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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
| | |-+  final prediction. mad labor-intensive so please look
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Latest 2008 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
whoblitzell (I-JPN)Map 11-04 87 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 16
EarlAW (D-ON)MapProfile 11-04 53 D +86 200 (-86) 338 (+86) 0 (0) 0
Political Lefty (D-CA)MapProfile 11-03 7 D +126 160 (-126) 378 (+126) 0 (0) 0
Ryne (I-WA)MapProfile 11-03 6 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 0
Jyrki (G-FRA)MapProfile 11-03 1 D +123 163 (-123) 375 (+123) 0 (0) 0
PoliticalJunkie (I-WI)Map 11-03 20 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 0
Aguagon (D-AZ)MapProfile 11-03 13 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 0
Sheliak5 (D-OH)MapProfile 11-03 54 D +127 159 (-127) 379 (+127) 0 (0) 2
FrenchEd (D-NJ)Map 11-03 64 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 12
iammucow (G-NC)Map 11-03 17 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2008 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
TX_1824 (C-TX)MapProfile 11-04 12 D +13 273 (-13) 265 (+13) 0 (0) 7
Hyperfast (D-FL)MapProfile 11-04 16 D +123 163 (-123) 375 (+123) 0 (0) 0
AntonioV (D-FRA)MapProfile 11-04 9 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 6
nyquil_man (D-AR)MapProfile 11-04 25 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 1
tyguy (R-GA)Map 11-04 18 D +26 260 (-26) 278 (+26) 0 (0) 0
cmaff05 (D-WV)MapProfile 11-04 1 D +92 194 (-92) 344 (+92) 0 (0) 0
eridniel (--MD)Map 11-04 16 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 0
DasKaek (I-IN)Map 11-04 15 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 2
CardinalWraith (D-CA)Map 11-04 13 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 1
byelf2007 (D-WA)MapProfile 11-04 40 D +97 189 (-97) 349 (+97) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2008 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
bonncaruso (D-DEU)
by FrenchEd on 2009-05-06 @ 08:41:48
MapProfile 11-04 75 D +123 163 (-123) 375 (+123) 0 (0) 103
CR (--MO)
by faye3 on 2009-02-24 @ 15:33:40
Map 11-03 44 R +4 290 (+4) 248 (-4) 0 (0) 164
tmthforu94 (R-KS)
by tmthforu94 on 2009-02-15 @ 19:16:25
MapProfile 11-03 67 D +9 277 (-9) 261 (+9) 0 (0) 8
FrenchEd (D-NJ)
by FrenchEd on 2009-02-11 @ 05:28:59
Map 11-03 64 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 12
AntonioV (D-FRA)
by AntonioV on 2009-01-03 @ 04:34:13
MapProfile 11-04 9 D +101 185 (-101) 353 (+101) 0 (0) 6
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2008-12-24 @ 06:59:29
Map 11-03 83 D +74 212 (-74) 326 (+74) 0 (0) 15
Chica_Of_Light (D-CA)
by FrenchEd on 2008-12-22 @ 17:03:32
Map 10-30 80 R +154 440 (+154) 98 (-154) 0 (0) 124
Sheliak5 (D-OH)
by FrenchEd on 2008-12-22 @ 16:54:47
MapProfile 11-03 54 D +127 159 (-127) 379 (+127) 0 (0) 2
whoblitzell (I-JPN)
by FrenchEd on 2008-12-22 @ 16:48:57
Map 11-04 87 D +112 174 (-112) 364 (+112) 0 (0) 16
wingindy (D-IN)
by dnul222 on 2008-12-18 @ 19:30:18
Map 11-03 22 D +123 163 (-123) 375 (+123) 0 (0) 48
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: final prediction. mad labor-intensive so please look  (Read 2818 times)
tweed
Miamiu1027
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« on: November 04, 2008, 02:20:16 am »
Ignore



Obama/Biden: 52.82% PV, 349 EVs
McCain/Palin: 45.98%, 189 EVs
Others 1.4% PV, 0 EVs


Alabama: McCain 59, Obama 40, Other 1
Alaska: McCain 56, Obama 42, Other 2
Arizona: McCain 51, Obama 48, Other 1
Arkansas: McCain 54, Obama 45, Other 1

California: Obama 60, McCain 37, Other 3
Colorado: Obama 52, McCain 47, Other 1
Connecticut: Obama 58, McCain 40, Other 2
Delaware: Obama 61, McCain 37, Other 1
DC: Obama 90, McCain 8, Other 2
Florida: Obama 51, McCain 48, Other 1

