Is Clinton peaking too early?

[big bad fab]

No, she isn't.

Remember '99 and Dubya in the GOP primaries: he was peaking early...and late....and finally won easily. McCain revolt was short-lived even if pundits and people like us talked a lot about a possible success of McCain surge.

In '03-04, Kerry was, in fact, a hidden leader, almost from the beginning.

Unfortunately, real surprises (like Bill Clinton) are rarer and rarer....

Yes, it's possible to look at Huckabee but....

(PS: 3 years ago, I dreamt of a.... dream team McCain-Romney.....).

[big bad fab]

By "hidden leader" about Kerry, I meant a quite moderate WASP, an effective governor, with big cash (thanks Heinz), with no Mexican nanny, with a very serious profile.

Well, it's simply that, during campaigns, everybody wants to see big surprises, ups and downs everyday... and, eventually, there are scarcely real surprises (Humphrey, Bill Clinton, who else?).

In the Dem primary campaign, lots of people want to believe a big surprise can still occur. No bet.

Nevertheless, the GOP process is far more interesting. If you follow my "hidden leader" pseudo-theory, Romney would be designated. Let's see....

What is a bit disappointing is that the probable GOP surprise will finish in a bad crash in Novembrer !