Would Mike Moore be able to win here in a presidential year?
Harry would say "yes," but the correct answer, of course, is "no."
Well, I'll be more diplomatic and say that it would be difficult, even with the best Democratic candidate.
Indeed. I do think it would be in single digits, but like MA-05 for Republicans, there's no way a Democrat can throw himself over the 50% line for a federal race there, no matter who he is.
In both places, it can happen. If the environment was more Republican-friendly, say it was in 1993, Ogonowski could well have won the special election.
But I suspect the Democrat (or Republican in MA-05) would need to be an incumbent and a very skilled one at that to win in a general election.
It would be in single digits, I do agree (esp. in Mississippi), unless the Democratic candidate is not strong.
