IA PrimD: Strategic Vision: Clinton Barely Holds IA Lead as Obama Catches Up
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Author Topic: IA PrimD: Strategic Vision: Clinton Barely Holds IA Lead as Obama Catches Up  (Read 871 times)
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« on: November 14, 2007, 03:16:30 AM »
New Poll: Iowa President by Strategic Vision on 2007-11-12

Summary: Clinton: 29%, Edwards: 20%, Obama: 27%, Richardson: 7%, Other: 7%, Undecided: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2007, 09:09:07 AM »
Looks good.

Obama is up 4% from the last SV poll, Clinton is only up 1%.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2007, 12:32:44 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on November 14, 2007, 09:09:07 AM
Looks good.

Obama is up 4% from the last SV poll, Clinton is only up 1%.
Great news indeed. Those summer/fall months were scaring me, but Im feeling increasingly better these days about the state of the campaign. Everything seems to be looking up, and hopefully we will see a lead in Iowa by mid December.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: November 14, 2007, 05:09:43 PM »
I would expect Obama to get a slight bump in Iowa from the JJ speech coverage as well and that wouldn't really be reflected yet in the polling. Smiley
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Ben.
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« Reply #4 on: November 14, 2007, 05:10:49 PM »
When it comes to a caucus situation Clinton wont hold that sort of lead, while Obama (and possibly Edwards) will gain support, Obama wins in IA he can roll right through NH IMHO (probably on the back of independent support) from there on in Clinton's support would crack right through the middle IMHO... still a lot for Obama to do but it's all perfectly possible.    
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: November 14, 2007, 05:15:10 PM »
The support for candidates at 15% or less in these polls is breaking overwhelmingly towards Edwards and Obama as well. I really wouldn't be shocked if Clinton came in third in IA (which would be an absolute disaster for her).
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Erc
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« Reply #6 on: November 15, 2007, 02:02:14 AM »
In terms of what the media reports in Iowa (which is really what matters, not the delegate
allocation)...is the vote recorded before or after elimination of non-viable candidates at each caucus?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: November 15, 2007, 02:06:06 AM »
After.  That's part of why polling for the caucus is so difficult.
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Erc
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« Reply #8 on: November 15, 2007, 02:38:34 AM »
« Edited: November 15, 2007, 02:40:12 AM by Erc »
Oh.  Well that could change things a bit.

On the Republican side, though, it's just a simple straw poll, right?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: November 15, 2007, 10:13:01 AM »
Yes, as far as I know, just a simple straw poll.
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