SC PrimR: Rasmussen: Romney and Thompson tied for 1st, Huckabee and Paul rising

[12th Doctor]

Giuliani's done

Except about 5 seconds after this primary concludes the primaries for real states will be taking place, and no one is really going to care about what happened in 3 states with a combines EV total of 19.

[12th Doctor]

Giuliani's done

Except about 5 seconds after this primary concludes the primaries for real states will be taking place, and no one is really going to care about what happened in 3 states with a combines EV total of 19.

Soulty, you're much more experienced than this. You know it does matter... otherwise we wouldn't be even bothering.

I know that is matters traditionally, yes.  But I think that, with the way the primaries are organized this year, and with the fact that so much talking down of the early primaries has happened in the past 6 years, or so.  I would say that most Americans are now openly asking "Why in the Hell does Iowa matter so much?"  Now, its good for the press of the candidate who wins the first three, but only if that candidate wins in a sweep.  Romney is the only one with a chance to do it, and I don't think he will.

[12th Doctor]

Giuliani's done

Except about 5 seconds after this primary concludes the primaries for real states will be taking place, and no one is really going to care about what happened in 3 states with a combines EV total of 19.

Soulty, you're much more experienced than this. You know it does matter... otherwise we wouldn't be even bothering.

I know that is matters traditionally, yes.  But I think that, with the way the primaries are organized this year, and with the fact that so much talking down of the early primaries has happened in the past 6 years, or so.  I would say that most Americans are now openly asking "Why in the Hell does Iowa matter so much?"  Now, its good for the press of the candidate who wins the first three, but only if that candidate wins in a sweep.  Romney is the only one with a chance to do it, and I don't think he will.

you're entitled to that, certainly, but history doesn't like you.  and if Romney sweeps through IA, NH, MI, SC, and NV, I don't think Giuliani can rally and stop him.

As I said, should he sweep, then I agree, he would win, as would anyone else, but I don't think Romney will and he is the only one who has a chance.  I think he'll be embarassed in Michigan, even more so because he is the son of the former governor, and the "Romney Network" is supposedly still in place.  Michigan proves that Romney's people aren't masters of the expectations game, because they are pumping up his expectations there when he very well could lose.