English locals 2007; Results thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 18, 2024, 10:07:14 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  English locals 2007; Results thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 [6]
Author Topic: English locals 2007; Results thread  (Read 15258 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #125 on: May 09, 2007, 07:18:27 PM »

Labour wins council seats in the South of England?

Sure. Mainly in places like Southampton and so on. But... Labour came close to taking over 70% in one rural ward in the South! (Aylesham in Dover DC... an extremely red island in a sea of dark blue. It's an old mining area, bizarre as that may seem).

I was being sarcastic Tongue
Logged
Harry Hayfield
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,975
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #126 on: May 10, 2007, 04:09:26 AM »

Unitary Authorities last elected in 2003

Conservatives 615 councillors (+182) winning 13 councils (+8)
Labour 340 councillors (-68) winning 6 councils (n/c)
Liberal Democrats 242 councillors (-127) winning 0 councils (-4)
Independents 81 councillors (+15)
Green 18 councillors (+9)
Ratepayers 2 councillors (n/c)
Councils in a situation of No Overall Control: 6 (-4)

Unitary Authorities last elected in 2006

Conservatives 363 councillors (+29) winning 5 councils (n/c)
Labour 361 councillors (-31) winning 3 councils (-2)
Liberal Democrats 253 councillors (-4) winning 1 council (+1)
Independents 64 councillors (+8)
British National Party 7 councillors (+2)
Liberals 6 councillors (-3)
Ratepayers 4 councillors (n/c)
UKIP 2 councillors (+1)
Greens 1 councillor (+1)
Councils in a situation of No Overall Control: 11 (+1)
Logged
Rural Radical
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 399
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #127 on: May 10, 2007, 03:51:47 PM »

Some of the good points for Labour:

North Lincolnshire
Leicester
Liverpool
Wigan
Luton (looks like both seats will stay Labour at the general)
Stevenage
Thurrock

Vale of Glamorgan
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,590
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #128 on: May 12, 2007, 09:57:42 PM »

Durham:



Basically, voting patterns in County Durham work like this; if it's red, it's an old mining area (or an urban working class area), if it isn't it isn't. Crazy ward boundaries, low turnouts, Independent candidates and curious local rivalries complicate things at local level a little though.
What Tory wards there are in Durham tend either to be agricultural or very middle class (for Durham...).

As in Wales, Indies are ignored (for they clutter the pattern up greatly) unless the only winner(s) in a given ward were Indies.
Logged
Rural Radical
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 399
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #129 on: May 13, 2007, 03:21:03 AM »

Durham:



Basically, voting patterns in County Durham work like this; if it's red, it's an old mining area (or an urban working class area), if it isn't it isn't. Crazy ward boundaries, low turnouts, Independent candidates and curious local rivalries complicate things at local level a little though.
What Tory wards there are in Durham tend either to be agricultural or very middle class (for Durham...).

As in Wales, Indies are ignored (for they clutter the pattern up greatly) unless the only winner(s) in a given ward were Indies.

There seems more Tories there than I imagined?

Are the Indies more of a LabDependent breed?
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,590
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #130 on: May 13, 2007, 04:19:05 PM »

Lancashire:



Sadly the ward map doesn't include South Lancashire. Oh well.

Anyways, the Tories are strongest in commuterland, what agricultural areas there are in Lancashire and the posher suburbs (while also doing well in more middle-of-the-road suburbs this year). Labour are strongest in industrial, working class areas, and the LibDems are different (very different) in different districts.
The Greenies won a load of wards in Lancaster (which is full of students), Respect held their ward in Preston and the BNP held onto Hapton-with-Park in Burnley (frustrating close that one; again!). Pink is the Idle Toad Party.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #131 on: May 13, 2007, 06:41:05 PM »

Durham:



Basically, voting patterns in County Durham work like this; if it's red, it's an old mining area (or an urban working class area), if it isn't it isn't

What Tory wards there are in Durham tend either to be agricultural or very middle class (for Durham...).


Durham City being quite the exception Sad. A number of former mining communities are now represented by Liberal Democrats, as are the middle class, affluent and student wards in the city

The failure of the Conservatives to contest Bearpark and Witton Gilbert, undoubtedly, helped the Lib Dems retain the three seats, especially given I encountered quite a few Lib Dem to Tory switchers on the trail

Your map overestimates the strength of the Lib Dems slightly given that Framwellgate Moor (11) has 1 Lib Dem / 2 Independents and Nevilles Cross (12) 1 Independent / 1 Lib Dem (an Independent coming within 11 votes of taking that seat)

As for Deerness (9), that ward saw a 40.2% swing from Labour to the Liberal Democrats and our party has only itself to blame. That said, Labour has only itself to blame for losing the city back in 2003

Ward by ward swings (May 2007):

