Suffolk U Poll: Sununu in big Trouble
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  Suffolk U Poll: Sununu in big Trouble
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Author Topic: Suffolk U Poll: Sununu in big Trouble  (Read 2331 times)
TheresNoMoney
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Junior Chimp
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« on: June 27, 2007, 09:34:07 PM »

Whether it's Jeanne Shaheen or Steve Marchand, Sununu will be going back to the private sector in January 2009:
 
Sen. John Sununu, New Hampshire Republican, appears to be in trouble, with only 31 percent in the poll saying he deserves re-election and 47 percent saying someone else should get his seat.
 
(from page 2 of article linked below)
 
http://washingtontimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070627/NATION/106270092/1001&template=nextpage

 
 
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Aizen
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« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2007, 09:38:58 PM »

Yeah, Sununu is done. No question about it.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2007, 09:47:58 PM »

Before saying his seat "Leans Democratic" I'd like to see a Sununu-Shaheen poll (and a Sununu-Marchand poll just in case Shaheen doesn't run), but this looks like pretty solid evidence that Sununu is finished.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #3 on: June 27, 2007, 09:52:39 PM »

Before saying his seat "Leans Democratic" I'd like to see a Sununu-Shaheen poll (and a Sununu-Marchand poll just in case Shaheen doesn't run), but this looks like pretty solid evidence that Sununu is finished.

This is the only one, Sununu's numbers for an incumbent are absolutely anemic:

March 29, 2007 (551 Registered Voters)

Shaheen    44%
Sununu      34%
Undecided  22%

http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/senate08/
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Smash255
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« Reply #4 on: June 27, 2007, 10:01:24 PM »

Before saying his seat "Leans Democratic" I'd like to see a Sununu-Shaheen poll (and a Sununu-Marchand poll just in case Shaheen doesn't run), but this looks like pretty solid evidence that Sununu is finished.

This is the only one, Sununu's numbers for an incumbent are absolutely anemic:

March 29, 2007 (551 Registered Voters)

Shaheen    44%
Sununu      34%
Undecided  22%

http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/senate08/

and that was before his vote against Embryonic Stem Cell Research and against the timetable for withdrawal.  Those two votes couldn't have helped.  Sununu is cooked.
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Padfoot
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« Reply #5 on: June 27, 2007, 11:22:30 PM »

I'm guessing that numbers like these are what has prodded Shaheen into seriously considering a rematch.  IIRC she barely lost the last time she ran against him so I don't see how she could lose considering the current climate there.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #6 on: June 28, 2007, 12:07:48 AM »

I wonder if heŽll do worse than Santorum last year ...
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Smash255
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« Reply #7 on: June 28, 2007, 03:34:35 AM »

I wonder if heŽll do worse than Santorum last year ...

Could you imagine how bad this would be if Lynch decided to jump in Smiley

He has said he won't run, which might be a good thing anyway.  Sununu looks like he is toast at this point regardless, so we kick him out and save Lynch to knock off Gregg in 2010
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #8 on: June 28, 2007, 04:18:09 AM »

I wonder if heŽll do worse than Santorum last year ...
Quite possibly. He'll carry a lower percentage of counties than Santorum did, I'm ready to predict that much. Smiley
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AndrewTX
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« Reply #9 on: June 28, 2007, 07:14:52 AM »

I wonder if heŽll do worse than Santorum last year ...

I doubt it, he'll probably lose by 5 to 10 points, unless Lynch jumps in. Than expect to see a 40 point loss
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #10 on: June 28, 2007, 08:14:44 AM »

If Shaheen runs, Sununu will probably lose by 10%-15%.
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AndrewTX
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« Reply #11 on: June 28, 2007, 08:28:08 AM »

^ I agree.  Shaheen and Lynch are the only two who could secure a win. I think right now that anyone else who runs against him will keep the race tight.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #12 on: June 28, 2007, 08:43:35 AM »

I wonder if heŽll do worse than Santorum last year ...

I doubt it, he'll probably lose by 5 to 10 points, unless Lynch jumps in. Than expect to see a 40 point loss

Okay, it wouldn't be THAT bad.
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AndrewTX
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« Reply #13 on: June 28, 2007, 11:32:14 AM »

I wonder if heŽll do worse than Santorum last year ...

I doubt it, he'll probably lose by 5 to 10 points, unless Lynch jumps in. Than expect to see a 40 point loss

Okay, it wouldn't be THAT bad.

Not exactly, but it would be MUCH larger than Santorums loss
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #14 on: June 28, 2007, 11:45:37 AM »

Way to early to count Sununu out and I think he will win
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Smash255
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« Reply #15 on: June 29, 2007, 01:47:35 AM »

I wonder if heŽll do worse than Santorum last year ...

I doubt it, he'll probably lose by 5 to 10 points, unless Lynch jumps in. Than expect to see a 40 point loss

Okay, it wouldn't be THAT bad.

Not exactly, but it would be MUCH larger than Santorums loss

Well with the poll showing him down by 28 to Shaheen......
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #16 on: June 29, 2007, 01:55:32 AM »

Its early, but it seems he's too conservative for his state now...
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