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October 21, 2016, 11:40:53 am
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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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Author Topic: UK Swing Maps  (Read 5365 times)
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« Reply #25 on: January 27, 2014, 07:37:14 pm »

Yes: my point was that just looking at swings flatters our atrocious performance in large parts of the country...

"It is the essence of a true democracy that people should be respected individually, not simply collectively. It is also of the essence of a democracy that differences and distinctions are recognised and, where relevant, honoured. A democracy should be above all a thoughtful type of society, in these and other respects."

Richard Hoggart
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« Reply #26 on: January 29, 2014, 11:15:53 am »

Here's a table showing regional swings from 1959 to the present (Feb 1974 excepted); in each region it shows the number of gains that swing would indicate, and in italics the number of net seat changes that actually occurred.

The final column shows the number of seats that would be expected to change if the national swing was uniform - notice that the regional variations don't have a very large effect, except 1964 - along with the uniform swing that one might expect to be required to produce the actual gains (the 'effective swing,' for lack of a better term).

« Last Edit: January 29, 2014, 05:51:15 pm by DistingFlyer »Logged
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