Will Demographic Change ship Elections to the Dems?

[Alcon]

These are some of the most confusing poll options I've ever seen...

[Alcon]

These are some of the most confusing poll options I've ever seen...

I think that what is intended is this:

Yes - demographic change will make Democrats win
No - demographic change will make Republicans win
No - demographic change will make Independents win
To hard to tell what will happen

Ohh.  Oy, I thought we were supposed to vote based on partisan identification.

Too hard to tell, and too dependent on situations/candidates, of course.

[Alcon]

Republicans depend on white voters to win elections, so when whites are no longers a majority, will that give teh dems a permanent majority like they have in CA?

There are plenty of areas with majority-minority populations that vote Republican.

[Alcon]

Sam, do you see some level of this same varied social landscape developing among the black population?  I know that in urban Washington (the best example I know of anything ), black areas are gentrifying and traditional black churches are in the odd position of having to appeal to gay whites.  This is liberalizing the churches and the voters, which is kind of an interesting effect to watch.  On the other hand, in the suburbs here - with a booming black population - they have more access to traditional churches.

Is this effect replicated nationally in any form?

[Alcon]

Washington State has a booming black population? I did not know that... I thought Arizona had the fastest growing black population out west.

Mm, not really.

We are having "black flight" to the suburbs, mostly, although I think our black population is increasing faster than our white population.

[Alcon]

There are black people in Washington state?

Yes.  You're obviously forgetting about Mike.