Will Eliot Spitzer be reelected?
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  Will Eliot Spitzer be reelected?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Will Eliot Spitzer be reelected?
#1
Yes, his approval will improve		  
#2
Yes, he'll be unpopular but the GOP too weak to beat him		  
#3
No, he won't run for reelection		  
#4
No, he'll lose the primary		  
#5
No, he'll lose the general		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 64

Author Topic: Will Eliot Spitzer be reelected?  (Read 5073 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« on: November 18, 2007, 03:22:57 PM »
Right now I'd say Option 1, but if that doesn't happen, then Option 3.
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2007, 03:53:17 PM »
Option 2, unless Bloomberg runs...in which case the whole race will be unpredictable.

But Spitzer would have to be really, really really unpopular for the GOP to win.
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Jake
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« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2007, 04:02:41 PM »
I put the likelyhood as follows:

Option One
Option Two

Option Five
Option Four

Option Three

New York is unlikely to elect a Republican even with an unpopular incumbent. Add in poor candidates (Rudy? maybe) and the general state of the party and it's even harder. Spitzer's ego is much too large to consider stepping out of the race.
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Meeker
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« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2007, 04:04:39 PM »
I would go with Option 1, but really, he's been in office for less than a year. Anything could happen.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #4 on: November 18, 2007, 05:05:56 PM »
Honestly, the most likely scenario that has Spitzer losing the general involves him losing to Bloomberg running as an independent with the GOP nominating some joke like Faso.

That's actually the only scenario in which I see Spitzer losing the general since I don't see how Bloomberg could win the GOP nomination (we'd be talking about a guy who switched from a Democrat to a Republican to an independent to a Republican in less than 10 years). Bloomberg might stand a chance of beating Spitzer in the primary if he switched back to being a Democrat if Spitzer's numbers remain though.
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Smash255
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« Reply #5 on: November 18, 2007, 05:11:23 PM »
Option 1.  His numbers will improve and he will win re-election.  And if his numbers don't improve well, he would be going up against the NY GOP so he wins by default.
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© tweed
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« Reply #6 on: November 18, 2007, 05:28:58 PM »
my gut says he will win re-election with ~60% of the vote despite approvals in the mid-40s.  I suppose it's also possible he takes the AG job or is primaried, but I can't see the NYGOP beating him with anyone.  only Giuliani seems possible, and that's very unlikely, and I think Spitzer would even beat Giuliani if the election were held tomorrow.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #7 on: November 18, 2007, 05:34:02 PM »
i basically agree with tweed.

he will be reelected, even with his current numbers.  the gop has no one that could beat him.  deval patrick is in a similar situation in massachusetts. 

anyone know what gray davis' approval numbers were when he was reelected in 2002?
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #8 on: November 18, 2007, 05:34:20 PM »
Spitzer's approvals will rebound and he'll win with over 60% of the vote.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #9 on: November 18, 2007, 06:01:48 PM »
Option 2 I think. 
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #10 on: November 18, 2007, 06:12:51 PM »
Option 1 unless someone moves to NY to run against him other than Bill Weld
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AndrewTX
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« Reply #11 on: November 18, 2007, 07:48:09 PM »
He will win re-election , the GOP will run a good candidate against him, but a third party (independent or conservative), and will split the ticket.

 If that doesn't happen, he'll win with about 54-56%. He has to overcome a lot of issues, including the reminder that he's the Governor, and not the AG.
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Smash255
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« Reply #12 on: November 19, 2007, 12:47:44 AM »
Quote from: AndrewCT on November 18, 2007, 07:48:09 PM
He will win re-election , the GOP will run a good candidate against him, but a third party (independent or conservative), and will split the ticket.

 If that doesn't happen, he'll win with about 54-56%. He has to overcome a lot of issues, including the reminder that he's the Governor, and not the AG.

Good candidate GOP and New York don't fit in a sentence.  Who would you suggest is a good candidate for the GOP to run against Spitzer?
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
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« Reply #13 on: November 19, 2007, 03:25:03 AM »
Quote from: 24 DuPont Chevy on November 18, 2007, 06:12:51 PM
Option 1 unless someone moves to NY to run against him other than Bill Weld

NY only elects carpetbaggers to their Class 1 Senate seat.
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AndrewTX
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« Reply #14 on: November 19, 2007, 11:15:24 AM »
^^ Very true.

 I always thought that Mary Donohue would put up a good fight. She wouldn't win, but I believed she would be able to keep Spitzer between 55%-60%
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #15 on: November 19, 2007, 05:22:30 PM »
Option 2
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: November 20, 2007, 01:33:25 PM »
Option 1... unless Bloomberg wants to get in there.
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J. J.
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« Reply #17 on: December 22, 2007, 10:01:40 PM »
Option 2.
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Frodo
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« Reply #18 on: December 25, 2007, 11:23:34 AM »
Option 1 -he has plenty of time to improve his ratings, especially considering this is only his first full year in office.
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Horus
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« Reply #19 on: December 27, 2007, 12:05:29 PM »
Yup
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Robespierre's Jaw
Senator Conor Flynn
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« Reply #20 on: December 27, 2007, 07:35:07 PM »
Governor Spitzer will be re-elected but the GOP will run a weak candidate against him. Do we know who the potential or announced Republican Gubernatorial candidates are? I would be keen to find out.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #21 on: December 27, 2007, 10:58:28 PM »
Will Spitzer be reelected?

Unfortunately, yes.
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Meeker
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« Reply #22 on: July 28, 2009, 05:25:26 AM »
As of this bumping only one person voted for the "won't run for reelection" option.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #23 on: July 28, 2009, 06:15:59 AM »
     In all fairness, his actual fate was not an option in this poll. Then again, it was rather unforseeable.
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pogo stick
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« Reply #24 on: July 28, 2009, 01:18:51 PM »
Well, back in 2007 I would say maybe. I lived in NYC when this quack  took office
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