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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
Election Predictions
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2008 US Senate Predictions
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Latest 2008 Predictions
(Highest Scores)
User
Map
Prof
Date
Ver.
Pickup
Rep
Dem
Ind
#C
padfoot714
(
D-OH
)
10-29
22
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
0
JohnnyLongtorso
(
I-VA
)
11-03
28
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
0
Antonio V
(
D-CA
)
11-04
5
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
4
siriusalphacma
(
G-CA
)
11-03
1
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
0
ecdab
(
I-PA
)
10-24
2
D +9
12 (-9)
21 (
+9
)
0 (0)
0
Eytan
(
D-ISR
)
10-29
23
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
0
jesmart
(
--CA
)
10-31
2
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
0
bgwah
(
D-WA
)
11-04
3
D +7
14 (-7)
19 (
+7
)
0 (0)
0
eridniel
(
--MD
)
10-31
6
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
0
Lief
(
D-NY
)
11-03
20
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
0
Latest 2008 Predictions
(Most Recent Entries)
User
Map
Prof
Date
Ver.
Pickup
Rep
Dem
Ind
#C
Z
(
D-OR
)
11-04
3
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
0
DasKaek
(
I-IN
)
11-04
2
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
0
FunnyLittleMan
(
D-ON
)
11-04
6
D +9
12 (-9)
21 (
+9
)
0 (0)
0
texaslefty
(
I-UT
)
11-04
4
D +7
14 (-7)
19 (
+7
)
0 (0)
0
italian-boy
(
D-ITA
)
11-04
8
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
0
smitty54
(
R-VA
)
11-04
1
D +7
14 (-7)
19 (
+7
)
0 (0)
0
michaelfh
(
I-CA
)
11-04
4
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
0
Antonio V
(
D-CA
)
11-04
5
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
4
oraclebones
(
D-IA
)
11-04
13
D +10
11 (-10)
22 (
+10
)
0 (0)
0
Gustaf
(
D-SWE
)
11-04
4
D +7
14 (-7)
19 (
+7
)
0 (0)
0
Latest 2008 Predictions
(Most Recent Comments)
User
Map
Prof
Date
Ver.
Pickup
Rep
Dem
Ind
#C
Antonio V
(
D-CA
)
by Antonio V on 2009-01-11 @ 07:29:02
11-04
5
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
4
wingindy
(
D-IN
)
by wingindy on 2008-11-19 @ 10:08:26
11-03
5
D +9
12 (-9)
21 (
+9
)
0 (0)
3
tmthforu94
(
R-KS
)
by wingindy on 2008-11-08 @ 02:36:13
10-23
20
D +4
17 (-4)
16 (
+4
)
0 (0)
4
tetanurae
(
D-WA
)
by alexchanning on 2008-11-08 @ 00:18:57
10-17
4
D +8
13 (-8)
20 (
+8
)
0 (0)
2
CollectiveInterest
(
I-IL
)
by CollectiveInterest on 2008-11-03 @ 23:43:23
10-29
17
D +11
10 (-11)
23 (
+11
)
0 (0)
1
Bob Dole
(
D-GA
)
by Xahar on 2008-11-03 @ 23:14:12
10-28
3
Even
21 (0)
12 (0)
0 (0)
1
filliatre
(
R-FRA
)
by filliatre on 2008-11-03 @ 17:16:21
10-29
13
D +7
14 (-7)
19 (
+7
)
0 (0)
1
shua
(
R-VA
)
by wingindy on 2008-11-02 @ 22:56:57
11-02
4
D +5
16 (-5)
17 (
+5
)
0 (0)
2
wingindy
(
D-IN
)
by HILLBILLY on 2008-11-02 @ 17:04:42
10-31
4
D +8
12 (-9)
20 (
+8
)
1 (
+1
)
2
Gceres
(
R-CA
)
by HILLBILLY on 2008-11-02 @ 17:03:24
10-30
2
D +7
14 (-7)
19 (
+7
)
0 (0)
3
Latest Discussion Topics
Author
Topic: 2008 US Senate Predictions (Read 10674 times)
Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
Posts: 2095
2008 US Senate Predictions
«
on:
November 08, 2007, 08:14:21 pm »
The
2008 U.S. Senate Predictions
script is now on-line. Enjoy
Logged
opebo
YaBB God
Posts: 44653
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #1 on:
November 09, 2007, 05:13:25 pm »
Doesn't work for me.
Logged
Quote from: opebo on December 17, 2012, 03:47:32 pm
prostitutes, bedpans, toupees etc.
Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
Posts: 2095
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #2 on:
November 09, 2007, 08:41:13 pm »
Can you both be a bit more specific? What errors do you see?
Thanks,
Dave
Logged
So the Heroes Fall
BRTD
YaBB God
Posts: 68061
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #3 on:
November 09, 2007, 08:43:00 pm »
Quote from: Dave Leip on November 09, 2007, 08:41:13 pm
Can you both be a bit more specific? What errors do you see?
Thanks,
Dave
For Verily, he means that there are two Senate races in Wyoming this year, so there should be two predictions.
