Just to push BushOklahoma's button

[memphis]

I'd say option 3. Probably something like 62-38.

[Eraserhead]

I will be optimistic and say option 2 (around 18-20%).

[Erc]

For reference, Bush beat Kerry in the state by 31 points.

[Joe Biden 2020]

For reference, Bush beat Kerry in the state by 31 points.

That was 2004, this is 2008, the maps won't look anywhere near the same.

I'm pretty sure it will be much fewer than 10 points.  53-46 is the most they will get.

[AndrewTX]

The republican will win with about 68%, about the same as the republican will get in MN.

[Eraserhead]

The republican will win with about 68%, about the same as the republican will get in MN.

What?

[CPT MikeyMike]

Even thought my vote will not go to the state (thank God), my bet is about 61-39 give or take.

Kansas will go Democrat before Oklahoma does and I'm not betting on that anytime soon.

[Person Man]

...after that, the GOP will have enough political capitol to suspend voting rights, start a nuclear war, turn all of the illegal darkies into soylent green and put everyone who didn't vote for them behind barbed wire. Oh....and don't forget that Ratzinger will be allowed to appoint 3 cabinent members and 5 members of the supreme court from his cardinals and Haliburton, Domino's, Charles Schwab, Dell and News Corp. will get one justice each and an equal share of the remaining cabinent positions.
Me on this post...

The republican will win with about 68%, about the same as the republican will get in MN.

What?

Even thought my vote will not go to the state (thank God), my bet is about 61-39 give or take.

Kansas will go Democrat before Oklahoma does and I'm not betting on that anytime soon.

37-62 for Okie.
39.9999-59 for Kansas (as close to 40% as you can get)

[HardRCafé]

I'm pretty sure it will be much fewer than 10 points.  53-46 is the most they will get.

The other stuff you're pretty sure of is wrong, too.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Edwards actually leads there.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2007/10/3/10473/6060

[Boris]

I agree with BuskOklahoma's astute analysis. I'm also going to go out on a limb and predict that the GOP will take Massachusetts by twenty-five percentage points. After all, this is 2008, not 2004. The maps won't look anywhere near the same.

[phk]

20-30 points.

Democratic should do better than Kerry but still handily lose.

[Lief 🗽]

With Clinton or Obama, 15-19%. With Edwards or Richardson, 8-12%.

[Ban my account ffs!]

Between 10-20% would be a safe guess.. probably something like a 55%-low 40s.

Just like Minnesota would never give a 20 point margin to the Democrat.. maybe 15 ... MAYBE.. but that's the max.  Amy Klobuchar got a 20 point margin and that was exceptional and hadn't happened since the 2nd world war.  The '08 dem will do better than Kerry though.

[Person Man]

If Okie isn't safe, I would guess that no where is safe except the militia northern Rockies and Mormontown.

[Stranger in a strange land]

The republicans will get in the 55-58% range. The dems will only win OK if the republicans absolutely crater.

[Person Man]

Would a OK loss show a disbanding GOP?

[Jake]

57-60 is likely the lowest they'll slip. Bush exceeded his nationwide total by 12.5% and 15%. The GOP candidate would have to get something like 40-43% nationwide to slip as far as BushOklahoma is guessing they will.

[gorkay]

57-60 is likely the lowest they'll slip. Bush exceeded his nationwide total by 12.5% and 15%. The GOP candidate would have to get something like 40-43% nationwide to slip as far as BushOklahoma is guessing they will.

It's possible.