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| | |-+  2008 US Senate Predictions
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Latest 2008 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
padfoot714 (D-OH)MapProfile 10-29 22 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 0
JohnnyLongtorso (I-VA)MapProfile 11-03 28 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 0
AntonioV (D-FRA)MapProfile 11-04 5 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 4
siriusalphacma (G-CA)Map 11-03 1 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 0
ecdab (I-PA)MapProfile 10-24 2 D +9 12 (-9) 21 (+9) 0 (0) 0
Eytan (D-ISR)Map 10-29 23 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 0
jesmart (--CA)Map 10-31 2 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 0
bgwah (D-WA)MapProfile 11-04 3 D +7 14 (-7) 19 (+7) 0 (0) 0
eridniel (--MD)Map 10-31 6 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 0
Lief (D-NY)MapProfile 11-03 20 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2008 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
Z (D-OR)MapProfile 11-04 3 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 0
DasKaek (I-IN)Map 11-04 2 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 0
FunnyLittleMan (D-ON)MapProfile 11-04 6 D +9 12 (-9) 21 (+9) 0 (0) 0
texaslefty (I-UT)MapProfile 11-04 4 D +7 14 (-7) 19 (+7) 0 (0) 0
italian-boy (D-ITA)MapProfile 11-04 8 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 0
smitty54 (R-VA)Map 11-04 1 D +7 14 (-7) 19 (+7) 0 (0) 0
michaelfh (I-CA)Map 11-04 4 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 0
AntonioV (D-FRA)MapProfile 11-04 5 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 4
oraclebones (D-IA)Map 11-04 13 D +10 11 (-10) 22 (+10) 0 (0) 0
Gustaf (D-SWE)MapProfile 11-04 4 D +7 14 (-7) 19 (+7) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2008 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
AntonioV (D-FRA)
by AntonioV on 2009-01-11 @ 07:29:02
MapProfile 11-04 5 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 4
wingindy (D-IN)
by wingindy on 2008-11-19 @ 10:08:26
Map 11-03 5 D +9 12 (-9) 21 (+9) 0 (0) 3
tmthforu94 (R-KS)
by wingindy on 2008-11-08 @ 02:36:13
MapProfile 10-23 20 D +4 17 (-4) 16 (+4) 0 (0) 4
tetanurae (D-WA)
by alexchanning on 2008-11-08 @ 00:18:57
MapProfile 10-17 4 D +8 13 (-8) 20 (+8) 0 (0) 2
CollectiveInterest (I-IL)
by CollectiveInterest on 2008-11-03 @ 23:43:23
MapProfile 10-29 17 D +11 10 (-11) 23 (+11) 0 (0) 1
Bob Dole (D-GA)
by Xahar on 2008-11-03 @ 23:14:12
MapProfile 10-28 3 Even 21 (0) 12 (0) 0 (0) 1
filliatre (R-FRA)
by filliatre on 2008-11-03 @ 17:16:21
MapProfile 10-29 13 D +7 14 (-7) 19 (+7) 0 (0) 1
shua (R-VA)
by wingindy on 2008-11-02 @ 22:56:57
MapProfile 11-02 4 D +5 16 (-5) 17 (+5) 0 (0) 2
wingindy (D-IN)
by HILLBILLY on 2008-11-02 @ 17:04:42
Map 10-31 4 D +8 12 (-9) 20 (+8) 1 (+1) 2
Gceres (R-CA)
by HILLBILLY on 2008-11-02 @ 17:03:24
Map 10-30 2 D +7 14 (-7) 19 (+7) 0 (0) 3
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2008 US Senate Predictions  (Read 11452 times)
Dave Leip
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« on: November 08, 2007, 08:14:21 pm »

The 2008 U.S. Senate Predictions script is now on-line.  Enjoy
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opebo
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« Reply #1 on: November 09, 2007, 05:13:25 pm »
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Doesn't work for me.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2007, 08:41:13 pm »

Can you both be a bit more specific?  What errors do you see?
Thanks,
Dave
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« Reply #3 on: November 09, 2007, 08:43:00 pm »
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Can you both be a bit more specific?  What errors do you see?
Thanks,
Dave

For Verily, he means that there are two Senate races in Wyoming this year, so there should be two predictions.
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« Reply #4 on: November 10, 2007, 08:35:44 am »
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Can you both be a bit more specific?  What errors do you see?
Thanks,
Dave

Well, I click on the link above, and then on 'create my 2008 senate prediction map', then I login, and it sends me to a screen where there is no choice for creating a Senate prediction map.  If I go anywhere else from there and try to get back in the original way described above, I just have to log in again.  There is no link to actually make a prediction map.
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Jaggerjack
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« Reply #5 on: November 10, 2007, 11:14:00 am »
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W00t! Finally
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« Reply #6 on: November 11, 2007, 03:12:48 am »
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Still doesn't work for me - see post above for details.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #7 on: November 12, 2007, 02:29:42 am »
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How are we going to deal with Wyoming?
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« Reply #8 on: November 20, 2007, 04:36:16 pm »
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Does it matter. People in my state don't really "vote" as much as they fuel a party machine. Because there is no democratic culture at the federal level in Wyoming, there aren't really any elections. Looks like a consensus has already crystalized. Is this normal?
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« Reply #9 on: November 26, 2007, 07:02:37 pm »
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How are we going to deal with Wyoming?

And now Mississippi (although it isn't official yet).
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #10 on: November 27, 2007, 01:40:38 am »
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How are we going to deal with Wyoming?

And now Mississippi (although it isn't official yet).

That'll be an appointment.
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Nutmeg
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« Reply #11 on: November 27, 2007, 10:59:38 am »
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How are we going to deal with Wyoming?
And now Mississippi (although it isn't official yet).
That'll be an appointment.

In the mean time, but there will be a special election as well, just as with Wyoming.

Update: Although it might be before next November.
« Last Edit: November 30, 2007, 02:51:18 pm by Nutmeg »Logged
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« Reply #12 on: July 14, 2008, 02:30:39 pm »
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Well it won't be before november. Something should be done about it.


In the meantime, I find this amusing:

http://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/SENATE/2008/pred.php?action=statepred&fips=5

Four people think a mystery Republican will somehow enter the race long after all the filing deadlines and win. Over a hundred people call a race against a joke Indy and a Green "lean D", and a majority of predictors think Pryor'll be held to under 60%.

Shows the amount of salt needed in consuming the aggregate prediction. Smiley
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« Reply #13 on: July 16, 2008, 01:16:08 am »
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Are we ever going to get "double predictions" for MS and WY or can the prediction map not be fixed to show two races in one state?  For that matter, what about the polls map.  That one is probably more important that we separate the two races.
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big bad fab
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« Reply #14 on: October 20, 2008, 05:10:22 am »
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Are we ever going to get "double predictions" for MS and WY or can the prediction map not be fixed to show two races in one state?  For that matter, what about the polls map.  That one is probably more important that we separate the two races.
^^^^^^^^^^

Yes, how do we do ? Especially in MS.
An average ? Or just predicting the closest race ?
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