Manitoba 2007

[Verily]

The NDP has been called to be elected in La Verendrye and thus won 36 seats, and increase of at least one. Brandon West and River East still too close.

[Verily]

I seem to recall the Liberal platform being described as "overly optimistic", not "the best", but I guess Gerrard is allowed some positive spin.

[Hatman 🍁]

Brandon West will probably go Conservative, since advance polls are usually Conservative

[Verily]

Mitchelson is pulling away in River East. Maybe not close enough to call, but probably PC.

[Hatman 🍁]

Mitchelson is pulling away in River East. Maybe not close enough to call, but probably PC.

Still pretty close, but I think the tories will win it

[Verily]

Only one poll left in Brandon West. The PCs would need a 78-vote lead to take seat (assuming they'd still be ahead after the mandatory recount).

[Hatman 🍁]

Heh, the Greens still finished 2nd in Wolseley

[Hatman 🍁]

Wow, a shout out to Tommy Douglas

[Verily]

Heh, the Greens still finished 2nd in Wolseley

I saw. Good for them to get 12% In Wolseley despite their internal troubles. In fact, they increased their percentage of the vote provincewide by a hair, though admittedly they ran one more candidate than last time.

Still, the Manitoba Greens strike me as more hippie and less good sense than the national Greens.

[Hatman 🍁]

The NDP leads in River East now!

[Verily]

With only one poll to go, too, and a 14-vote margin. That one certainly is a squeaker. It'd be really depressing for the PCs to lose a second long-time incumbent.

[Verily]

The Tories have won Brandon West as a consolation prize.

[Verily]

The last poll is in in River East. Mitchelson has a 49-vote lead, which means a mandatory recount. I guess that's it for tonight.

[Hatman 🍁]

Oh wow, only a 1 seat gain then for the NDP.

1 loss in Brandon, and 2 gains in South Winnipeg.  Otherwise, no change from the last election.

[Hatman 🍁]

Final map



Very interesting; it seems a lot of the NDP massive majorities were shrunk somewhat, but the same can be said about the tories. Both parties gained in some areas while they lost. It looks like the NDP did better in ridings they targetted.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Looking at the Winnipeg map, maybe time to stop worrying about Elmwood-Transcona in the next Federal election?

[Hash]

PV scores from Wiki:

NDP 47.73% (-1.74%)
PC 38.20% (+2.00%)
Liberal 12.36% (-0.83%)
Green 1.33% (+0.37%)
CPC-Manitoba 0.09% (+0.01%)
Ind/None 0.29% (-0.25%)

[Verily]

Looking at the Winnipeg map, maybe time to stop worrying about Elmwood-Transcona in the next Federal election?

IMO, there wasn't much to worry about from the first. Blaikie was a long-time incumbent, but that doesn't mean that the NDP isn't also strong in the riding.

[Hatman 🍁]

Looking at the Winnipeg map, maybe time to stop worrying about Elmwood-Transcona in the next Federal election?

Who was worrying? It's the safest NDP seat in the country. (Least volatile IMO, not the highest %)

[minionofmidas]

Still, the Manitoba Greens strike me as more hippie and less good sense than the national Greens.

It is not possible to be even less good sense, for a Green Party broken out of the 0.5% rural-hippie-communes ghetto, than the Canadian Greens.