Be careful, lol.
Some of us are a trfile older than that, and more than familiar with voting trends, patterns, demography etc etc.
Having said all of that, I'm not giving the Dem any of these states yet - not even AR. But I think that people have also got to get a grip on the fact that the removal of the imcumbent (who was tailor made for states like KY, WV, MO, WV etc etc) does throw a lot of things up in the air. And to presume that the Dems have to essentially nominate a DINO to win (some believe they are about to do so anyway) - is equally wrong (although based on some facts) - in the case of Clinton she's already an established NATIONAL political figure - her views count - her geogrpahy won't - unlike Kerry... basically what I'm saying is her "liberalness" will hurt her... not the fact she's from the NE... especially in the case of a Romney or Giuliani candidacy.
I think to make absolute statements at this stage is wrong, simply because of the letter after their name - I personally don't think Giuliani will play very well in a general in the "border" states, nor will Romney.
I don't think in this particular scenario Bayh could swing IN, I think he could make KY close, OH is already looking good - plus help in states like MO and IA. I don't think we can or should base expected results on 2004 - no more than we could judge 2000 on 1996.
Yeah, I don't know how a 21st century democrat is going to win back the old 20th century while doing badly in places where the 20th century GOP base is eroding.
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