City Wards

Crossgate & Framwelgate (Cool: 1.7% Lib Dem to Labour
Elvet (10): 11.9% Lib Dem to Labour
Nevilles Cross (12): 11.5% Lib Dem to Independent
Newton Hall North (14): 5.0% Lib Dem to Labour
Newton Hall South (15): 4.5% Lib Dem to Labour
Pelaw & Gilesgate (16): 7.5% Lib Dem to Labour (Labour gained two 'open' seats; 1 Independent, 1 Lib Dem & defeated a Lib Dem incumbent)
St Nicholas (18): 7.4% Lib Dem to Labour

Overall: 5.9% Lib Dem to Labour

Rural District Wards

Bearpark & Witton Gilbert (1): 3.4% Lib Dem to Labour

* Bearpark Parish Council: Labour 6 (-1); Lib Dem 5 (+4); Ind 0 (-3)
* Witton Gilbert Parish Council: Lib Dem 9 (n/c)
 
Belmont (2): 6.3% Lib Dem to Labour
Carrville & Gilesgate Moor (5): 8.2% Lib Dem to Labour
Cassop-cum-Quarrington (6): 6.8% Lib Dem to Labour
Coxhoe (7): 0.8% Labour to Lib Dem

Framwellgate Moor (11): 11.6% Ind to Lib Dem (Lib Dems gained the 'open' Labour seat)

* Framwellgate Moor Parish Council: 6 Ind (-5) / 5 Lib Dem (+5)

Pittington & West Rainton (17): 5.0% Labour to Lib Dem
Shadforth & Sherburn (19): 5.2% Lib Dem to Labour
Shincliffe (20): 26.8% Lib Dem to Conservative

Overall: 1.3% Lib Dem to Labour

Brandon-and-Byshottles Wards

Brancepeth, Langley Moor & Meadowfield (3): 4.6% Lib Dem to Labour

* Labour gained two seats from the Lib Dems in the South (Meadowfield) Ward [Labour 2 / Lib Dem 1] and Lib Dems retained all 3 seats in the East (Langley Moor) Ward of Brandon & Byshottles

Brandon (4): 11.7% Lib Dem to Labour

* Labour retained all 4 seats in the Central (Brandon) Ward of Brandon & Byshottles

Deernesss (9): 40.3% Labour to Lib Dem (Lib Dems gained 'open' Labour & Independent seats)

* Lib Dems gained 2 seats from Labour in the West (Esh Winning) Ward [Lib Dem 3/Labour 1] of Brandon & Byshottles PC

New Brancepeth & Ushaw Moor (13): 3.8% Labour to Lib Dem

* Labour retained all 4 seats in the Ushaw Moor Ward and all 3 seats in the North (New Brancepeth) Ward of Brandon & Byshottles

Overall: 3.7% Labour to Lib Dem
Parish Council: Labour 13 (n/c) / Lib Dem 8 (n/c)

The parishes of Brancepeth; Croxdale & Hett; Cassop-cum-Quarrington; Coxhoe; Kelloe and Shadforth were uncontested [the latter two having vacancies]. Sherburn is entirely Liberal Democrat. I'm not sure what the set-up is with regards to Belmont (possibly all Lib Dem, but maybe one or two Labour in the Carrville Ward); Pittington or West Rainton

Overall swing: 2.5% Lib Dem to Labour

Dave
Logged
Harry Hayfield
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,975
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #132 on: May 14, 2007, 12:42:14 PM »

Locals 2007 (Number of Labour councillors)

Councils with 1 Labour Councillor: Berwick-upon-Tweed, Bridgnorth, Carrick, Daventry, Epping Forest, Mid Sussex, North Wiltshire, Penwith, Reigate & Banstead, South Cambridgeshire, South Northamptonshire, South Oxfordshire, South Staffordshire, Suffolk Coastal, Tandridge, Taunton Deane, West Somerset, Winchester

Councils with 2 Labour Councillors: Alnwick, Angus, Ashford, Broxbourne, Canterbury, Comhairlie nan Eilean Siar (Western Isles), Dacorum, Eastleigh,
Herefordshire, Hinckley and Bosworth, Kerrier, Moray, North Shropshire, Peterborough, Rushcliffe, South Kesteven, South Lakeland, Surrey Heath, Watford

Councils with 3 Labour Councillors: Arun, Bournemouth, Bracknell Forest, Breckland, Brentwood, East Riding of Yorkshire, Melton, North Somerset, Perth and Kinross, St Edmundsbury, Wyre Forest


Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #133 on: May 15, 2007, 05:40:17 PM »

Castle Morpeth's new administration is a pretty much a continuation of its previous one Wink only the Conservatives (12) and Labour (6) are joined in the majority by the two Independents and sole Green

The Lib Dems with 12 seats are in opposition

http://www.24dash.com/localgovernment/20609.htm

The reason cited is to ensure stability

Dave
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,590
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #134 on: May 19, 2007, 06:19:17 PM »

