Who is more likely to win?
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Poll
Question: Who is more likely to win?
#1
Matt Blunt		  
#2
Mitch Daniels		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 26

Author Topic: Who is more likely to win?  (Read 4984 times)
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BRTD
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« on: August 01, 2007, 12:41:58 PM »
Daniels. He has weaker opponents and is in a far stronger state for him. He might also benefit from presidential coattails. Blunt however has the strongest possible opponent, and he's in what's traditionally a marginal state, where no presidential race will give him a boost, might even hurt him if the Democrat manages to win Missouri. If that happens, Blunt is done, and I think he's going to lose anyway. Daniels has around a 50/50 chance.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2007, 01:00:36 PM »
Quote from: got a friend, her name is boxcar... on August 01, 2007, 12:41:58 PM
Daniels. He has weaker opponents and is in a far stronger state for him. He might also benefit from presidential coattails. Blunt however has the strongest possible opponent, and he's in what's traditionally a marginal state, where no presidential race will give him a boost, might even hurt him if the Democrat manages to win Missouri. If that happens, Blunt is done, and I think he's going to lose anyway. Daniels has around a 50/50 chance.

Well said.
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #2 on: August 01, 2007, 01:28:15 PM »
In early 2009, Govs. Rossi, Daniels, Blunt, and Fletcher can I have a nice "I told ya so" toast
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: August 01, 2007, 01:30:39 PM »
Quote from: 24 DuPont Chevrolet on August 01, 2007, 01:28:15 PM
In early 2009, Govs. Rossi, Daniels, Blunt, and Fletcher can I have a nice "I told ya so" toast

Yeah, we all know how good your predictive skills are ...
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BRTD
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« Reply #4 on: August 01, 2007, 01:38:51 PM »
Fletcher? HAHAHAHAHHAHAHA

Quote from: Tender Branson on August 01, 2007, 01:30:39 PM
Quote from: 24 DuPont Chevrolet on August 01, 2007, 01:28:15 PM
In early 2009, Govs. Rossi, Daniels, Blunt, and Fletcher can I have a nice "I told ya so" toast

Yeah, we all know how good your predictive skills are ...

Yes, anyone who predicted a Santorum victory should never say anything of this sort ever again.
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AndrewTX
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« Reply #5 on: August 01, 2007, 01:50:18 PM »
Quote from: 24 DuPont Chevrolet on August 01, 2007, 01:28:15 PM
In early 2009, Govs. Rossi, Daniels, Blunt, and Fletcher can I have a nice "I told ya so" toast

bahahaha!
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Jaggerjack
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« Reply #6 on: August 01, 2007, 03:23:05 PM »
« Edited: August 01, 2007, 04:21:34 PM by Jomy Marquis Shin »
Quote from: 24 DuPont Chevrolet on August 01, 2007, 01:28:15 PM
In early 2009, Govs. Rossi, Daniels, Blunt, and Fletcher can I have a nice "I told ya so" toast
LOL. DWTL, I wish I knew what you were drinking; I'd make a petition for city hall to ban it.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #7 on: August 01, 2007, 11:19:53 PM »
daniels, by far.
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AndrewTX
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« Reply #8 on: August 02, 2007, 10:08:35 AM »
I agree, Daniels will have the best chance
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #9 on: August 02, 2007, 02:17:08 PM »
Quote from: got a friend, her name is boxcar... on August 01, 2007, 12:41:58 PM
Daniels. He has weaker opponents and is in a far stronger state for him. He might also benefit from presidential coattails. Blunt however has the strongest possible opponent, and he's in what's traditionally a marginal state, where no presidential race will give him a boost, might even hurt him if the Democrat manages to win Missouri. If that happens, Blunt is done, and I think he's going to lose anyway. Daniels has around a 50/50 chance.

