NJ 2009

[DownWithTheLeft]

Time to start a discussion on this race, someone correct me but I will try to include anyone who may run for the office:

Republicans:

Good chance of running:
Fmr. Mets Pitcher Al Leiter
Morris County Assembly John Murphy*
Bogota Mayor Steve Lonegan
St. Sen. Tom Kean Jr.
Washington Twp. Councilman Bob Schroeder

Could run:
St. Sen. Bill Baroni
US Atty Christopher Christie
 
Most likely will not run:
Fmr. Mayor Bret Schundler
Perpetual Loser Doug Forrester
Fmr. Gov. Christie Whitman
Rep. Mike Ferguson
Rep. Jim Saxton
Fmr. Assemblyman Paul DiGaetano


Democrats

Incumbent:
Jon Corzine*

Would show interest if Corzine does not run:
Senate President and Fmr. Gov. Richard Codey
Rep. Frank Pallone
Rep. Steven Rothman
Newark Mayor Corey Booker

*Predicted nominee
My prediction: Murphy 50 - Corzine 49 GOP Pickup

Comment if you wish

[MasterJedi]

Democrats win, the end.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Democrats win, the end.

One would assume that, although that can also be attributed to Republicans running piss-poor candidates, something Murphy is not

[Jaggerjack]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

[YRABNNRM]

Al Leiter? LOL

[Conan]

Leiter isn't running for anything.

[Verily]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

For a New Jersey politician, Corzine has approval ratings in the stratosphere. No way he loses reelection.

Also, Lonegan and Schroeder (ignoring Leiter)? Forgive me, but your man-crushes are not in and of themselves likely nominees. A Councilman running for Governor? That would truly be the end of the NJ GOP.

[bullmoose88]

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

You should never ever type or utter those words to another person.

Pot. Kettle. Black.

[Keystone Phil]

Murphy is an excellent candidate so he obviously wouldn't waste his time and talent on 2009. Corzine gets an easy win.

[True Democrat]

My top choice would be Booker, but I think he should stay in Newark awhile longer.  He definitely has star potential though.

[Conan]

Fmr. Mets Pitcher Al Leiter - Nope

Morris County Freeholder John Murphy - Likely

Bogota Mayor Steve Lonegan - Likely

St. Sen. Tom Kean Jr. - Nope, although he is expected to be Senate Minority Leader in the upcoming legislature.

Washington Twp. Councilman Bob Schroeder - Maybe

St. Sen. Bill Baroni - Look for him to challenge Menendez in 2012

US Atty Christopher Christie - Presumptive Nominee

Fmr. Mayor Bret Schundler - No

Perpetual Loser Doug Forrester - No

Fmr. Gov. Christie Whitman - No

Rep. Mike Ferguson - No

Rep. Jim Saxton - No

Fmr. Assemblyman Paul DiGaetano - Dark Horse

If Corzine retires, Codey will be the nominee and he will win easily. If he does not retire, he will be in a competitive race but likely win it by about 5%

Corzine - 54
Christie - 44/45

[Conan]

Guy Gregg should run. He used to be the republican darling of the right until he lost the GOP primary for state senate because he wasn't from Sussex.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

I'm pretty damned educated, and I concur that Corzine wins fairly easily.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

And Chris Christie is almost certainly going to run, and almost certainly going to be annointed the GOP nominee with little effort.

[MAS117]

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

You should never ever type or utter those words to another person.

Pot. Kettle. Black.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

For a New Jersey politician, Corzine has approval ratings in the stratosphere. No way he loses reelection.

Also, Lonegan and Schroeder (ignoring Leiter)? Forgive me, but your man-crushes are not in and of themselves likely nominees. A Councilman running for Governor? That would truly be the end of the NJ GOP.

I never said they had a good chance, just that they would run, something both did in 2005 and I expect them to repeat.  Leiter will most likely run for something eventually as he has hinted he would like to.  Murphy or Christie could win this race, people don't look to the future as the disaster of EnCap will most likely cost Corzine Bergen County which could cause him to lose the election.

[Verily]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

For a New Jersey politician, Corzine has approval ratings in the stratosphere. No way he loses reelection.

Also, Lonegan and Schroeder (ignoring Leiter)? Forgive me, but your man-crushes are not in and of themselves likely nominees. A Councilman running for Governor? That would truly be the end of the NJ GOP.

I never said they had a good chance, just that they would run, something both did in 2005 and I expect them to repeat.  Leiter will most likely run for something eventually as he has hinted he would like to.  Murphy or Christie could win this race, people don't look to the future as the disaster of EnCap will most likely cost Corzine Bergen County which could cause him to lose the election.

Rutherford and southwest Bergen County is one thing; he also stepped in on behalf of Weinberg against the BCDO, which greatly improved his standing in central and southeast Bergen County. Hardly anyone outside of southwest Bergen County has even heard of EnCap.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

For a New Jersey politician, Corzine has approval ratings in the stratosphere. No way he loses reelection.

