UK Opinion Polls Thread

[RodPresident]

I'd like to see a poll about Salmond as PM of UK. Although he's a separatist, he can be seen with better eyes in another places of Great Britain than Cameron and Milliband.

[You kip if you want to...]

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/eiy9720btf/YG-Archives-Pol-ST-results-11-130512.pdf

Ed M's approvals move above the PM's for the first time since the week of the Murdoch pie incident last year and also make for his biggest approval lead over the PM since he got a +7 net in October 2010.

This, coupled with the local election results and still, the Tories haven't learnt their lesson from the 2010 election: they shouldn't be complacent.

Of course, being the least bad of the bunch isn't exactly an amazing endorsement.

YouGov'll have their fortnightly Preferred PM question on Wednesday or Thursday.

[Leftbehind]

Record 14 point lead for Lab in Yougov tonight.  

LAB 45%, CON 31%, UKIP 8%, LDEM 7%. Approval -42%.

Long term approval trend, created by Statgeek on UKPR before tonight's figures.

[State Comptroller Atkins]

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/w0iqjfmpa9/YG-Archives-Pol-Sun-results-140512.pdf

[You kip if you want to...]

Don't worry! The impending economic recovery and Ed Miliband being rather wierd will save the ToryLibs! Just look at President Sarkozy.

[Leftbehind]

Yougov's trackers on best parties for issues:

[Vosem]

Yougov's trackers on best parties for issues:

It seems so bizarre to suggest that somebody whose key issue is the NHS votes to keep it, not to do away with it and have privatized health-care...oy...

[Insula Dei]

Stop trolling, bro.

[Leftbehind]

Forgot to post the leader's graph:


Oh, and a new Ipsos Mori:
Lab 43% (+5%)
Con 33% (-2%)
Lib 9% (-3%)

[Vosem]

Stop trolling, bro.

Disagreement ≠ trolling

[Χahar]

Stop trolling, bro.

Disagreement ≠ trolling

That post added nothing of substance, just like every post you make about healthcare in an unrelated thread. Stop it.

[Vosem]

Stop trolling, bro.

Disagreement ≠ trolling

That post added nothing of substance, just like every post you make about healthcare in an unrelated thread. Stop it.

How so? He accused me of trolling, and I pointed out that disagreeing with someone on some policy position is not the same thing as trolling. Which is a lesson you desperately need to learn.

[Leftbehind]

Some results worth posting embedded away in some jubilee poll, comparing what was the reality in the 50's when she gained the throne, and their appeal now:

National ID cards
45% In favour
39% Opposed
17% Don't know

In England people are currently charged a prescription fee of £7.65 for drugs prescribed by a doctor, whatever the actual cost of the drugs. The elderly, children, pregnant women and people on benefits are given free prescriptions. In Scotland & Wales there are no prescription charges. Which of the following best reflects your view?
50% All prescriptions should be free
37% The poor, elderly, children and pregnant should get free prescriptions, others should pay a prescription fee
7% Everyone should pay a prescription fee
5% Don't know

National service
50% Would like to see return
40% Wouldn't like to see return
10% Don't know

Corporal punishment in schools
47% Wouldn't like to see return
45% Would like to see return
8% Don't know

Death penalty for murder
46% Would like to see return
43% Wouldn't like to see return
11% Don't know

Rationing of important foods where there is shortages
62% Wouldn't like to see return
25% Would like to see return
13% Don't know

Nationalisation of industries like gas, electricity and telecommunications
58% Would like to see return
23% Wouldn't like to see return
19% Don't know

[State Comptroller Atkins]

Haha, we aren't exactly a libertarian paradise are we? I mean, even a plurality of Tory voters support the re-nationalization of gas, electricity and telecommunications.

[Sibboleth]

It's still vaguely remarkable to see polls showing support for the death penalty at sub 50%, isn't it?

[Leftbehind]

Haha, we aren't exactly a libertarian paradise are we? I mean, even a plurality of Tory voters support the re-nationalization of gas, electricity and telecommunications.