Apparently two LibDem councillers in Oxford have defected to the Tories anyone (ie; someone who's name begins with the letter "p") know anything about this?
Logged
Harry Hayfield
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,975
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #135 on: May 19, 2007, 06:46:17 PM »

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/oxfordshire/6671589.stm

BBC News Report
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,590
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #136 on: June 02, 2007, 12:50:33 PM »

Leicester:



In a tribute to the interesting demographic trend called "white flight" one of the Lab/Con split wards had been entirely Tory even in the mid '90's.
Logged
Peter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,030


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -7.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #137 on: June 02, 2007, 04:17:24 PM »

Apparently two LibDem councillers in Oxford have defected to the Tories anyone (ie; someone who's name begins with the letter "p") know anything about this?

Yes, though I failed to spot this until now.

Paul Sargents defection didn't surprise me, and given the way that the Carfax demographic does crazy things (its a majority student ward) with time, and the fact that these are Oxford colleges means that I wouldn't put it past him to hold on. Also this isn't really a defection - he became whipless a few months ago (i.e. would not do what the group leadership told him to do) though in theory was still a Lib Dem member.

MacGregor is much more surprising to me, and ultimately she hasn't a chance in hell in Quarry & Risinghurst.

The student paper had a rather entertaining quote from Evan Harris who sounded rather pissed.

The composition of the council is now something of a standing joke:
Labour - 18
Lib Dem - 16
Green - 8
IWCA - 4
Conservative - 2

It started the council period as:
Lib Dem - 19
Labour - 17
Green - 8
IWCA - 4

Basically the Lib Dems have lost 3 councillors to defections, but despite this we retain a Lib Dem minority administration, as Labour do not particularly want to force control over to themselves (the dispute over the new Oxford Mosque may or may not be connected to this).
Logged
Ben.
Ben
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,249


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #138 on: June 03, 2007, 01:50:09 PM »

Leicester:



In a tribute to the interesting demographic trend called "white flight" one of the Lab/Con split wards had been entirely Tory even in the mid '90's.

To be fair Thurncourt was the only ward were the Tories held on during the "new Labour high tide" in the mid-90s... the Tories got hurt very badly by a strong BNP vote in Hamilton, while UKIP also seemed to hurt them in Evington... however the Tories did manage to continue their squeeze on the LibDems in Knighton (it will be interesting to see if they can attempt to regain their position in Western Parks), however they missed a trick by giving the LibDems a free run in Beamount Leys IMHO (one of their better wards in 2003).

The amazing thing about Leicester remains the collapse in the LibDem vote following the split within their group on the council (the dissidents ended up joining the 'Liberal Party')... indeed Labour's gains were not simply down to a split opposition, it really was a surprising serise of results in Leicester (as plenty of folks in the local Labour Party would conceed). 
Logged
Serenity Now
tomm_86
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,174
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #139 on: June 03, 2007, 04:52:11 PM »

Here's Brighton and Hove now:



Per centage majority, party per centages calculated using top candidate as is usual..
Logged
Serenity Now
tomm_86
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,174
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #140 on: June 03, 2007, 05:16:26 PM »

And now the vote shares of each party:

Tories:

Best: Woodingdean
Worst: Hannover and Elm Grove

Labour:

Best: North Portslade
Worst: Stanford

Greenies:

Best: St. Peters and North Laine
Worst: Stanford

Lib Dems:

Best: Brunswick and Adelaide
Worst: Stanford


It is interesting how contrasted the Tory vote is, but the Labour vote a bit more consistent. The Green vote is very concentrated around the centre of Brighton, and it seems the schools catchment areas policy seems to have had an effect, with the Labour and Green vote going down in Preston Park (which was probably the most disadvantaged by it). The Lib Dems almost got wiped out..
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #141 on: June 03, 2007, 05:27:07 PM »

How is Stanford everyone's worst ward but the Tories and yet it isn't the Tories' best ward?
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,590
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #142 on: June 03, 2007, 05:51:57 PM »

How is Stanford everyone's worst ward but the Tories and yet it isn't the Tories' best ward?

An Indy maybe?
Logged
Serenity Now
tomm_86
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,174
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #143 on: June 03, 2007, 07:41:33 PM »

How is Stanford everyone's worst ward but the Tories and yet it isn't the Tories' best ward?

An Indy maybe?

Yes, sorry, Jayne Bennett is the independent councillor for Stanford, I forgot to mention that.. I've met her in fact, she's a former Tory councillor, so I guess she still is a de facto one.

Even without her I'm sure Stanford would still be the worst for Labour, and maybe the Greens as well.. It's the richest ward in the UA (I was telling at a polling station that covered Stanford and Goldsmid, and it was easy to tell who came from which, loads of Stanford voters had sports cars..).
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 [6]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.246 seconds with 12 queries.