Mississippi Results

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The three coastal counties all seem to have gone over 70% for Barbour.

[minionofmidas]

Dickerson (DRD) beat Walley (DR) by 800 votes.

[ElectionAtlas]

Mississippi 2007 Gubernatorial Results

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Black turnout seems to have been dire.

[Erc]

Unsurprisingly, my family's home county in MS [Clay] voted for Eaves, it seems.

It's majority black. Black people would vote for a jar of mayonnaise if it were the Democratic candidate.

Hence the 'unsurprisingly.'

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Black turnout seems to have been dire.

Which is kinda what I predicted when saying the results here would pretty closely mirror Bush/Kerry.

[rbt48]

With all 1899 precincts reporting,
Barbour, Haley (i)   GOP   415,512   58.07%
Eaves, John   Dem   300,078   41.93%

[StateBoiler]

With all 1899 precincts reporting,
Barbour, Haley (i)   GOP   415,512   58.07%
Eaves, John   Dem   300,078   41.93%

I should've used my Kentucky prediction of 58-42 here.

[Sam Spade]

With all 1899 precincts reporting,
Barbour, Haley (i)   GOP   415,512   58.07%
Eaves, John   Dem   300,078   41.93%

I should've used my Kentucky prediction of 58-42 here.

I should have stayed with my 58-42 prediction here. 

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Any word on the state legislature results?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Black turnout seems to have been dire.

But Eaves did beat Kerry in several counties, meaning he did win over some conservative whites with his Jesus campaign.

[Jaggerjack]

Pretty freaking weird to see Harry with his R-MS... Went out of my way just to see it...

[memphis]

Black turnout seems to have been dire.

But Eaves did beat Kerry in several counties, meaning he did win over some conservative whites with his Jesus campaign.

He beat John Kerry by two percent. I'm so impressed

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Black turnout seems to have been dire.

But Eaves did beat Kerry in several counties, meaning he did win over some conservative whites with his Jesus campaign.

He beat John Kerry by two percent. I'm so impressed

Well it is fairly impressive considering black turnout must've been far lower.

[memphis]

Black turnout seems to have been dire.

But Eaves did beat Kerry in several counties, meaning he did win over some conservative whites with his Jesus campaign.

He beat John Kerry by two percent. I'm so impressed

Well it is fairly impressive considering black turnout must've been far lower.

Why must that be the case?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

1-Because Al said it, and I'll always believe him on this sort of thing.
2-Barbour ran ahead of Bush in some heavily black counties. Either he won over some blacks, or they didn't vote. I'm more likely to believe the latter.

Check out Claiborne County:

Kerry - 81.46%
Eaves - 75.85%

However, look at majority white Winston County:

Kerry - 42.25%
Eaves - 50.60%

[memphis]

1-Because Al said it, and I'll always believe him on this sort of thing.
2-Barbour ran ahead of Bush in some heavily black counties. Either he won over some blacks, or they didn't vote. I'm more likely to believe the latter.

Check out Claiborne County:

Kerry - 81.46%
Eaves - 75.85%

However, look at majority white Winston County:

Kerry - 42.25%
Eaves - 50.60%

Well, Harry said that he saw some blacks with Barbour signs. In any case, Eaves did only hair better among whites than Kerry did. In both elections, the Republican received the white vote nearly unanimously. I'd say Eaves's Jesus strategy was clearly unsuccessful, though I don't know how he could have beaten Barbour.

[AndrewTX]

I still don't get how Eaves lost.

[Hash]

I still don't get how Eaves lost.

With Jesus on his side!

[AndrewTX]

Exactly!

 Maybe they are right..maybe Jesus is dead.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Maybe Barbour is just more popular than Jesus.

[AndrewTX]

That's absurd!

[Adlai Stevenson]

One of the noticeable things in the electoral map is that the heavily black counties in mid-western Mississippi which are always heavily Democratic in a Presidential election were still Democrat but by smaller margins.  I imagine African-American turnout must have been much lower than in either 2006 or 2008 in Mississippi as it was an off-year election.  Do we know whether Eaves won the young vote as Kerry did in 2004 yet? 

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Well, Harry said that he saw some blacks with Barbour signs.

Wow! A few blacks with Barbour signs? That's real evidence Barbour massively improved among blacks.

In any case, Eaves did only hair better among whites than Kerry did. In both elections, the Republican received the white vote nearly unanimously. I'd say Eaves's Jesus strategy was clearly unsuccessful, though I don't know how he could have beaten Barbour.

I'd like to see some exit poll, but I'd bet now Eaves got more than 20% of the white vote, possibly close to 25%.

[memphis]

Well, Harry said that he saw some blacks with Barbour signs.

Wow! A few blacks with Barbour signs? That's real evidence Barbour massively improved among blacks.

In any case, Eaves did only hair better among whites than Kerry did. In both elections, the Republican received the white vote nearly unanimously. I'd say Eaves's Jesus strategy was clearly unsuccessful, though I don't know how he could have beaten Barbour.

I'd like to see some exit poll, but I'd bet now Eaves got more than 20% of the white vote, possibly close to 25%.

Wow, 20% of the white vote. I'm so impressed. John Kerry got 14%. Huge improvement.