How will the Mississippi's Governors race play out. (user search)
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  How will the Mississippi's Governors race play out. (search mode)
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Author Topic: How will the Mississippi's Governors race play out.  (Read 6390 times)
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« on: October 25, 2007, 12:20:05 PM »

Mississippi maps are no fun.

White counties = blue
Black counties = red

You don't think that Eaves's Jesus crap will persuade any whites?
Eaves will flip a few counties that are a slim-majority white.

I think he may get more than a few. Mississippi gubernatorial races are usually highly competitive.

I'm sure I'll take hell for this post in the form of a sharply worded chide from Harry, but honestly, there's really been little evidence that I've seen indicating that this race is competitive in the slightest.  The few clues I get—namely a significantly weaker Dem slate than was run in 2003 and a significant Barbour fundraising advantage—don't exactly point to this race being close.

I keep looking at this race, and I keep seeing Bush/Kerry numbers.  We'll see.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2007, 02:31:05 PM »

Don't let fundraising numbers fool you...Eaves isn't raising money but self-financing his campaign entirely, and using it as a campaign point to show how he's not in anyone's pocket.

Poor fundraising is a sign of poor organization and poor institutional support.  If people don't think you can win, people don't open up their purse to you.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2007, 09:39:26 PM »

In hindsight, it would have been better if Jindal had won then, so he'd be blamed for the Katrina mess (which would have been just as bad under him).

In hindsight, it would have been better if the mess hadn't been as bad.  And the school buses hadn't just sat there.

We'll never know. Blanco could have made the call to use the buses, but it was Ray Nagin's job first. He failed, yet was re-elected (partly due to the fact that Mitch Landrieu was perceived as a social liberal).

The National Review had a picture of those buses on its cover, the week after the storm. Conservatives seem to cling to that one detail of the whole Katrina disaster, and forget almost everything else. Such as, the National Guard being in Iraq instead of allowed to help in Louisiana.

Yeah, see, I don't know if things would have been any better with Jindal as Governor during Katrina, but I have a pretty good reason to believe it couldn't have been any worse.  Blanco was an unmitigated disaster.

I'd take the blind trade any day of the week.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2007, 10:43:20 PM »

I'm going to get blasted for this but oh well....

(D) Eaves 50.12%
(R) Barbour 49.88%

At this point, it's easiest to just let Tuesday's results blast you.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2007, 06:38:48 PM »

Barbour wins with 58.2%.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2007, 01:48:31 PM »


Final result:

Barbour 415,512 (58.1%)
Eaves 300,078 (41.9%)

So much for not knowing anything about Mississippi because I don't live there.
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