The next state to elect a Democratic Senator?
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  The next state to elect a Democratic Senator? 		« previous next »
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Poll
Question: Which of these states will be the first to elect a Democrat to the Senate?
#1
Idaho (1981)		  
#2
Wyoming (1977)		  
#3
Utah (1951)		  
#4
Arizona (1995)		  
#5
Texas (1993)		  
#6
Oklahoma (1994)		  
#7
Kansas (1939)		  
#8
Kentucky (1999)		  
#9
Tennessee (1995)		  
#10
Maine (1995)		  
#11
South Carolina (2005)		  
#12
Alabama (1994)		  
#13
Mississippi (1989)		  
#14
Georgia (2003)		  
#15
North Carolina (2005)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 47

Author Topic: The next state to elect a Democratic Senator?  (Read 2874 times)
Adlai Stevenson
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« on: June 11, 2007, 06:00:10 AM »
The dates beside each state show the last year they ever had a Democratic Senator representing them.  For my part I think Maine could be the next one, with Tom Allen defeating Olympia Snowe this year. 
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #1 on: June 11, 2007, 06:18:50 AM »
Quote from: Adlai Stevenson on June 11, 2007, 06:00:10 AM
The dates beside each state show the last year they ever had a Democratic Senator representing them.  For my part I think Maine could be the next one, with Tom Allen defeating Olympia Snowe this year. 

I thought Susan Collins was up in Maine in 2008?

Anyway, I chose Oklahoma because it is quite likely and based on that group it would be either Maine, North Carolina, or Oklahoma.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2007, 08:55:38 AM »
Frank Moss was a Democratic senator from Utah until 1977.
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Aizen
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« Reply #3 on: June 11, 2007, 10:27:12 AM »
Of those states, the answer is Maine
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Sensei
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« Reply #4 on: June 11, 2007, 07:06:11 PM »
definitely Maine. I think Collins will lose in '08
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Downwinder
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« Reply #5 on: June 12, 2007, 02:48:52 AM »
Quote from: Delanius, the YaBB God of Flippancy on June 11, 2007, 08:55:38 AM
Frank Moss was a Democratic senator from Utah until 1977.

Correct, and thank you.  Frank Moss served from 1959-1977; he was defeated in his bid for a fourth term by Orrin Hatch, who ran ads that asked 'what do you send a man who has been in Washington for 18 years?  You send him home.'  Orrin was just elected to his 6th term, and has been in Washington for 30 years.

I voted Arizona.  I have a feeling McCain may retire before his term ends--after he loses his quest for the presidency.  Arizona should be touched by the liberalization of the southwest that has been touted for years, especially with it's continued explosive growth.  And Arizona has a popular Democratic governor in Janet Napolitano. 

Next likely could be North Carolina, then Maine in 2008, though I'm not sold on either yet.
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Padfoot
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« Reply #6 on: June 12, 2007, 03:40:58 AM »
Maine is the most likely but Arizona and North Carolina wouldn't surprise me either.
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #7 on: June 12, 2007, 12:29:31 PM »
Maine is the most likely only because the others are Republicans locks for the most part, but hopefully it will be Napolitano taking out McCain in 2010
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AndrewTX
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« Reply #8 on: June 12, 2007, 12:39:16 PM »
I keep my fingers crossed for North Carolina.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #9 on: June 12, 2007, 01:14:09 PM »
I'm the idiot who said Kentucky, because I think Collins will win handily next year, but I think the Bunning seat is quite vulnerable.
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #10 on: June 12, 2007, 01:14:50 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Moderate on June 12, 2007, 01:14:09 PM
I'm the idiot who said Kentucky, because I think Collins will win handily next year, but I think the Bunning seat is quite vulnerable.

I'd be suprised if Bunning ran
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Harry
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« Reply #11 on: June 12, 2007, 03:45:22 PM »
tie:

Maine - Tom Allen - 2008
Mississippi - Mike Moore - 2008
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #12 on: June 12, 2007, 04:01:05 PM »
Quote from: Harry on June 12, 2007, 03:45:22 PM
tie:

Maine - Tom Allen - 2008
Mississippi - Mike Moore - 2008

Your kidding?  Please?
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Smash255
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« Reply #13 on: June 13, 2007, 12:17:04 AM »
Maine Tom Allen

North Carolina
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Conan
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« Reply #14 on: June 13, 2007, 12:45:13 AM »
Quote from: Sen. DWTL on June 12, 2007, 12:29:31 PM
Maine is the most likely only because the others are Republicans locks for the most part, but hopefully it will be Napolitano taking out McCain in 2010
AZ, ME, and NC are def. not locks. Neither are some of the others but def. not those three.
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DWPerry
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« Reply #15 on: June 13, 2007, 04:07:56 AM »
See my answer for "black Senator"
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #16 on: July 31, 2007, 08:57:13 PM »
Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins are totally safe, but Harold Ford Jr. could win if Lamar Alexander retires, or he could defeat him in a very close race.
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Verily
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« Reply #17 on: July 31, 2007, 09:11:33 PM »
« Edited: July 31, 2007, 09:13:36 PM by Verily »
Of those, Kentucky is very likely to fall in 2010, so it's really all how likely you think it is that a Democrat could take one of those states in 2008. Maine and North Carolina are clearly the most vulnerable, but I don't think there's a greater than 50% chance of one of the two falling.

An outside bet would be Alaska, but it wasn't included in the poll.
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Nym90
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« Reply #18 on: July 31, 2007, 09:30:20 PM »
I'm assuming New Hampshire wasn't included in this poll because it would obviously have been the winner?

Regarding Georgia, I guess you weren't counting Zell Miller as a Democrat, otherwise 2005 would be the year.

Alabama had a Democrat until 1997, Howell Heflin.

I'd say Maine. Although based on the history of the seat, North Carolina should have a Democrat come 2011.
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #19 on: August 16, 2007, 07:15:21 PM »
Harold Ford Jr. came very close in '06, and he might have won if it weren't for the racist ad that Bob Corker ran.  The problem with New England states (NH, ME, etc.) is that they reelect incumbents, so unless Snowe or Collins retires soon, they will hold onto their Senate seats.
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jfern
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« Reply #20 on: August 16, 2007, 08:18:19 PM »
Maine is the most likely, North Carolina second most likely.
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BRTD
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« Reply #21 on: August 16, 2007, 08:19:35 PM »
I voted Kentucky, since I'd say Collins is favored, but KY will be one of the Democrats' top targets in 2010.
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AkSaber
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« Reply #22 on: August 20, 2007, 03:32:59 AM »
Tough call. Arizona, Maine, or North Carolina would not surprise me.
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