Is Clinton peaking too early? (user search)
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  Is Clinton peaking too early? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is Clinton peaking too early?  (Read 3892 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: October 22, 2007, 06:11:35 PM »

but are they willing to go GOP-GOP-GOP-GOP ?

2000 to 2012 would only be GOP-GOP-GOP.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2007, 05:57:09 PM »

In '03-04, Kerry was, in fact, a hidden leader, almost from the beginning.

A hidden leader.  That's one way to spin things when you're losing.  ("I'm not really in third place.  My lead is hidden.")  Wink
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: November 10, 2007, 06:41:45 PM »

By "hidden leader" about Kerry, I meant a quite moderate WASP, an effective governor, with big cash (thanks Heinz), with no Mexican nanny, with a very serious profile.

Well, it's simply that, during campaigns, everybody wants to see big surprises, ups and downs everyday... and, eventually, there are scarcely real surprises (Humphrey, Bill Clinton, who else?).

Ummm....Kerry isn't a WASP, and he was never a governor.

But what you're saying is that Kerry had several advantages that made it unsurprising that he would win the nomination.  Except that, at the time, it was extremely surprising to the entire political class.  Kerry had been all but written off as a joke candidate by December 2003.  The fact that he was able to come back and win was pretty shocking at the time.  To suggest otherwise is to rewrite history.

I am by no means predicting that the same is necessarily going to happen again this time.  Just saying that upsets do happen, and 2004 was a pretty big one.
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