Kerry May Get Primary Challenger
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 02:39:04 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Kerry May Get Primary Challenger
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: How much will Kerry win the Primary by?
#1
He will lose
 
#2
Over 90%
 
#3
Over 75%
 
#4
Over 66%
 
#5
Over 60%
 
#6
50%-60%
 
#7
Under half
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 25

Author Topic: Kerry May Get Primary Challenger  (Read 1441 times)
Adlai Stevenson
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,403
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 18, 2007, 03:49:42 PM »

Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) "may have competition for the Democratic Senate nomination in 2008," reports the Gloucester Times. Defense attorney Edward O'Reilly "said yesterday he will formally announce his bid at this weekend's Democratic Party convention in Amherst."

"The former Gloucester city councilor and School Committee chairman said Kerry's vote to authorize force in Iraq in 2002 is one reason why he's running."

http://politicalinsider.com/
Logged
Rob
Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,277
United States
Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -9.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 18, 2007, 04:01:20 PM »

O'Reilly sounds great. I'd vote for him, but Kerry will win. Sad
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2007, 04:16:28 PM »

With, or by? By a 20% margin, but with 60%.
Logged
Jaggerjack
Fabian_the_Fastman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,369
Thailand


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 18, 2007, 07:18:23 PM »

Hope this challenger kicks Kerry off. Kerry's really unpopular and the last thing I want (next to the GOP winning the White House in 2008) is a Massachusetts senatorial seat falling to the GOP.
Logged
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,003
Latvia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 18, 2007, 07:19:48 PM »

Hope this challenger kicks Kerry off. Kerry's really unpopular and the last thing I want (next to the GOP winning the White House in 2008) is a Massachusetts senatorial seat falling to the GOP.

I wouldn't worry about it. I doubt either Corsi or Healey can beat Kerry.
Logged
Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: May 18, 2007, 07:21:00 PM »

Hope this challenger kicks Kerry off. Kerry's really unpopular and the last thing I want (next to the GOP winning the White House in 2008) is a Massachusetts senatorial seat falling to the GOP.

He's not at all unpopular around Democrats.  It's Republicans and to a much lesser extent Independents who are dragging him down - just the sort who aren't likely (or perhaps even able - I don't know their primary rules) to vote in the primary.  And once the primary's over, the Republicans don't have a single credible candidate in the entire state, so I don't particularly anticipate a very difficult battle for Kerry.
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: May 18, 2007, 08:34:39 PM »

I chose 50-60%.  I read somewhere, and I can't remember now, that only 34%, or something around there, want Sen. Kerry to seek re-election while 66%, or close to, don't want him to.  If anyone has a link to that, or further information, please post a link.

I still think (and hope) that Kerry will win not only the primary but re-election.  He will be 64 this December, I believe, so that would put him 65 on January 3, 2009 which would only put him nearly 71 by the time 2014 comes around, should he decide to run again, then.
Logged
Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: May 19, 2007, 01:31:57 AM »

I chose 50-60%.  I read somewhere, and I can't remember now, that only 34%, or something around there, want Sen. Kerry to seek re-election while 66%, or close to, don't want him to.  If anyone has a link to that, or further information, please post a link.

Of whom most were Republicans and Independents.  Democrats wanted him to run for re-election by like 60+%.
Logged
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: May 19, 2007, 07:16:47 AM »

Hope this challenger kicks Kerry off. Kerry's really unpopular and the last thing I want (next to the GOP winning the White House in 2008) is a Massachusetts senatorial seat falling to the GOP.

IF (an amazingly large IF) John Kerry loses the primary AND Mitt Romney is either the presidential or VP nominee AND IF the Republicans find a decent challenger, they COULD win this seat.
Logged
WalterMitty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,572


Political Matrix
E: 1.68, S: -2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2007, 07:50:06 AM »

i doubt his challenger will be able to raise the money to make it to primary day.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,026
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: May 19, 2007, 02:50:38 PM »

Kerry gets well over 60%.

Hope this challenger kicks Kerry off. Kerry's really unpopular and the last thing I want (next to the GOP winning the White House in 2008) is a Massachusetts senatorial seat falling to the GOP.

Massachusetts is simply not going to elect any Republican to the Senate, period. There is zero possibility of that happening.
Logged
Kevin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,424
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: May 19, 2007, 03:05:12 PM »

Kerry gets well over 60%.

Hope this challenger kicks Kerry off. Kerry's really unpopular and the last thing I want (next to the GOP winning the White House in 2008) is a Massachusetts senatorial seat falling to the GOP.

Massachusetts is simply not going to elect any Republican to the Senate, period. There is zero possibility of that happening.

Although it is very unlikely, Anything can happen in politics.
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,026
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: May 19, 2007, 03:07:50 PM »

People don't like Kerry because he lost to a Republican. Why would they vote for a Republican to replace him?
Logged
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: May 19, 2007, 04:01:20 PM »

People don't like Kerry because he lost to a Republican. Why would they vote for a Republican to replace him?

There is a difference between primaries and generals.  Ned Lamont was a wing-bat who could win a primary, but even in liberal CT lost the general to a 3rd party candidate
Logged
Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: May 19, 2007, 04:03:33 PM »

Hope this challenger kicks Kerry off. Kerry's really unpopular and the last thing I want (next to the GOP winning the White House in 2008) is a Massachusetts senatorial seat falling to the GOP.

IF (an amazingly large IF) John Kerry loses the primary AND Mitt Romney is either the presidential or VP nominee AND IF the Republicans find a decent challenger, they COULD win this seat.

Who would the GOP run?

They don't hold a single notable office in all of Massachusetts now that Romney is gone.
Logged
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: May 19, 2007, 04:16:12 PM »

Hope this challenger kicks Kerry off. Kerry's really unpopular and the last thing I want (next to the GOP winning the White House in 2008) is a Massachusetts senatorial seat falling to the GOP.

IF (an amazingly large IF) John Kerry loses the primary AND Mitt Romney is either the presidential or VP nominee AND IF the Republicans find a decent challenger, they COULD win this seat.

Who would the GOP run?

They don't hold a single notable office in all of Massachusetts now that Romney is gone.

Maybe Romney, but that wouldn't happen and would eliminate scenario number 2.  Maybe get Bill Weld to come back or a St. Sen. like Bill Tarr
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: May 19, 2007, 06:35:03 PM »

Bill Weld would have residency issues. He's lived in New York too long to run in Massachusetts any more.
Logged
Blerpiez
blerpiez
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,017


Political Matrix
E: -0.65, S: -7.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: May 19, 2007, 07:11:49 PM »

Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) "may have competition for the Democratic Senate nomination in 2008," reports the Gloucester Times. Defense attorney Edward O'Reilly "said yesterday he will formally announce his bid at this weekend's Democratic Party convention in Amherst."

"The former Gloucester city councilor and School Committee chairman said Kerry's vote to authorize force in Iraq in 2002 is one reason why he's running."

http://politicalinsider.com/

So he's going to campaign on that Kerry originally voted for the Iraq war, no matter how much he opposes it today?  I see no reason why this would work- it's nothing like Connecticut, where Lieberman lost the primary because he was actually pro-war.

If the Republicans were to put forward a credible candidate, it would have to be someone outside of state politics, as none of the Rep. state senators/representatives have any name recognition outside their own district.  And Mitt Romney has talked insulted Massachusetts enough that he will not be a help to anyone lower down the ticket and certainly could not run on his own here.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.045 seconds with 13 queries.