win.
