Survey USA: September Senate Approval Ratings
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  Survey USA: September Senate Approval Ratings
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Author Topic: Survey USA: September Senate Approval Ratings  (Read 693 times)
Adlai Stevenson
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« on: September 26, 2007, 10:19:44 AM »

http://www.surveyusa.com/50StateTracking.html

2008 SENATE RACES -

Republicans:

Norm Coleman   9/25/07   8/21/07   7/24/07   6/19/07   5/24/07   4/24/07   11/22/06
Approve   46   47   43   48   51   53   48
Disapprove   45   44   48   41   42   41   43

Bad news for Coleman who hangs around the mid-40's in extremely vulnerable territory, again very near a net-negative approval. Especially bad news when you hold Coleman's 46-45 next to Senator Amy Klobuchar's 62-32.

Pete Domenici   9/25/07   8/21/07   7/24/07   6/19/07   5/24/07   4/24/07   11/22/06
Approve   41   52   55   51   52   54   68
Disapprove   54   41   41   42   42   38   25

These are the most shocking new numbers. Domenici's steady fall seemed to have levelled off in the low-50's. Are these atrocious numbers just an outlying blip or a sign of more pointed disapproval? We won't know until next month's numbers establish a new trend or evidence that it was just a blip. But very intriguing.

Mitch McConnell   9/25/07   8/21/07   7/24/07   6/19/07   5/24/07   4/24/07   11/22/06
Approve   51   50   48   52   54   53   54
Disapprove   40   43   44   42   39   40   39

McConnell continues to hover right around that 50% danger mark.

Pat Roberts   9/25/07   8/21/07   7/24/07   6/19/07   5/24/07   4/24/07   11/22/06
Approve   57   54   52   51   52   48   51
Disapprove   32   33   34   37   36   39   36

After spending time flirting with the 50% mark, Roberts' approval has shifted back up into traditionally safer territory.

Jeff Sessions   9/25/07   8/21/07   7/24/07   6/19/07   5/24/07   4/24/07   11/22/06
Approve   56   59   58   59   60   54   58
Disapprove   34   33   33   33   31   36   32

Not much new with Sessions. If he stays above 55%, he should be very comfortable.

Gordon Smith   9/25/07   8/21/07   7/24/07   6/19/07   5/24/07   4/24/07   11/22/06
Approve   48   46   48   47   48   51   54
Disapprove   42   44   43   45   39   41   37

Smith spends his fifth consecutive month with an approval under 50% and his fourth consecutive month with a disapproval above 40%. Classicly vulnerable.

Democrats:

Tom Harkin   9/25/07   8/21/07   7/24/07   6/19/07   5/24/07   4/24/07   11/22/06
Approve   53   57   55   51   56   57   53
Disapprove   40   35   38   38   36   38   40

Harkin keeps the head above 50%. Probably not low enough to tempt Tom Latham to gamble his House seat on a Senate challenge.

John Kerry   9/25/07   8/21/07   7/24/07   6/19/07   5/24/07   4/24/07   11/22/06
Approve   52   47   52   50   47   54   48
Disapprove   42   45   42   46   47   41   50

Kerry also stays above 50%. I wonder how low his approval would have to go before the NRSC committed funds to Massachusetts?

http://senate2008guru.blogspot.com/
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2007, 10:54:21 AM »

New Mexico is... surprising. Perhaps they got the figures backwards, and 54% is the approval?
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2007, 12:49:42 PM »

Domenici spokesman Chris Gallegos said Tuesday, "This is so far removed from our own professional survey research it verges on ludicrous.''
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #3 on: September 26, 2007, 01:30:31 PM »

http://www.surveyusa.com/50StateTracking.html
John Kerry   9/25/07   8/21/07   7/24/07   6/19/07   5/24/07   4/24/07   11/22/06
Approve   52   47   52   50   47   54   48
Disapprove   42   45   42   46   47   41   50

Kerry also stays above 50%. I wonder how low his approval would have to go before the NRSC committed funds to Massachusetts?

One would assume Republicans would need a candidate there, first?

Seriously, what is this insane fetish Democrats have with Republicans spending money in Massachusetts?  Republicans don't have the money, and seriously, even if they did, they're not idiots.
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Padfoot
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« Reply #4 on: September 26, 2007, 07:55:37 PM »

http://www.surveyusa.com/50StateTracking.html
John Kerry   9/25/07   8/21/07   7/24/07   6/19/07   5/24/07   4/24/07   11/22/06
Approve   52   47   52   50   47   54   48
Disapprove   42   45   42   46   47   41   50

Kerry also stays above 50%. I wonder how low his approval would have to go before the NRSC committed funds to Massachusetts?

One would assume Republicans would need a candidate there, first?

Seriously, what is this insane fetish Democrats have with Republicans spending money in Massachusetts?  Republicans don't have the money, and seriously, even if they did, they're not idiots.

That's kind of the point.  Democrats know they'll crush any Republicans who run in Massachusetts so any Republican spending there is like finding a pot of gold for Democrats.  It's one of their favorite wet dreams:  "GOP wastes all campaign funds in horrendously failed attempt at Massachusetts Senate race."

As for New Mexico, I was looking at the party breakdown and comparing the last three polls and I discovered something that surprised me.  I was expecting to see a dramatic shift amongst independent voters but what I saw instead leads me to believe this is not an outlier:

7/25/07

Republicans: 75-25-3
Democrats: 48-49-3
Independents: 40-56-4

8/21/07

Republicans: 64-30-5
Democrats: 47-46-7
Independents: 38-51-11

9/25/07

Republicans: 62-31-6
Democrats: 31-66-4
Independents: 34-58-8

Essentially Domenici has been without independent support for the past few months.  The thing that has changed is his bipartisan appeal.  Democrats who were previously split evenly are now disapproving of Domenici by a 2:1 ratio.  This is especially significant because according to SUSA self-identified Democrats account for just a little less than 50% of the New Mexico electorate.   Since the dramatic swing shown by this poll is the result of partisan opinion I'm much more inclined to believe this poll is indeed accurate and Domenici is in for a world of hurt.
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socaldem
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« Reply #5 on: September 27, 2007, 02:59:39 AM »

Is there any truth to the rumor that Bill Richardson may very well consider the senate seat when his presidential campaign does its inevitable crash and burn?

Will Mayor Chavez have second thoughts about taking on an increasingly powerful Light Gov. Denish and challenge the weakened senior senator?

Here's hoping...
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