SurveyUSA: Risch leads LaRocco by 16

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Risch proves to be the "weakest" of the "strongest" candidates, but not by any significant margin.  All polls have a MoE of plus or minus 4.3%.

Risch (R) 52%
LaRocco (D) 36%

Simpson (R) 54%
LaRocco (D) 34%

Kempthorne (R) 55%
LaRocco (D) 36%

[Mr.Phips]

Risch proves to be the "weakest" of the "strongest" candidates, but not by any significant margin.  All polls have a MoE of plus or minus 4.3%.

Risch (R) 52%
LaRocco (D) 36%

Simpson (R) 54%
LaRocco (D) 34%

Kempthorne (R) 55%
LaRocco (D) 36%

Thats actually a lot closer then I would have expected.  I would expect any Republican other than Larry Craig to be leading LaRocco by at least 30 points.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Ah, just caused by an open seat and a bit of name recognition on behalf of LaRocco.

Risch has surprisingly bad name recognition for someone who served as Acting Governor for a year and a half.  The 16 point gap should probably swell a bit in Risch's favor as the campaign progresses.  (Or, once he's appointed, and can actually get to work doing stuff for Idaho.)

[Eraserhead]

Larry Craig needs to run again.

[Tender Branson]

Doesn´t surprise me. The ID-seat isn´t winnable.

[Eraserhead]

I really wish they just polled Craig for the hell of it.

[??????????]

This doesn't warrant a thread.

[Alcon]

This doesn't warrant a thread.

A poll doesn't?  Yeah, Jeff, whatever.

This isn't a very surprising margin.  Even when Kempthorne was popular, he didn't really win landslides.  It's closer than it usually is, probably because of the few voters punishing the Idaho GOP.  This is pretty much to be expected, though.  Name recognition actually doesn't vary that much in Idaho races, from what I can tell.