CNN: California could sway 2008 (user search)
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  CNN: California could sway 2008 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CNN: California could sway 2008  (Read 10371 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: July 31, 2007, 09:49:44 AM »
Arenīt there more Democratic voters turning out for the CA Primary next year, so that this proposal will be easily defeated ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2007, 11:56:05 AM »
Even if this passes in next years primary (which I highly doubt) it could look like this in the end:

The Democratic candidate wins with a 3% swing compared to 2004, but loses all districts in CA, with all 55 EVs going to the Republican (another unlikely scenario, because Bush just won 20 or so in 2004):



Result: The Democratic candidate still wins with 270-268 ... Smiley
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: August 12, 2007, 01:13:35 AM »
Or in this scenario - Romney vs. Clinton - Romney takes 25 out of California's 55 electoral districts and wins Michigan:



It ends in a 269-269 tie. Clinton could win NV though and 274-264.
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