agcatter
YaBB God
Posts: 3,740
|
 |
« on: November 22, 2007, 01:45:13 PM » |
|
The concentional wisdom is that a candidate gets on a winning streak and gains the momentum and sweeps to victory. That is the Romnney battle plan obviously. He wants to copy what happened with the Kerry experience in '04.
Here's the difference this time. Democrats suddenly realized in 2004 that Kerry would be a much better candidate than Howard Dean in the general. Hell, they read the polls showing Dean a sure loser to Bush. Democrats wanted to beat Bush and happily jumped on board the Kerry express to insure a competitive general election.
Romney doesn't have that "I'm the most electable candidate" thing going for him that Kerry had over Dean. Quite the opposite. Republicans can read the polls. In state after state he is getting clobbered by Hillary. In my own state for example, he's down 1 to Hillary according to Rasmussen. This is in Texas for crying out loud. Same poll has Rudy and McCain up 11. It's like that in every state. Look it up.
Republicans aren't going to climb on board with a candidate who guarantees Hillary and Bill are back in the White House. If you think that, you are completely ignoring Republican feelings about Hillary. Democrats proved to be pragmatic in 2004 when it came to finding someone they thought could beat their arch enemy Bush. Republicans will do the same in 2008 when it comes to beating their dreaded enemy, Hillary Clinton.
BTW, they won't turn to Huckabee either, another sure loser.
|
