Most vulnerable House freshmen (user search)
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  Most vulnerable House freshmen (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Would you consider these to be the most vulnerable House freshmen?
#1
yes
 
#2
no
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 13

Author Topic: Most vulnerable House freshmen  (Read 4546 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
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*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: June 07, 2007, 07:27:38 PM »

FL-13: Vern Buchanan (R) Y
FL-16: Tim Mahoney (D) Y
IA-2: Dave Loebsack (D) N Completely safe.
TX-22: Nick Lampson (D) Y
OH-18: Zach Space (D) N Margin too large.
PA-4: Jason Altmire (D) N Seat is marginal, so incumbent is favored.
PA-10: Chris Carney (D) Y
NH-1: Carol Shea-Porter (D) N New Hampshire has changed.
NH-2: Paul Hodes (D) N Completely safe.
KS-2: Nancy Boyda (D) Y
IN-2: Joe Donnelly (D) N Indiana only does dumps like that occasionally.
NY-19: John Hall (D) N Marginal seat favors incumbent.
WI-8: Steve Kagen (D) Y
MN-1: Tim Walz (D) Y
CA-11: Jerry McNerney (D) Y

I would add to that list Heather Wilson, John Doolittle, Rick Renzi and Frank LoBiondo.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2007, 07:56:29 PM »

I see Hall as being so vulnerable because what he represents is basically a RINO district but still conservative enough to vote for Bush. A more moderate Democrat could certainly hold it, but Hall is one of the most liberal members of the freshman class, and the GOP bench is pretty deep. I've seen Hall as likely to hang on only if the GOP ends up nominating a Bachmann-esque candidate, could be wrong, but we'll see who they run.

The most amusing thing about Loebsack is he's probably the single safest one of the Democratic freshmen.

I would add to that list Heather Wilson, John Doolittle, Rick Renzi and Frank LoBiondo.

None of whom are freshmen.

Oops, sorry, freshmen. I missed that. Then I have none to add (maybe Bill Sali; we'll see).
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