2008: Mike Huckabee (R) vs. Barack Obama (D)

[Lief 🗽]

There is still nothing fundamentally appealing, issue-wise, about Huckabee to the majority of voters in New Hampshire and Washington. Regardless of how he spins his anti-science views, short of a landslide, he's not taking Washington or New Hampshire.

[DownWithTheLeft]

His supporters confirm something is his biggest advantage, he is the most down to Earth to candidate.

[Boris]

There is still nothing fundamentally appealing, issue-wise, about Huckabee to the majority of voters in New Hampshire and Washington. Regardless of how he spins his anti-science views, short of a landslide, he's not taking Washington or New Hampshire.

He obviously won't win either of those states (but he doesn't need to). The problem with Huckabee is that the Democrats can't really indirectly attack his religious views. Were they to do so, all it'd do is spur evangelical turnout across the nation and turn the election in 2004 redux.

The Democrats need to ensure that the evangelical electorate remains discontent with the GOP. Huckabee is a candidate that can bring back the evangelical vote, which is why I fear him.

[Mr. Paleoconservative]

This prediction may seem unrealistic to some at the moment, but in a Huckabee/Obama contest it does not seem unreasonable to predict Huckabee with 291 Electoral Votes to Obama's 247 Electoral Votes...

[MODU]

There is still nothing fundamentally appealing, issue-wise, about Huckabee to the majority of voters in New Hampshire and Washington. Regardless of how he spins his anti-science views, short of a landslide, he's not taking Washington or New Hampshire.

He obviously won't win either of those states (but he doesn't need to). The problem with Huckabee is that the Democrats can't really indirectly attack his religious views. Were they to do so, all it'd do is spur evangelical turnout across the nation and turn the election in 2004 redux.

The Democrats need to ensure that the evangelical electorate remains discontent with the GOP. Huckabee is a candidate that can bring back the evangelical vote, which is why I fear him.

Unfortunately, the Democrats have something bigger to worry about, and that is the leftist groups that can run ads against him, and they probably would take a religions angle on him.  That would require the Democrats to either distance themselves from the groups and lose support, embrace the group and lose the religious support, or ignore the group and lose all support.

[Tender Branson]

In a Huckabee vs. Obama matchup, I´d expect Obama to be the initial favorite after Supertuesday, with polls showing him ahead of Huckabee by more or less than 10% until Mid-2008, basically status-quo for another 7-8 months. Obama would outraise Huckabee by about 2-1, also the same pattern we have seen so far from the Party Committees and adjusted Bush-Kerry figures. By September 2008 I would expect Huckabee to close the gap with Obama in states like Missouri, Ohio, Virginia and elsewhere, but if current trends continue, I see no reason why Obama shouldn´t win all the Kerry-states + Iowa and New Mexico, as well as Colorado maybe, where Obama is polling well right now. That would result in a 273 EV Obama victory on Election Day, while the South, including Florida, would remain mostly Republican.

[bgwah]

My point is that Huckabee is not the type of candidate who plays well in Washington or NH.

Huckabee would get crushed in Washington.

SUSA showed Obama leading him by 20.
http://www.surveyusa.com/electionpolls.aspx

[12th Doctor]

Obama landslide.  I don't wanna make a map, seeing all that red would hurt my eyes.

[Eraserhead]

My point is that Huckabee is not the type of candidate who plays well in Washington or NH.

Huckabee would get crushed in Washington.

SUSA showed Obama leading him by 20.
http://www.surveyusa.com/electionpolls.aspx

I'm surprised he is only leading by 20%.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

My point is that Huckabee is not the type of candidate who plays well in Washington or NH.

Huckabee would get crushed in Washington.

SUSA showed Obama leading him by 20.
http://www.surveyusa.com/electionpolls.aspx

I'm surprised he is only leading by 20%.

very few have heard of Huckabee outside of Arkansas and Iowa

[Tender Branson]

My point is that Huckabee is not the type of candidate who plays well in Washington or NH.

Huckabee would get crushed in Washington.

SUSA showed Obama leading him by 20.
http://www.surveyusa.com/electionpolls.aspx

I'm surprised he is only leading by 20%.

very few have heard of Huckabee outside of Arkansas and Iowa

And they will never hear of him if his poor fundraising continues ...

[Smash255]

My point is that Huckabee is not the type of candidate who plays well in Washington or NH.

Huckabee would get crushed in Washington.

SUSA showed Obama leading him by 20.
http://www.surveyusa.com/electionpolls.aspx

I'm surprised he is only leading by 20%.

very few have heard of Huckabee outside of Arkansas and Iowa

Huckabee is a hardcore social conservative.  He doesn't have a chance in hell of beating Obama or anyone else in New Hampshire or  Washington.  Please, think about this logically for a second.  Huckabee fits those two states about as well as Sharpton fits in with a bunch of whites from Mississippi.

What would happen to the already severely damaged GOP in the northeast as a result would be comical.