UK Opinion Polls Thread

[Insula Dei]

Labour losing some ground again with Yougov:

40-40-11

followed by a

40-38-11

I'd say Labour will definitely be near to a double digit lead before Summer starts though.

[Insula Dei]

Angus Reid/Political Betting
40 (+3)
35 (nc)
13 (-2)

YouGov/The Sun
41 (+1)
38 (-2)
11 (+1)

So, the day has come that Angus Reid is more pleasant to read than Yougov.

[Insula Dei]

Those libdem numbers are pretty damning.

[Insula Dei]

Also the Lib Dems often do creep back down between elections

When Joe Public forget that they even exist. Hardly an excuse now...

Gotta feel sorry for the Tories though. If they had a majority, they wouldn't have all this dysfunction and division dragging them down. The Liberals are harming any potential for good government.

If anything being part of a popular coalition would have propelled them ahead of Labour. It really is emblematic for how impopular the coalition is with Libdem voters or other left-leaning voters that the party not only isn't polling above their GE total but have instead lost 2/3rds of that support.

[Insula Dei]

Last two polls with a unified "coalition" ticket:

YouGov: Coalition: 352, Lab: 275, Other: 22
ComRes: Lab: 321, Coalition: 304, Other: 24

That clearly seems to be the way to go for Cameron and especially Clegg.

Conservatives wouldn't actually win that much from a Coalition ticket IIRC, while the Lib Dems obviously would be able to hold on to quite a few seats (not in the least those seats where the conservatives currently are their main challenger). On the other hand a coalition ticket would probably have every single Left-leaning Liberal backbencher calling for Clegg's head. So that means Cameron hasn't got that big of an incentive to go for it, and Clegg's hands are tied by his own party on the issue, making a coalition ticket not very likely IMHO. Maybe one of our British posters can elaborate?

[Insula Dei]

Stop trolling, bro.