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September 17, 2014, 08:35:34 am
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  International Elections (Moderator: PASOK Leader Hashemite)
| | |-+  UK Swing Maps
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Author Topic: UK Swing Maps  (Read 1520 times)
Sibboleth
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« Reply #25 on: January 27, 2014, 07:37:14 pm »
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Yes: my point was that just looking at swings flatters our atrocious performance in large parts of the country...
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"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
DistingFlyer
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« Reply #26 on: January 29, 2014, 11:15:53 am »
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Here's a table showing regional swings from 1959 to the present (Feb 1974 excepted); in each region it shows the number of gains that swing would indicate, and in italics the number of net seat changes that actually occurred.

The final column shows the number of seats that would be expected to change if the national swing was uniform - notice that the regional variations don't have a very large effect, except 1964 - along with the uniform swing that one might expect to be required to produce the actual gains (the 'effective swing,' for lack of a better term).

« Last Edit: January 29, 2014, 05:51:15 pm by DistingFlyer »Logged
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