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Author Topic: French election maps  (Read 241245 times)
MaxQue
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« Reply #125 on: August 13, 2008, 11:55:15 AM »


Is it the gay-hater with the Bible?
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Hashemite
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« Reply #126 on: October 25, 2008, 04:37:06 PM »
« Edited: October 25, 2008, 05:21:54 PM by Newfoundland Forever »

*blows the ton of dust accumulated*

Unemployment map



I have data by department by quarter going back to 1982, so I can make some earlier maps if anyone has a specific request.

BTW, if you ever happen to year the Viscount boast that Vendee has the lowest unemployment, it's obviously false.

I'll do some sort of election map soon, but I have no clue of what.

So, any requests for maps at this point?
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #127 on: October 25, 2008, 07:39:43 PM »

'69 Deferre, if it hasn't been done.
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« Reply #128 on: October 25, 2008, 07:45:52 PM »

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #129 on: October 26, 2008, 12:07:14 AM »

Ah.

The Duclos map makes me happy. Too bad Poher did so well. A Duclos v. Poher runoff would've been nice.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #130 on: October 26, 2008, 01:51:59 AM »

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



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     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?
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« Reply #131 on: October 26, 2008, 07:39:26 AM »

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



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     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

The SFIO was in an horrible state in 1969, which was just after the FGDS exploded in 1968. In addition, his centrist standing and his opposition to the 5th Republic didn't help either.

He lost lots of votes to Alain Poher and Duclos took like all Communist votes. Rocard didn't help much either.
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Xahar
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« Reply #132 on: October 26, 2008, 11:46:35 AM »

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



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     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

The SFIO was in an horrible state in 1969, which was just after the FGDS exploded in 1968. In addition, his centrist standing and his opposition to the 5th Republic didn't help either.

He lost lots of votes to Alain Poher and Duclos took like all Communist votes. Rocard didn't help much either.

What was abstention like in each round?
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« Reply #133 on: October 26, 2008, 03:28:33 PM »

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



Larger version


     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

The SFIO was in an horrible state in 1969, which was just after the FGDS exploded in 1968. In addition, his centrist standing and his opposition to the 5th Republic didn't help either.

He lost lots of votes to Alain Poher and Duclos took like all Communist votes. Rocard didn't help much either.

What was abstention like in each round?

Second lowest turnout in the first round after 2002 and lowest runoff turnout (68.85) in the runoff.
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Xahar
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« Reply #134 on: October 26, 2008, 09:24:19 PM »

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



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     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

The SFIO was in an horrible state in 1969, which was just after the FGDS exploded in 1968. In addition, his centrist standing and his opposition to the 5th Republic didn't help either.

He lost lots of votes to Alain Poher and Duclos took like all Communist votes. Rocard didn't help much either.

What was abstention like in each round?

Second lowest turnout in the first round after 2002 and lowest runoff turnout (68.85) in the runoff.

I can understand the second round, but why the first?
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« Reply #135 on: October 27, 2008, 06:53:03 AM »

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



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     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

The SFIO was in an horrible state in 1969, which was just after the FGDS exploded in 1968. In addition, his centrist standing and his opposition to the 5th Republic didn't help either.

He lost lots of votes to Alain Poher and Duclos took like all Communist votes. Rocard didn't help much either.

What was abstention like in each round?

Second lowest turnout in the first round after 2002 and lowest runoff turnout (68.85) in the runoff.

I can understand the second round, but why the first?

Generally poor-to-mediocre candidates, lack of interest, and the election was the second in 1969 (after the referendum).
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« Reply #136 on: October 27, 2008, 11:07:56 PM »

So it felt like a legislative election in terms of voter fatigue?
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« Reply #137 on: October 28, 2008, 07:11:49 AM »

So it felt like a legislative election in terms of voter fatigue?

Good way of putting it.

One or two new maps tonight.
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #138 on: October 28, 2008, 03:18:01 PM »

I am excited.
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« Reply #139 on: October 28, 2008, 04:39:51 PM »

Workers of the World, rejoice!





Analysis to be on my website sooner or later.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #140 on: October 29, 2008, 12:40:19 AM »

     What was La Corse's turnout in the first turn in 1969 precisely?
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« Reply #141 on: October 29, 2008, 06:48:26 AM »

     What was La Corse's turnout in the first turn in 1969 precisely?

61.17%.

60.05% in the runoff.
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« Reply #142 on: October 30, 2008, 12:57:05 AM »

     What was La Corse's turnout in the first turn in 1969 precisely?

61.17%.

60.05% in the runoff.

     That's pathetic, considering every other department broke 70%.
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« Reply #143 on: October 30, 2008, 07:07:04 AM »

     What was La Corse's turnout in the first turn in 1969 precisely?

61.17%.

60.05% in the runoff.

     That's pathetic, considering every other department broke 70%.

Well, yes, it is. But Corse is not subject to normality.

