French election maps

[Хahar]

Michel Debré does not approve this message. Aaaaaaargh, speak FRENCH

Michel Debré also does not approve of two-round legislative elections.

[big bad fab]

Michel Debré does not approve this message. Aaaaaaargh, speak FRENCH

Michel Debré also does not approve of two-round legislative elections.

That's why I haven't hated him entirely...

France with British first-past-the-vote would be so coooool !
(just for fun, though, as I think our current system is the best, from a pragmatic viewpoint and if we forget about the problem of gerrymandering)

[Хahar]

Cool, but horrible.

[Getúlio L'Hermine Vargas]

1999 Results by constituency:



Orange for the UDF, yellow for CPNT, purple for RPF. IIRC, the RPF won a constituency in Vaucluse, which is harder to make out though the constituencies in the Alpes-Maritimes, Var and Vendée should be.

CPNT won 11 constituencies, and broke 40% in both constituencies of the Somme estuary. All are major hunting areas (gibier d'eau). The CPNT vote is concentrated in those hunting areas on the shores of Gironde, Charente-Maritime, Lower Normandy, Somme and sometimes Pas-de-Calais. CPNT is more the "C Party", since PNT doesn't get them much votes methinks.

And the media refers to them as "les chasseurs" anyways.

[Getúlio L'Hermine Vargas]

Let us pause for a moment of wtflols. The Socialists won, kind of, the Manche's 2nd constituency. The Manche's 2nd constituency, yes, the Manche's 2nd constituency. rofl UMP rofl. That's a place where legislative election runoffs, if they even happen, tend to be between right-wing rivals.

Anyways, constituencies the UMP won:

Alpes-Maritimes 8: Cannes
Corse-du-Sud 2: the stronghold of the Rocca Serra family. It's Corse, so family name and said family's political affiliation is much more important than anything else.
Doubs-5: Pontarlier and environs, a very conservative and Catholic rural area... as opposed to the more industrialized and secularized areas north of the department.
Lozere-2: The most Catholic area of Lozere - aka the area that includes none of the Cevennes. And also doesn't include a major urban centre (Mende)
Cantal-2: Saint-Flour, also very Catholic and rural as opposed to Aurillac which has some old Radical traditions. The UMP gains between 2004 and 2009 were quite small (below national average) in this area - primarily due to Chirac being gone (though the UMP did surprisingly well in Chiraquie in 2009 considering how sh**t-poor Sarko did there in 2007). My map shows it well and goes in the face of the stupid pundits who like to flaunt that the UMP is gaining back ground in Chirac's backyard.
Nord-9: Marcq-en-Baroeul, the wealthiest area in the Nord-Pas-de-Calais. A suburb of Lille, too.
Rhone-5: Caluire-et-Cuire, the very wealthy suburbs of Lyon.
Bas-Rhin - all except Strasbourg and Haut-Rhin - all except Colmar, Cernay and Mulhouse: Ahem, Alsace. What's also interesting is that, IIRC, Alsatian Protestants (of which there are quite a few, which surprises some people who think of Alsace as Catholic heartland), lean to the right much more than Protestant minorities in other parts of the country... I suppose the special religious exceptions in Alsace-Moselle explain this a lot. Not to say, however, that there isn't a religious divide: just that Protestants tend to be Gaullists and Catholics tend to be Christiandems. Another division in Alsace was between Alsatian-speakers and French/Vosgiens-speakers, the latter of which tend to the left. Outside of Strasbourg, Royal's "best" performances (aka, places where she actually broke 40% lol) were all in French-speaking country. I ought to write more about Elsàss another day, since I love Elsàss.
Paris: Very wealthy places.
Hauts-de-Seine: Yay more very wealthy places.
Yvelines: No, it can't be more very wealthy places. Yes, it is!
Guyane-2: Lol
Mayotte: Lol

Vendee really does stick out on that map, no?

[Lewis Trondheim the Amazing Bouncing Ferret]

All the non-red bits stick out. Wtf Guayana?

[Getúlio L'Hermine Vargas]

All the non-red bits stick out. Wtf Guayana?

European elections since the adoption of the new constituencies in 2003 are mostly decided on favourite son votes (less so in 2009) since turnout is so low. The Green top candidate in 2004 and 2009 was from Guadeloupe and the Green's second candidate in both 2004 and 2009 was from Guyane. The UDF top candidate in 2004 was from Martinique. The PCR, of course, is from Reunion, though it allies with local Martinican parties.

[Getúlio L'Hermine Vargas]

Any requests?

[Jarl]

1999 without PS

[Getúlio L'Hermine Vargas]

Old thing I always wanted to do.



Tapie's 1994 run for the Radicals.

Some traditional RadSoc areas (Charente, Charente-Maritime, Tarn-et-Garonne, Lot, Haute-Corse, Haute-Pyrenees, Indre-et-Loire, Eure-et-Loir) but there's also a large part of the vote (majority probably, the PRG can't poll 12% nationally just on strength in its own strongholds) that came from Socialists or other lefties, as the higher shades in places like Lorraine or the North show well (those aren't traditional Radical areas, though there exists various pockets in those areas too). And also a favourite son vote in Bouches-du-Rhone and surroundings (for Tapie) and Guyane (for Taubira).

[big bad fab]

I'm not here for long tonight so I haven't checked, but it would be fine to see the FN map for this election, in Picardie, Ardennes, Lorraine, to see if Tapie hadn't stolen some popular vote from the FN: that's not entirely impossible, as these are areas of "leftist" FN vote.

Just an idea that may be entirely wrong.

Anyway, I understand that this was an "old thing you always wanted to do": that's very interesting (like when I've asked you tomake Juquin 1988 and Rocard 1969: unique maps !).
Thanks Hash.

[Getúlio L'Hermine Vargas]

A fun little map copied from from an interesting (but not little, really) book:



Source: Robb, G. 2007, The Discovery of France, London.

Quite amusing, and for once working with decimals doesn't  us all up. (The map is a map of the Max Simeoni regionalist/federalist list in 1994, which polled 0.40% in metro France).

[Getúlio L'Hermine Vargas]

I'm not here for long tonight so I haven't checked, but it would be fine to see the FN map for this election, in Picardie, Ardennes, Lorraine, to see if Tapie hadn't stolen some popular vote from the FN: that's not entirely impossible, as these are areas of "leftist" FN vote.

Here thee goes:



You're probably kind of right, unsurprisingly. Though Somme's poor result is based more on the strength of CPNT there...

[Demented Voter]

Oh, now that's wonderful. Not perfect, but still wonderful.

[big bad fab]

I'm not here for long tonight so I haven't checked, but it would be fine to see the FN map for this election, in Picardie, Ardennes, Lorraine, to see if Tapie hadn't stolen some popular vote from the FN: that's not entirely impossible, as these are areas of "leftist" FN vote.

Here thee goes:



You're probably kind of right, unsurprisingly. Though Somme's poor result is based more on the strength of CPNT there...

Mmmmh... I wouldn't be so sure in fact. Tapie may have stolen something, but not much.

Probably more an effect of "forgotten" people: Thiérache in Aisne, all the Ardennes, former combat zones in Meuse, Meurthe, Marne, etc, all areas really far away from Paris and the power.

Here, it's not really racism that works for the FN (as in Haut-Rhin, in Eure-et-Loir, in Oise, in the South-East or even in Loire), more the isolation.

So, Tapie's so-called rebellion against the "establishement", but without racism, may have play well here.