Logged
opebo
YaBB God
Posts: 44653
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #4 on:
November 10, 2007, 08:35:44 am »
Quote from: Dave Leip on November 09, 2007, 08:41:13 pm
Can you both be a bit more specific? What errors do you see?
Thanks,
Dave
Well, I click on the link above, and then on 'create my 2008 senate prediction map', then I login, and it sends me to a screen where there is no choice for creating a Senate prediction map. If I go anywhere else from there and try to get back in the original way described above, I just have to log in again. There is no link to actually make a prediction map.
Logged
Quote from: opebo on December 17, 2012, 03:47:32 pm
prostitutes, bedpans, toupees etc.
Jaggerjack
Fabian_the_Fastman
YaBB God
Posts: 1425
Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -4.00
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #5 on:
November 10, 2007, 11:14:00 am »
W00t! Finally
Logged
opebo
YaBB God
Posts: 44653
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #6 on:
November 11, 2007, 03:12:48 am »
Still doesn't work for me - see post above for details.
Logged
Quote from: opebo on December 17, 2012, 03:47:32 pm
prostitutes, bedpans, toupees etc.
Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel
Inks.LWC
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 31509
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #7 on:
November 12, 2007, 02:29:42 am »
How are we going to deal with Wyoming?
Logged
InsaneTrollLogic
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
Posts: 10948
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #8 on:
November 20, 2007, 04:36:16 pm »
Does it matter. People in my state don't really "vote" as much as they fuel a party machine. Because there is no democratic culture at the federal level in Wyoming, there aren't really any elections. Looks like a consensus has already crystalized. Is this normal?
Logged
Nutmeg
thepolitic
YaBB God
Posts: 1322
Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.61
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #9 on:
November 26, 2007, 07:02:37 pm »
Quote from: Fmr. Governor, Vice-Chair, & Queen Mum Inks.LWC on November 12, 2007, 02:29:42 am
How are we going to deal with Wyoming?
And now Mississippi (although it isn't official yet).
Logged
Quote from: Mynheer Peeperkorn on September 30, 2011, 10:45:05 pm
Quote from: Sooners Football 2011 on September 30, 2011, 10:41:59 pm
Christmas Carols, because it's that time of year again!
I really thought you were not a troll until now.
Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel
Inks.LWC
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 31509
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #10 on:
November 27, 2007, 01:40:38 am »
Quote from: Nutmeg on November 26, 2007, 07:02:37 pm
Quote from: Fmr. Governor, Vice-Chair, & Queen Mum Inks.LWC on November 12, 2007, 02:29:42 am
How are we going to deal with Wyoming?
And now Mississippi (although it isn't official yet).
That'll be an appointment.
Logged
Nutmeg
thepolitic
YaBB God
Posts: 1322
Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -2.61
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #11 on:
November 27, 2007, 10:59:38 am »
Quote from: Fmr. Governor, Vice-Chair, & Queen Mum Inks.LWC on November 27, 2007, 01:40:38 am
Quote from: Nutmeg on November 26, 2007, 07:02:37 pm
Quote from: Fmr. Governor, Vice-Chair, & Queen Mum Inks.LWC on November 12, 2007, 02:29:42 am
How are we going to deal with Wyoming?
And now Mississippi (although it isn't official yet).
That'll be an appointment.
In the mean time, but there will be a special election as well, just as with Wyoming.
Update: Although it might be before next November.
«
Last Edit: November 30, 2007, 02:51:18 pm by Nutmeg
»
Logged
Quote from: Mynheer Peeperkorn on September 30, 2011, 10:45:05 pm
Quote from: Sooners Football 2011 on September 30, 2011, 10:41:59 pm
Christmas Carols, because it's that time of year again!
I really thought you were not a troll until now.
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56537
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #12 on:
July 14, 2008, 02:30:39 pm »
Well it won't be before november. Something should be done about it.
In the meantime, I find this amusing:
http://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/SENATE/2008/pred.php?action=statepred&fips=5
Four people think a mystery Republican will somehow enter the race long after all the filing deadlines and win. Over a hundred people call a race against a joke Indy and a Green "lean D", and a majority of predictors think Pryor'll be held to under 60%.
Shows the amount of salt needed in consuming the aggregate prediction.
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
Padfoot
padfoot714
YaBB God
Posts: 4417
Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -6.96
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #13 on:
July 16, 2008, 01:16:08 am »
Are we ever going to get "double predictions" for MS and WY or can the prediction map not be fixed to show two races in one state? For that matter, what about the polls map. That one is probably more important that we separate the two races.
Logged
big bad fab
filliatre
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 13937
Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: 4.87
Re: 2008 US Senate Predictions
«
Reply #14 on:
October 20, 2008, 05:10:22 am »
Quote from: Padfoot on July 16, 2008, 01:16:08 am
Are we ever going to get "double predictions" for MS and WY or can the prediction map not be fixed to show two races in one state? For that matter, what about the polls map. That one is probably more important that we separate the two races.
^^^^^^^^^^
Yes, how do we do ? Especially in MS.
An average ? Or just predicting the closest race ?
Logged
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