2007 University of Arkansas Poll

[Tender Branson]

As primaries approach, the poll asked Arkansans this pre-election question: "If the presidential election were held today, who would you vote for for president?" In answer to this open-ended question, 35 percent of respondents named Hillary Clinton. The next most frequently named candidates were Rudy Giuliani and Mike Huckabee at 8 percent each. More than one quarter of respondents hadn't yet decided who would get their vote.

The poll also asked respondents what they thought the chances were that certain candidates would be nominated or elected. Democratic voters were asked about Clinton, Barak Obama, John Edwards and Bill Richardson. When it comes to gaining the party's nomination, 93 percent agreed or strongly agreed that Clinton could be nominated, well above the 49 percent who agreed or strongly agreed that Obama could win the nomination. At the same time, 79 percent of Democratic Arkansans agreed or strongly agreed that Clinton could actually win the election, again well above Obama's 41 percent. Edwards' electability came in at 37 percent and Richardson's at 13 percent.

Republicans were asked the same questions about Giuliani, Huckabee, Fred Thompson, John McCain and Mitt Romney. Here the chances were much more closely grouped, with 56 percent agreeing or strongly agreeing that Giuliani could be elected, followed by Thompson at 45 percent, Huckabee at 44 percent, McCain at 32 percent and Romney at 28 percent.

"We've heard reports for months now that Republican voters aren't wildly enthusiastic about a particular candidate," Parry said. "It appears to be the case in Arkansas, too, that - for the first time in recent memory - the Republican base is fractured and uncertain, while Democrats have a clear favorite."

...

Beebe Approval: 70-9
Pryor Approval: 53-18
Lincoln Approval: 50-24
Bush Approval: 30-65

If the 2008 election for president were hold today, would you vote for the Republican Party’s candidate or the Democratic Party’s candidate?

Democratic Party’s candidate: 49%
Republican Party’s candidate: 31%
other/None (volunteered): 7%
don’t know/refused: 13%

http://dailyheadlines.uark.edu/11709.htm

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Beebe Approval: 70-9

Wow.

If the 2008 election for president were hold today, would you vote for the Republican Party’s candidate or the Democratic Party’s candidate?

Democratic Party’s candidate: 49%
Republican Party’s candidate: 31%
other/None (volunteered): 7%
don’t know/refused: 13%

Great!

[Tender Branson]

Beebe Approval: 70-9

Wow.

If the 2008 election for president were hold today, would you vote for the Republican Party’s candidate or the Democratic Party’s candidate?

Democratic Party’s candidate: 49%
Republican Party’s candidate: 31%
other/None (volunteered): 7%
don’t know/refused: 13%

Great!

Yes, but its a shame they didn´t conduct any primary or GE polls ...

[Mr. Morden]

There's no reason for them to conduct a primary poll in AR.  We can be pretty confident that Clinton and Huckabee are leading, even without bothering with a poll.

[jokerman]

Beebe's approval doesn't suprise me.  He's been doing a superb job as Governor.

[Person Man]

One thing I am interested in though is what would happen if Arkansas and Virginia began to drain money from real battlegrounds. Could that mean that there would be less money defending battlegrounds which Democrats need but where the Republicans are dug-in, like Ohio, Colorado and Florida?

[CultureKing]

One thing I am interested in though is what would happen if Arkansas and Virginia began to drain money from real battlegrounds. Could that mean that there would be less money defending battlegrounds which Democrats need but where the Republicans are dug-in, like Ohio, Colorado and Florida?

I think if Arkansas and Virginia became battlegrounds the opposite effect would happen, the democrats would likely be leading in the states you mentioned (ecept for possibly Colorado) before they lead in Arkansas and Virginia. Basically if those two states are the battlesgrounds we would likely see a republican defeat.