I agree with you. 
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #10 on: August 02, 2007, 03:05:18 PM »
Quote from: Jomy Marquis Shin on August 01, 2007, 03:23:05 PM
Quote from: 24 DuPont Chevrolet on August 01, 2007, 01:28:15 PM
In early 2009, Govs. Rossi, Daniels, Blunt, and Fletcher can I have a nice "I told ya so" toast
LOL. DWTL, I wish I knew what you were drinking; I'd make a petition for city hall to ban it.
Optimism, it's actually illegal only in states that discourage freedom like MA and CA
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Jaggerjack
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« Reply #11 on: August 02, 2007, 03:12:20 PM »
« Edited: August 02, 2007, 03:15:21 PM by Jomy Marquis Shin »
Quote from: 24 DuPont Chevrolet on August 02, 2007, 03:05:18 PM
Quote from: Jomy Marquis Shin on August 01, 2007, 03:23:05 PM
Quote from: 24 DuPont Chevrolet on August 01, 2007, 01:28:15 PM
In early 2009, Govs. Rossi, Daniels, Blunt, and Fletcher can I have a nice "I told ya so" toast
LOL. DWTL, I wish I knew what you were drinking; I'd make a petition for city hall to ban it.
Optimism, it's actually illegal only in states that discourage freedom like MA and CA
There's a line between optimism and delusions. I mean, seriously, get real, do you honestly think Fletcher can hang on? Being down by THAT much in the polls is absoultely brutal. Nixon also destroys Blunt in the polls. And Rossi won't get as close as he did last time.
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #12 on: August 02, 2007, 03:21:31 PM »
Quote from: Jomy Marquis Shin on August 02, 2007, 03:12:20 PM
Quote from: 24 DuPont Chevrolet on August 02, 2007, 03:05:18 PM
Quote from: Jomy Marquis Shin on August 01, 2007, 03:23:05 PM
Quote from: 24 DuPont Chevrolet on August 01, 2007, 01:28:15 PM
In early 2009, Govs. Rossi, Daniels, Blunt, and Fletcher can I have a nice "I told ya so" toast
LOL. DWTL, I wish I knew what you were drinking; I'd make a petition for city hall to ban it.
Optimism, it's actually illegal only in states that discourage freedom like MA and CA
There's a line between optimism and delusions. I mean, seriously, get real, do you honestly think Fletcher can hang on? Being down by THAT much in the polls is absoultely brutal. Nixon also destroys Blunt in the polls. And Rossi won't get as close as he did last time.
Fletcher is most likely a lost cause.  However, Blunt's election is far away and I think how the state goes presidentially could have a huge impact on the race.  I maintain that Rossi will win.
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Jaggerjack
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« Reply #13 on: August 02, 2007, 03:25:36 PM »
Quote from: 24 DuPont Chevrolet on August 02, 2007, 03:21:31 PM
Quote from: Jomy Marquis Shin on August 02, 2007, 03:12:20 PM
Quote from: 24 DuPont Chevrolet on August 02, 2007, 03:05:18 PM
Quote from: Jomy Marquis Shin on August 01, 2007, 03:23:05 PM
Quote from: 24 DuPont Chevrolet on August 01, 2007, 01:28:15 PM
In early 2009, Govs. Rossi, Daniels, Blunt, and Fletcher can I have a nice "I told ya so" toast
LOL. DWTL, I wish I knew what you were drinking; I'd make a petition for city hall to ban it.
Optimism, it's actually illegal only in states that discourage freedom like MA and CA
There's a line between optimism and delusions. I mean, seriously, get real, do you honestly think Fletcher can hang on? Being down by THAT much in the polls is absoultely brutal. Nixon also destroys Blunt in the polls. And Rossi won't get as close as he did last time.
Fletcher is most likely a lost cause.  However, Blunt's election is far away and I think how the state goes presidentially could have a huge impact on the race.  I maintain that Rossi will win.
Yeah, like he's going to get so close with the steady upward trend of Gregoire's approvals AND the fact that nobody likes people who call for a "re-vote." Roll Eyes
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
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« Reply #14 on: August 03, 2007, 12:47:56 AM »
If Fletcher is a lost cause then why did you just predict that he'd win?
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« Reply #15 on: August 04, 2007, 12:24:23 AM »
Quote from: got a friend, her name is boxcar... on August 03, 2007, 12:47:56 AM
If Fletcher is a lost cause then why did you just predict that he'd win?

There's nothing wrong with predicting a candidate to win, even if you know he's probably not going to.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #16 on: August 04, 2007, 09:08:01 AM »
Agreed!  Credibility is such an outdated concept.
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Harry
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« Reply #17 on: August 04, 2007, 10:54:25 AM »
Quote from: HardRCafé on August 04, 2007, 09:08:01 AM
Agreed!  Credibility is such an outdated concept.

It's just an internet forum...if I were getting paid, and people as a whole actually paid attention to my predictions, then I would do them differently.
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
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« Reply #18 on: August 06, 2007, 02:11:44 AM »
Quote from: Harry the Great on August 04, 2007, 12:24:23 AM
Quote from: got a friend, her name is boxcar... on August 03, 2007, 12:47:56 AM
If Fletcher is a lost cause then why did you just predict that he'd win?

There's nothing wrong with predicting a candidate to win, even if you know he's probably not going to.

Do that and you'll be endlessly hassled over it like Walter and Phil are now, and whenever you make a new prediction people will just laugh at you and make fun of your record, as you can see by the above two. It's just a stupid thing to do.
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Nym90
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« Reply #19 on: August 06, 2007, 12:58:06 PM »
Daniels...more Republican state, less strong opposition, higher approval ratings.

Daniels will probably narrowly win, while Blunt will likely narrowly lose.
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
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« Reply #20 on: August 06, 2007, 10:27:21 PM »
I doubt Blunt will narrowly lose, especially considering the last poll had him down more than 20 points. I doubt he'll lose by that much, but it won't be all that close.
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