Georgia: McCain 51, Obama 47, Other 2
Hawaii: Obama 66, McCain 32, Other 2
Idaho: McCain 62, Obama 36, Other 2
Illinois: Obama 60, McCain 39, Other 1
Indiana: McCain 51, Obama 48, Other 1
Iowa: Obama 55, McCain 43, Other 2
Kansas: McCain 57, Obama 41, Other 2
Kentucky: McCain 55, Obama 43, Other 2
Louisiana: McCain 56, Obama 43, Other 1

Maine: Obama 56, McCain 42, Other 2
Maryland: Obama 60, McCain 38, Other 2
Massachusetts: Obama 61, McCain 37, Other 2
Michigan: Obama 55, McCain 44, Other 1
Minnesota: Obama 55, McCain 43, Other 2

Mississippi: McCain 54, Obama 45, Other 1
Missouri: Obama <50, McCain 49, Other 1
Montana: McCain <50, Obama 47, Other 3
Nebraska: McCain 59, Obama 39, Other 2

Nevada: Obama 51, McCain 46, Other 3
New Hampshire: Obama 54, McCain 45, Other 1
New Jersey: Obama 57, McCain 42, Other 1
New Mexico: Obama 54, McCain 45, Other 1
New York: Obama 62, McCain 36, Other 2

North Carolina: McCain <50, Obama 49, Other 1
North Dakota: McCain 50, Obama 48, Other 2

Ohio: Obama 51, McCain 48, Other 1
Oklahoma: McCain 64, Obama 35, Other 1
Oregon: Obama 56, McCain 42, Other 2
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, McCain 46, Other 1
Rhode Island: Obama 60, McCain 38, Other 2

South Carolina: McCain 55, Obama 44, Other 1
South Dakota: McCain 54, Obama 44, Other 2
Tennessee: McCain 56, Obama 43, Other 1
Texas: McCain 55, Obama 44, Other 1
Utah: McCain 59, Obama 37, Other 4

Vermont: Obama 63, McCain 34, Other 3
Virginia: Obama 52, McCain 47, Other 1
Washington: Obama 56, McCain 42, Other 2

West Virginia: McCain 55, Obama 44, Other 1
Wisconsin: Obama 55, McCain 44, Other 1
Wyoming: McCain 61, Obama 37, Other 2
« Last Edit: November 04, 2008, 02:22:08 am by Black Friday »Logged

I wanna contribute to the chaos
I don't wanna watch and then complain,
'cause I am through finding blame
that is the decision that I have made
Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2008, 12:34:16 pm »
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I would be amazed if anyone gets 51 out of 51 states right. I don't think anyone even thought Indiana would be a gain. Myself I think I'm likely to get 49 (50 if Missouri's recount goes to Obama)
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Franzl
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2008, 12:38:12 pm »
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I would be amazed if anyone gets 51 out of 51 states right. I don't think anyone even thought Indiana would be a gain. Myself I think I'm likely to get 49 (50 if Missouri's recount goes to Obama)

I think Lief predicted Indiana correctly.
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Trump 2016
Lief
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« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2008, 05:20:47 pm »
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I would be amazed if anyone gets 51 out of 51 states right. I don't think anyone even thought Indiana would be a gain. Myself I think I'm likely to get 49 (50 if Missouri's recount goes to Obama)

I think Lief predicted Indiana correctly.
Yep. But I got Missouri and Georgia wrong. Sad

edit: Also NE-2 probably. I changed that at the last minute too. Damn.
« Last Edit: November 06, 2008, 05:24:58 pm by Obama is my President. »Logged

THE FRONTRUNNER

tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2008, 08:26:00 pm »
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I got a few states wrong (I'd be surprised if anyone had IN without MO), but I'm pretty happy, despite running the table in '04.  my nationwide PV projection is likely to be just about dead-on at the end of the day; it's currently at 52.5-46.2 nationwide with a considerable amount of King, WA, and Multnomah, OR still hanging in the balance.
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I wanna contribute to the chaos
I don't wanna watch and then complain,
'cause I am through finding blame
that is the decision that I have made
Lunar
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« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2008, 08:27:27 pm »
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I would be amazed if anyone gets 51 out of 51 states right. I don't think anyone even thought Indiana would be a gain. Myself I think I'm likely to get 49 (50 if Missouri's recount goes to Obama)

I had Indiana predicted correctly, but I thought that Obama would be able to eek out a win in MO.  MO + NE-2 = my two mistakes Sad
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