Newfoundland and Labrador 2007

[Verily]

As we have a thread for the Ontario election, which happens a day after this one. This election will be held on October 9, 2007.

The last election was held in 2003, with the following results:

PC: 34 (58.71%)
Lib: 12 (33.05%)
NDP: 2 (6.89%)

Current standings:

PC: 35
Lib: 12
NDP: 1

Polls indicate that this is an impending landslide election. The most recent poll:

March 2007
PC: 73% (+3)
Lib: 19% (nc)
NDP: 9% (nc)

I have not seen a party poll so high in any poll ever. This may be the first shutout election in Canada since New Brunswick 1987, where the Liberals won every single seat on 60.39% of the vote.

[merseysider]

Polls indicate that this is an impending landslide election. The most recent poll:

March 2007
PC: 73% (+3)
Lib: 19% (nc)
NDP: 9% (nc)

I have not seen a party poll so high in any poll ever.

I think the BC Liberals were polling at 74% in the 2001 provincial election (they got 58% of the vote and 77 seats of 79, defeating the NDP government).

From what I know of Newfoundland, some of the rural areas are very, very staunchly Liberal and may even be able to withstand a swing of New Brunswick or British Columbian proportions.

[Harry Hayfield]

The details from 2003:

Turnout: 72.52%

Con: 58.55% winning 34 seats
Lib: 33.11% winning 12 seats
NDP: 6.84% winning 2 seats
Oth: 1.22% winning 0 seats

Poll Change on 2003

Con +14%
Lib -14%
NDP +2%

Seats that would fall on a 14% swing from Lib to Con and their forecast new majority

Bay of Islands: 25% Con majority
Bellevue: 26% Con majority
Carbonbear, Harbour Grace: 21% Con majority
Cartwright, L'anse Au Clair: 10% Con majority
Fortune Bay, Cape La Hune 11% Con majority
Grand Bank: 27% Con majority
Grand Falls, Buchans: 4% Con majority
Port de Grave: 3% Con majority
Twillingate and Fogo: 17% Con majority

[Verily]

Polls indicate that this is an impending landslide election. The most recent poll:

March 2007
PC: 73% (+3)
Lib: 19% (nc)
NDP: 9% (nc)

I have not seen a party poll so high in any poll ever.

I think the BC Liberals were polling at 74% in the 2001 provincial election (they got 58% of the vote and 77 seats of 79, defeating the NDP government).

That was before the NDP changed leaders, though. AFAIK, the N&L Liberals have no plans for a leadership change.

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Perhaps. Or they might switch to the NDP.

[Hatman 🍁]

In a PC landslide election, the NDP will still hold on to the one seat it has. It was just won in a by-election by their new leader, so unless the tories poll higher than they are now, we should still be able to keep it.

I think one of the reasons why the Liberals are tanking is because traditional Liberal supporters like Danny Williams. After all, Williams hates the federal Conservatives and has recently adovated Canadians vote "ABC" - Anything but Conservative. Williams really hates Harper. And Paul McCartney, but that's a different story!

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Rape or murder?