UK Opinion Polls Thread
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Author Topic: UK Opinion Polls Thread  (Read 68658 times)
Phony Moderate
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« Reply #225 on: June 28, 2010, 04:51:46 PM »

Com(edy)Res(ult) Poll:

National Government - 58% (Tories - 40%, Lib Dems - 18%)
Labour - 31%
Others - 11% (LOL)

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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #226 on: July 03, 2010, 11:22:30 PM »

YouGov Poll:

National Government - 57% (Tories - 42%, Lib Dems - 15%)
Labour - 36%
Others - 7%

If these numbers were repeated at the next General Election (based on UNS):

National Government - 343 seats (Tories - 322 seats, Lib Dems - 21 seats)
Labour - 281 seats
Others - 26 seats

National Government majority of 36
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change08
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #227 on: July 04, 2010, 09:42:40 AM »

YouGov Poll:

National Government - 57% (Tories - 42%, Lib Dems - 15%)
Labour - 36%
Others - 7%

If these numbers were repeated at the next General Election (based on UNS):

National Government - 343 seats (Tories - 322 seats, Lib Dems - 21 seats)
Labour - 281 seats
Others - 26 seats

National Government majority of 36

I wonder what the Liberals will do if they start hitting round and about 12 like they were under Ming.
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Torie
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« Reply #228 on: July 04, 2010, 11:56:27 AM »

YouGov Poll:

National Government - 57% (Tories - 42%, Lib Dems - 15%)
Labour - 36%
Others - 7%

If these numbers were repeated at the next General Election (based on UNS):

National Government - 343 seats (Tories - 322 seats, Lib Dems - 21 seats)
Labour - 281 seats
Others - 26 seats

National Government majority of 36

That big a swing generates that few seat changes eh?  I assume it will be more when the lines are redrawn and reallocated, and Wales is stripped of its extra seats no?
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #229 on: July 08, 2010, 06:48:35 AM »

Interestingly, Angus Reid doesn't seem to have conducted a poll since the election.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #230 on: July 20, 2010, 10:38:07 AM »

Kellner calls it: http://today.yougov.co.uk/commentaries/peter-kellner/honeymoon-over
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #231 on: July 20, 2010, 11:09:22 AM »


I still can't wait to see how Nick Clegg tries to turn stuff around. The cuts haven't even started hitting hard yet.
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Citizen (The) Doctor
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« Reply #232 on: July 20, 2010, 12:38:41 PM »

God, Clegg really ****ed up the party by forming the coalition.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #233 on: July 20, 2010, 02:07:05 PM »

Populus says that the Liberals have collapsed in their marginals. The Tories would gain 30 seats in the Con/Lib marginals and the Lab/Lib marginals weren't even mentioned and considering everywhere else the Liberals have collapsed, benefitting Labour, it wouldn't be hard to see what'd happen.

They've still got 5 years of this to go.
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k-onmmunist
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« Reply #234 on: July 20, 2010, 03:49:48 PM »

Hopefully, the Lib Dems will end up in a situation similar to that of the 1950s/60s at the end of this.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #235 on: July 20, 2010, 06:11:58 PM »
« Edited: July 20, 2010, 06:16:09 PM by Vote Yellow, Get Blue »

Tonight's YouGov has them on 14, their lowest from YouGov since February 2009.

I wonder when/if they'll hit single digits. Looking on UKPR, they haven't hit single digits since April 1997. Would the knives be out for Clegg should that happen?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #236 on: July 20, 2010, 06:31:12 PM »

Who knows? Midterm poll ratings for government parties can often be laughably - and unrealistically - low. As we all saw in the last parliament wrt Labour. I would presume that the nature of the coalition would make removing Clegg under such a situation pretty difficult; if you were polling in single digits would you do something that would greatly increase the chance of a snap election that your party would be blamed for? But that's hypothetical upon hypothetical.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #237 on: July 21, 2010, 02:21:33 PM »
« Edited: July 21, 2010, 02:29:57 PM by Vote Yellow, Get Blue »

On the day Nick Clegg delivers a gaffe filled PMQs, YouGov brings us:
44 (+1) - 35 (nc) - 13 (-1)

Lowest for the LibDems from YouGov since 16th November 2007.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #238 on: July 21, 2010, 06:10:31 PM »

Are they still doing daily polls? Weird.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #239 on: July 21, 2010, 06:47:22 PM »

Are they still doing daily polls? Weird.

