East Coast-2008

[GPORTER]

I have decided to begin the posts on each state for the 2008 election. I will be doing each one by region then will be going back and asking questions on particular close states. I am trying to come up with a prediction map.

Please explain on as many of the states in the east as you can. I know that many of you will not agree with me but I think that New York could fall republican? Please explain about how the eastern states would go and by how much and why.

[Verily]

Sorry, but the Republicans can't possibly win a majority of the East Coast any time soon. Giuliani stands no chance at New York against Clinton (even less so than against the other Dems).

Giuliani v Clinton:

D
Maryland
Delaware
New Jersey
New York
Connecticut
Rhode Island
Massachusetts
Maine

?
New Hampshire

R
Virginia
North Carolina
South Carolina
Florida

[Big DaddyTX]

Sorry, but the Republicans can't possibly win a majority of the East Coast any time soon. Giuliani stands no chance at New York against Clinton (even less so than against the other Dems).

Giuliani v Clinton:

D
Maryland
Delaware
New Jersey
New York
Connecticut
Rhode Island
Massachusetts
Maine

?
New Hampshire

R
Virginia
North Carolina
South Carolina
Florida

I would agree with most of that, but I would take New Jersey and Maine, and put it into the undecided part.

[Tender Branson]

A sharp North-South divide.

[CPT MikeyMike]

Best chance for Republicans



Best Chance from Democrats

[Verily]

Best Chance from Democrats

Switch Virginia and West Virginia. Although, frankly, if the Republicans' best chance includes Connecticut, Delaware and New Jersey, the Democrats' best chance includes West Virginia and North Carolina.

[RomneyGekko Situation Hairgel]

Best chance for Dems:



I'd never write off WV.

[Stranger in a strange land]

No Republican will win New Hampshire in 2008, not even Rudy. The War and W are extremely unpopular there. The state has moved sharply to the left in the past few years, and the political dynamics there are starting to resemble those of other new england states.

[SPC]

No Republican will win New Hampshire in 2008, not even Rudy. The War and W are extremely unpopular there. The state has moved sharply to the left in the past few years, and the political dynamics there are starting to resemble those of other new england states.

Tommy Thompson could win it, as he actually has a long-term plan for Iraq.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Psst...West Virginia doesn't touch the ocean, guys.

[Jaggerjack]

I have decided to begin the posts on each state for the 2008 election. I will be doing each one by region then will be going back and asking questions on particular close states. I am trying to come up with a prediction map.

Please explain on as many of the states in the east as you can. I know that many of you will not agree with me but I think that New York could fall republican? Please explain about how the eastern states would go and by how much and why.

The GOP would get thrashed in NY state, which gave Kerry one of his best in 2004... Oh wait, this is the guy who thought all of NY state out of NYC was conservative. Never mind, I'm wasting my time.

[Josh/Devilman88]

Psst...West Virginia doesn't touch the ocean, guys.

I was thinking the same thing but I could be wrong.

[SPC]

I have decided to begin the posts on each state for the 2008 election. I will be doing each one by region then will be going back and asking questions on particular close states. I am trying to come up with a prediction map.

Please explain on as many of the states in the east as you can. I know that many of you will not agree with me but I think that New York could fall republican? Please explain about how the eastern states would go and by how much and why.

The GOP would get thrashed in NY state, which gave Kerry one of his best in 2004... Oh wait, this is the guy who thought all of NY state out of NYC was conservative. Never mind, I'm wasting my time.

Well, NY State excluding NYC gave Kerry 52-48. I'm sure Giuliani would be able to win NY State excluding NYC with about the same margin.

[Kevin]

New Jersey is going to be more competative this time around, Rudy is the left of the Republican party nationally and unlike McCaion he hasn't changed his true colors, Although he has put a diffrent spin on his socially liberal views. 

[adam]

Clinton, most likely. Giuliani may have quite the long shot's chance in New Jersey...but outside of that, I see nothing that would change course from 2004.