1965 R1: 85.02% (F), 56.42% (C)
1965 R2: 84.53% (F), 61.28% (C)
1969 R1: 78.23% (F), 61.17% (C)
1969 R2: 69.03% (F), 60.05% (C)
1974 R1: 84.90% (F), 72.79% (C)
1974 R2: 87.92% (F), 80.26% (C)
1981 R1: 81.48% (F), 64.89% (C)
1981 R2: 86.23% (F), 73.31% (C)
1988 R1: 82.02% (F), 67.52% (C)
1988 R2: 84.64% (F), 76.48% (C)
1995 R1: 79.48% (F), 66.98% (C)
1995 R2: 80.44% (F), 75.04% (C)
2002 R1: 71.61% (F), 58.62% (C)
2002 R2: 79.71% (F), 67.78% (C)
2007 R1: 83.77% (F), 75.50% (C)
2007 R2: 83.97% (F), 78.58% (C)
Met France results from '65 to '95.

2004Reg1: 62.12% (F), 72.51% (C)
2004Reg2: 65.68% (F), 74.98% (C)

Basically Corse doesn't have an history of voting massively in national elections, mainly because the candidates aren't from Corse, don't care a whole lot about Corse, and because it doesn't concern their little business. They do, however, vote massively, in much higher numbers than Metro France in local elections (many cantons had 80-90ish turnout this year) to elect the local mafia boss mayor. Because locals concern them directly and they know all the candidates and local mayors have a massive GOTV effort for the locals, regionals, and legislative elections. And villages remember than the great-great-grandfather of the man running for deputy stole one of the local inhabitant's donkey in 1802. Or vice versa.

I posted this a while ago on Corse politics:

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« Reply #144 on: November 02, 2008, 09:25:21 AM »

EU maps!



UDF orange, Greenies in... green, PCR in red



CPNT yellow



Rads in orange, MDC in yellow



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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #145 on: November 02, 2008, 02:03:50 PM »

European elections are weird.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #146 on: November 02, 2008, 02:58:30 PM »


Understatement.
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big bad fab
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« Reply #147 on: November 11, 2008, 05:11:34 PM »

Much appreciated.

Is there any particular reason for Fabius's strong showing in Aquitaine (Gironde, Landes, Pyrénées-Atlantiques) and Haute-Corse? It also seems that he did well in the Diagonale du vide.

During the 2006 primary inside the PS, Fabius was supported by the left wing of the party: Emmanuelli is from Landes and is very strong in Landes and Pyrénées Atlantiques.
Gironde's local organization ("fédération") was led by fabiusians (Anziani, Madrelle) for a long time. The same for Haute Corse.
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filliatre
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« Reply #148 on: November 11, 2008, 05:15:46 PM »

Why did Le Pen do so well in Aquitaine (Gironde, Lot-et-Garonne)?

Le Pen seems to do better in Gironde and Lot-et-Garonne than in the other departments of Aquitaine.

It's also stretching it a bit to say he did "so well" in Gironde and Lot-et-Garonne, Gironde-5 was very close (Chirac was only a few % behind). Saint-Josse and CPNT do well there too (14.7% in Gironde-5 in 2002). Gironde-11 was also close.

edit: The FN also had a seat(s) in Bordeaux until this year.

Le Pen always did well along the Garonne valley (Gironde, Lot-et-Garonne, Tarn-et-Garonne, Tarn, but also Haute-Garonne), because of big or middle-size cities (Bordeaux, Agen, Marmande, Montauban, Toulouse, Castres) but also beacause of "rapatriés", "pieds-noirs", Europeans who went back in France when Algeria won its independence in 1962.
This is the electoral legacy if this French exodus....

IIRC, Tixier-Vignancour in 1965 did also well in these "départements". But it must be checked.
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big bad fab
filliatre
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« Reply #149 on: November 11, 2008, 05:38:47 PM »

Why did Le Pen do so well in Aquitaine (Gironde, Lot-et-Garonne)?

Le Pen seems to do better in Gironde and Lot-et-Garonne than in the other departments of Aquitaine.

It's also stretching it a bit to say he did "so well" in Gironde and Lot-et-Garonne, Gironde-5 was very close (Chirac was only a few % behind). Saint-Josse and CPNT do well there too (14.7% in Gironde-5 in 2002). Gironde-11 was also close.

edit: The FN also had a seat(s) in Bordeaux until this year.

Le Pen always did well along the Garonne valley (Gironde, Lot-et-Garonne, Tarn-et-Garonne, Tarn, but also Haute-Garonne), because of big or middle-size cities (Bordeaux, Agen, Marmande, Montauban, Toulouse, Castres) but also beacause of "rapatriés", "pieds-noirs", Europeans who went back in France when Algeria won its independence in 1962.
This is the electoral legacy if this French exodus....

IIRC, Tixier-Vignancour in 1965 did also well in these "départements". But it must be checked.

Confirmed: Tixier Vignancour did very well there (in relative terms), up to Charente-Maritime BTW, like Le Pen 20 years later...

And in 1962, the "no" in the referendum on Evian agreements (which made Algeria an independent state) did very well also in the vallet Garonne (apart from the South East, old stronghold of the far right).
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