The last time Yougov done a comprehensive nationalisation poll, of those asked it found:

Public (with >50% support)
Hospitals, primary and secondary schools, prisons, roadwork, rubbish collection, job centres, libraries, water, rail, universities, postal service, elderly carehomes, power stations, national parks

Private (with >50% support)
Mobile telephones, newspapers, supermarkets

Undecided (failing to gain 50% support either way)
Pre-school nurseries, airports, landline telephones, sports centres, banks, television channels, theatres

[YL]

Instead of asking people how they were going to vote, ICM (for the Sunday Torygraph) asked them what they thought the result of an election would be.  There were two questions: first they asked "as a bit of fun" without giving the 2010 result, and then they gave the 2010 result and asked again.  Without the 2010 result, the mean answer was Lab 40, Con 32, LD 14; with it it was Lab 39, Con 31, LD 16.

Apparently they're going to publish a paper on this in the International Journal of Market Research next month.

http://www.icmresearch.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/1/files/2012/06/Wisdom-website-June-12.pdf

[batmacumba]

It's still vaguely remarkable to see polls showing support for the death penalty at sub 50%, isn't it?

Yeah, but 45% for corporal punishment at schools scares me to death of the average brit.

[Leftbehind]

Yougov have done a poll on how the public defines certain issues/stances as left/right:

[You kip if you want to...]

Ed Balls opens up an 8 point lead over Osborne as the preferred Chancellor with Mori. Miliband has an +11 lead over the PM in the leadership ratings.

YouGov's preferred Prime Minister has it at 31-23-5.

[Leftbehind]

The majority Labour + Lab-Lib surpasses 45% for - I believe - the first time, at 46%.

[Peter the Lefty]

Oh yay.  Now, Miliband and Balls will use this as an excuse to say that it was because they backed the wage freeze on public sector workers and they want to keep all of the coalitions cuts that Labour has a huge poll lead.  So sad. 

[You kip if you want to...]

It's a testiment to how irrelevant he is how Nick Clegg's been stuck between 17-20% approval since March now - no more, no less. Weirdly static.

[You kip if you want to...]

Scotland poll from Ipsos-Mori

"Do you agree that Scotland should be an independent country?" Yes/No
32/55

Satisfied/Dissatisfied
Salmond 53/40
Lamont 38/29
Harvie 27/15
Davidson 26/32
Rennie 24/28
Cameron 24/70

I expected Lamont to be rather unpopular, although I don't follow what's going on north of the border much.

[You kip if you want to...]

Sunday Times out with some figures today.

Miliband at his best since just before the riots last August, even better than at the height of the omnishambles a month or two ago. I think his appearance at the Gala will definately help him get some much needed support from base Labour voters which he's always lacked. My only concern would be that he went into the last summer recess in as good a state, he's taken all year to finally break even, but then again, the government wasn't nearly as unpopular then as it is now. Plus, this week has been a true sign of how much Ed Miliband's fortunes have reversed from last year - would anyone else have thought last year that he could have worn his "red Ed" hat at the Gala while getting Tony Blair back in the fold in the same week?

Clegg's at his worst ever and you can see from the tables that Tories are starting to rail hard against him after the Lords' Reform f--- up this week. It's been the only notable move on Clegg's numbers since March. You can only be smug when you realise that Clegg goes down whenever he sticks his head above the parapet these days. It should be noted that the worst i can find for Gordon Brown from YouGov is 14/76 (-62).

Dave's up a bit. He's treding water at around the -20 to -25 mark, where he's been for a good few weeks now.

Headline figures with changes from last week
43 (nc)
34 (+2)
9 (+1)
7 (-1)

David Cameron
35 (+1)
60 (-1)
-25 (+2)

Ed Miliband
34 (+2)
55 (-1)
-21 (+3)

Nick Clegg
16 (-2)
75 (+2)
-59 (-4)