Also, Lonegan and Schroeder (ignoring Leiter)? Forgive me, but your man-crushes are not in and of themselves likely nominees. A Councilman running for Governor? That would truly be the end of the NJ GOP.

I never said they had a good chance, just that they would run, something both did in 2005 and I expect them to repeat.  Leiter will most likely run for something eventually as he has hinted he would like to.  Murphy or Christie could win this race, people don't look to the future as the disaster of EnCap will most likely cost Corzine Bergen County which could cause him to lose the election.

Rutherford and southwest Bergen County is one thing; he also stepped in on behalf of Weinberg against the BCDO, which greatly improved his standing in central and southeast Bergen County. Hardly anyone outside of southwest Bergen County has even heard of EnCap.

In a close race, this pivotal swing area could provide the amount of votes to make or break his reelection

[Conan]

Most of Bergen doesn't care about Encap. It didn't start under his watch anyway. Leiter ruled out running I believe.

[Verily]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

For a New Jersey politician, Corzine has approval ratings in the stratosphere. No way he loses reelection.

Also, Lonegan and Schroeder (ignoring Leiter)? Forgive me, but your man-crushes are not in and of themselves likely nominees. A Councilman running for Governor? That would truly be the end of the NJ GOP.

I never said they had a good chance, just that they would run, something both did in 2005 and I expect them to repeat.  Leiter will most likely run for something eventually as he has hinted he would like to.  Murphy or Christie could win this race, people don't look to the future as the disaster of EnCap will most likely cost Corzine Bergen County which could cause him to lose the election.

Rutherford and southwest Bergen County is one thing; he also stepped in on behalf of Weinberg against the BCDO, which greatly improved his standing in central and southeast Bergen County. Hardly anyone outside of southwest Bergen County has even heard of EnCap.

In a close race, this pivotal swing area could provide the amount of votes to make or break his reelection

The election is not going to come down to five hundred angry people in Rutherford. It won't even be within the margin of the entire population of the Meadowlands region all together.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

For a New Jersey politician, Corzine has approval ratings in the stratosphere. No way he loses reelection.

Also, Lonegan and Schroeder (ignoring Leiter)? Forgive me, but your man-crushes are not in and of themselves likely nominees. A Councilman running for Governor? That would truly be the end of the NJ GOP.

I never said they had a good chance, just that they would run, something both did in 2005 and I expect them to repeat.  Leiter will most likely run for something eventually as he has hinted he would like to.  Murphy or Christie could win this race, people don't look to the future as the disaster of EnCap will most likely cost Corzine Bergen County which could cause him to lose the election.

Rutherford and southwest Bergen County is one thing; he also stepped in on behalf of Weinberg against the BCDO, which greatly improved his standing in central and southeast Bergen County. Hardly anyone outside of southwest Bergen County has even heard of EnCap.

In a close race, this pivotal swing area could provide the amount of votes to make or break his reelection

The election is not going to come down to five hundred angry people in Rutherford. It won't even be within the margin of the entire population of the Meadowlands region all together.

The Meadowlands itself (actually Rutherford is not the angriest town) is a large populous of people who certainly cannot be discounted

[Conan]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

For a New Jersey politician, Corzine has approval ratings in the stratosphere. No way he loses reelection.

Also, Lonegan and Schroeder (ignoring Leiter)? Forgive me, but your man-crushes are not in and of themselves likely nominees. A Councilman running for Governor? That would truly be the end of the NJ GOP.

I never said they had a good chance, just that they would run, something both did in 2005 and I expect them to repeat.  Leiter will most likely run for something eventually as he has hinted he would like to.  Murphy or Christie could win this race, people don't look to the future as the disaster of EnCap will most likely cost Corzine Bergen County which could cause him to lose the election.

Rutherford and southwest Bergen County is one thing; he also stepped in on behalf of Weinberg against the BCDO, which greatly improved his standing in central and southeast Bergen County. Hardly anyone outside of southwest Bergen County has even heard of EnCap.

In a close race, this pivotal swing area could provide the amount of votes to make or break his reelection

The election is not going to come down to five hundred angry people in Rutherford. It won't even be within the margin of the entire population of the Meadowlands region all together.

The Meadowlands itself (actually Rutherford is not the angriest town) is a large populous of people who certainly cannot be discounted

He can spare 100,000 votes.

[Joe Republic]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

... says the kid who predicted a Tom Kean victory as late into the Senate race as October 2006.

[Keystone Phil]

Given it's DWTL predicting a Republican win, I'm inclined to predict that Corzine gets reelected in a landslide.

I advise you to educate yourself on the race because that would be a blindly stupid prediction

... says the kid who predicted a Tom Kean victory as late into the Senate race as October 2006.

To be fair, that wasn't blindly stupid. His loss wasn't that big.