French Elections 1848-2010

[Hashemite]

Taubira.



Amusing patterns.

I'll do a LePage and Mamere map.

I see the strong performance in the Third Republic Radical strongholds.

She also got higher-than-usual votes for the PRG in the Paris 'burbs being the first black candidate and so forth.

[Judäischen Volksfront]

On a tangent, Jean Marie Le Pen is selling the party's HQ mansion in Western Paris to...the Shanghai University.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7555861.stm

Fier d'être chinois?

[Hashemite]

Christine Boutin

[Senator MaxQue]

Christine Boutin

Is it the gay-hater with the Bible?

[Hashemite]

*blows the ton of dust accumulated*

Unemployment map



I have data by department by quarter going back to 1982, so I can make some earlier maps if anyone has a specific request.

BTW, if you ever happen to year the Viscount boast that Vendee has the lowest unemployment, it's obviously false.

I'll do some sort of election map soon, but I have no clue of what.

So, any requests for maps at this point?

[Χahar]

'69 Deferre, if it hasn't been done.

[Hashemite]

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



Larger version

[Χahar]

Ah.

The Duclos map makes me happy. Too bad Poher did so well. A Duclos v. Poher runoff would've been nice.

[Fmr. Emperor PiT]

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



Larger version

     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

[Hashemite]

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



Larger version

     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

The SFIO was in an horrible state in 1969, which was just after the FGDS exploded in 1968. In addition, his centrist standing and his opposition to the 5th Republic didn't help either.

He lost lots of votes to Alain Poher and Duclos took like all Communist votes. Rocard didn't help much either.

[Χahar]

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



Larger version

     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

The SFIO was in an horrible state in 1969, which was just after the FGDS exploded in 1968. In addition, his centrist standing and his opposition to the 5th Republic didn't help either.

He lost lots of votes to Alain Poher and Duclos took like all Communist votes. Rocard didn't help much either.

What was abstention like in each round?

[Hashemite]

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



Larger version

     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

The SFIO was in an horrible state in 1969, which was just after the FGDS exploded in 1968. In addition, his centrist standing and his opposition to the 5th Republic didn't help either.

He lost lots of votes to Alain Poher and Duclos took like all Communist votes. Rocard didn't help much either.

What was abstention like in each round?

Second lowest turnout in the first round after 2002 and lowest runoff turnout (68.85) in the runoff.

[Χahar]

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



Larger version

     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

The SFIO was in an horrible state in 1969, which was just after the FGDS exploded in 1968. In addition, his centrist standing and his opposition to the 5th Republic didn't help either.

He lost lots of votes to Alain Poher and Duclos took like all Communist votes. Rocard didn't help much either.

What was abstention like in each round?

Second lowest turnout in the first round after 2002 and lowest runoff turnout (68.85) in the runoff.

I can understand the second round, but why the first?

[Hashemite]

Departmental strength of major candidates in the first round of the 1969 Presidential elections



Larger version

     Why did the Communist do so much better than the Socialist?

The SFIO was in an horrible state in 1969, which was just after the FGDS exploded in 1968. In addition, his centrist standing and his opposition to the 5th Republic didn't help either.

He lost lots of votes to Alain Poher and Duclos took like all Communist votes. Rocard didn't help much either.

What was abstention like in each round?

Second lowest turnout in the first round after 2002 and lowest runoff turnout (68.85) in the runoff.

I can understand the second round, but why the first?

Generally poor-to-mediocre candidates, lack of interest, and the election was the second in 1969 (after the referendum).

[Χahar]

So it felt like a legislative election in terms of voter fatigue?

[Hashemite]

So it felt like a legislative election in terms of voter fatigue?

Good way of putting it.

One or two new maps tonight.

[Χahar]

I am excited.

[Hashemite]

Workers of the World, rejoice!





Analysis to be on my website sooner or later.

[Fmr. Emperor PiT]

     What was La Corse's turnout in the first turn in 1969 precisely?

[Hashemite]

     What was La Corse's turnout in the first turn in 1969 precisely?

61.17%.

60.05% in the runoff.

[Fmr. Emperor PiT]

     What was La Corse's turnout in the first turn in 1969 precisely?

61.17%.

60.05% in the runoff.

     That's pathetic, considering every other department broke 70%.

[Hashemite]

     What was La Corse's turnout in the first turn in 1969 precisely?

61.17%.

60.05% in the runoff.

     That's pathetic, considering every other department broke 70%.

Well, yes, it is. But Corse is not subject to normality.

1965 R1: 85.02% (F), 56.42% (C)
1965 R2: 84.53% (F), 61.28% (C)
1969 R1: 78.23% (F), 61.17% (C)
1969 R2: 69.03% (F), 60.05% (C)
1974 R1: 84.90% (F), 72.79% (C)
1974 R2: 87.92% (F), 80.26% (C)
1981 R1: 81.48% (F), 64.89% (C)
1981 R2: 86.23% (F), 73.31% (C)
1988 R1: 82.02% (F), 67.52% (C)
1988 R2: 84.64% (F), 76.48% (C)
1995 R1: 79.48% (F), 66.98% (C)
1995 R2: 80.44% (F), 75.04% (C)
2002 R1: 71.61% (F), 58.62% (C)
2002 R2: 79.71% (F), 67.78% (C)
2007 R1: 83.77% (F), 75.50% (C)
2007 R2: 83.97% (F), 78.58% (C)
Met France results from '65 to '95.

2004Reg1: 62.12% (F), 72.51% (C)
2004Reg2: 65.68% (F), 74.98% (C)

Basically Corse doesn't have an history of voting massively in national elections, mainly because the candidates aren't from Corse, don't care a whole lot about Corse, and because it doesn't concern their little business. They do, however, vote massively, in much higher numbers than Metro France in local elections (many cantons had 80-90ish turnout this year) to elect the local mafia boss mayor. Because locals concern them directly and they know all the candidates and local mayors have a massive GOTV effort for the locals, regionals, and legislative elections. And villages remember than the great-great-grandfather of the man running for deputy stole one of the local inhabitant's donkey in 1802. Or vice versa.

I posted this a while ago on Corse politics:

People in Corse vote based on person, not candidate. A Communist official could very well support the UMP candidate, and a UMP official could very well support the leftie candidate. Because the candidate is their cousin, or because they hate the candidate put up by their party.

Then, local villages are dominated by mayors who often make deals with the incumbent (in general elections). If the mayor drives everybody to the polls, then he gets funding. If he doesn't, then he gets 0 Euros. People vote based on what the mayor tells them, because he directly relates their vote for the incumbent to the installation of the street lamp in front of their house that hasn't been done in 25 years.

Apart from that, people vote because the incumbent is in their family, because he's nice, because he did this and that for them, because the great-grandfather of the incumbent (who was most likely a deputy in the 1800s for the same seat) did this and that and you need to pay back his great-grandson.
Or, you don't vote for them because the incumbent is from your rival clan, because his great-grandfather was mad with your great-grandfather, because they're not friends, because the mayor hates the incumbent and wants him to lose.

My contact in Haute-Corse told me about a local mayor and councilor who campaigned for the UMP candidate against the PRG incumbent Paul Giacobbi (who is the son of a Senator, who himself was the son of another Senator pre-war) in June 2007. In March 2008, he was re-elected and joined the PRG majority led by... Paul Giacobbi.

[Hashemite]

EU maps!



UDF orange, Greenies in... green, PCR in red



CPNT yellow



Rads in orange, MDC in yellow

[Χahar]

European elections are weird.

[Hashemite]

European elections are weird.

Understatement.