I know. It's pretty redundant considering we won't be seeing an election until June 2015 (apparently).
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #240 on: July 21, 2010, 08:17:35 PM »

On the day Nick Clegg delivers a gaffe filled PMQs, YouGov brings us:
44 (+1) - 35 (nc) - 13 (-1)

Lowest for the LibDems from YouGov since 16th November 2007.


It's a wonder the Conservatives aren't pushing Cameron to throw Clegg under the bus and go to the country
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #241 on: July 21, 2010, 08:25:40 PM »
« Edited: July 21, 2010, 08:30:48 PM by change08 »

On the day Nick Clegg delivers a gaffe filled PMQs, YouGov brings us:
44 (+1) - 35 (nc) - 13 (-1)

Lowest for the LibDems from YouGov since 16th November 2007.


It's a wonder the Conservatives aren't pushing Cameron to throw Clegg under the bus and go to the country

What's the new dissolution rules again? 66% and parliament's dissolved?

Either way, hasn't there got to be a 4 month gap between elections?

I actually think Cameron will get this through 2015 though. Considering all the noise he's made about a 2015 election and a fixed-term parliament, he probably knows that he'd just look like an oppurtunist if he went to the country so soon. The LibDems won't want him going to the country either, with poll numbers at 13%. That's why I think the junior partner, atleast, will stick this through until 2015.

Both sides have too much to lose should an election be called early.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #242 on: July 24, 2010, 03:18:19 PM »

OnePoll:

National Government - 63% (Tories - 40%, Lib Dems - 23%)
Labour - 30%
Others - 7%

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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #243 on: July 24, 2010, 03:20:43 PM »

OnePoll:

National Government - 63% (Tories - 40%, Lib Dems - 23%)
Labour - 30%
Others - 7%



OnePoll aren't considered a credible pollster.
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2576
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #244 on: July 24, 2010, 07:53:12 PM »

Sunday's YouGov:
Con 41 (-3), Lab 36 (+1), LD 14 (+1)

Liberal surge!

Government approval is at 41/35 and YouGov notes on their Twitter, the following:
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #245 on: July 25, 2010, 03:01:30 AM »

On the day Nick Clegg delivers a gaffe filled PMQs, YouGov brings us:
44 (+1) - 35 (nc) - 13 (-1)

Lowest for the LibDems from YouGov since 16th November 2007.


It's a wonder the Conservatives aren't pushing Cameron to throw Clegg under the bus and go to the country

What's the new dissolution rules again? 66% and parliament's dissolved?

But it's not passed into law yet! Grin
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #246 on: July 26, 2010, 01:48:24 PM »

Con 38 (-3)
Lab 34 (-1)
LD 19 (+3)

ICM/Guardian from this weekend. YouGov/The Sun is out at 10pm and there might be a Mori poll coming.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #247 on: July 26, 2010, 08:06:11 PM »

YouGov
Con 44 (+3)
Lab 35 (-1)
LD 13 (-1)

And 57% of British adults think Buckingham Palace was right to ban Nick Griffin from garden party.
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Franzl
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« Reply #248 on: July 27, 2010, 09:09:28 AM »

Good numbers. I like this government.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #249 on: July 27, 2010, 11:19:27 AM »

Ipsos-Mori Poll:

National Government - 54% (Tories - 40%, Lib Dems - 14%)
Labour - 38%
Others - 8%
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