VA-GOP opts for convention; Davis likely to drop out

[Smash255]

OMGZ.

va-09 is trending gop. 

watch out boucher!

Your argument is irrefutable. I yield.

all of this trending stuff is stupid.

use 'trended'...past tense. 

i guess you werent around in 2004 when shira was posting everyday how kerry was going to win florida  comfortably because it was trending democrat.  just look at 1988-2000!

Northern VA is showing no signs of slowing down that trend.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

There's nothing so amusing as to see people believe their own spin.

Look, can I just put a few facts on the record?

The results for the 11th district of Virginia in 2006 were:

Davis 55%, Hurst 43%, Others around 1% or so. Davis won by just under 12pts.

The swing in the district was very close to the national swing (-5.09 in VA-11, -5.27 U.S average).

davis had a HUGE $$ advantage.  He outspent Hirsch by 9-1 in 06.  The higher turnout that comes in a Pres election, the continued Democratic trend of the district as well as a $$ race thats even remotely close could leave Davis in a whole ton of trouble.

Give my regards to Congressman Mejias next time you see him.

[Smash255]

There's nothing so amusing as to see people believe their own spin.

Look, can I just put a few facts on the record?

The results for the 11th district of Virginia in 2006 were:

Davis 55%, Hurst 43%, Others around 1% or so. Davis won by just under 12pts.

The swing in the district was very close to the national swing (-5.09 in VA-11, -5.27 U.S average).

davis had a HUGE $$ advantage.  He outspent Hirsch by 9-1 in 06.  The higher turnout that comes in a Pres election, the continued Democratic trend of the district as well as a $$ race thats even remotely close could leave Davis in a whole ton of trouble.

Give my regards to Congressman Mejias next time you see him.

I never claimed Mejias would win, I did think it was going to be closer than what it was, but it also was King's closest election since his first one in 1992.

 In regards to Davis you really are underestimating the impact $$ has on a race like this.  Davis outspent Hirsch by nine to one.  To outspend your opponent by 9 to 1 and win by only 11 isn't exactly something to be proud of.  If the $$ race was even remotely close this would have been much closer than that. 

Anyway unless Davis can come up with a similar spending advantage next year as he did last year, he is up for a very competitive race.

[Gabu]

any respectable GOP nominee running for the Senate in a Presidential year will get over 40% of the vote

So then Gilmore won't get over 40% of the vote.

[Adlai Stevenson]

any respectable GOP nominee running for the Senate in a Presidential year will get over 40% of the vote

So then Gilmore won't get over 40% of the vote.

I knew when I typed that that someone would take that line LOL!

[StateBoiler]

If I were a typical Virginia Republican voter, I wouldn't be entirely happy about this and that I have no voice in selecting the nominee.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/discussion/2007/10/11/DI2007101100884.html

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