Australia General Discussion

[Iosif is a COTHO]

Time to reserrect this thread:

Here's an article in The Australian on The Nationals.

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1. How long till the Nationals lose their last seat? Or will they survive?

2. How long does Brendan Nelson have left as Liberal leader?

[Iosif is a COTHO]

Graphic with the article:

[Iosif is a COTHO]

There's almost certain to be by-elections some time in the next few months in Higgins, Mayo, Lyne and Gippsland. In 2007, they all were won by margins of 11-17 points in 2PP, but with Rudd's honeymoon being what it is, the Coalition could lose all four of them. If that happened the House composition would be Labor 87, Liberal 53, Nationals 8.

[Iosif is a COTHO]

New Newspoll (brackets compared with poll from fortnight ago)

if election were held today:

Labor: 47 (-4)
Coalition: 35 (+4)
Greens: 11 (+1)

2PP: Labor 59 (-4), Coalition 41 (+4)

Preferred PM:

Rudd: 70 (-3)
Nelson: 10 (+3)


7% of Labor voters said they'd be more likely to vote for a merged Liberal/National party, 4% of Liberal voters said they'd be less likely to vote for it.


Poll MoE: 3%

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23393201-2702,00.html



Honeymoon starting to wear off? I guess they could hardly keep those numbers up.

[Iosif is a COTHO]

New Newspoll results: It's still 59-41 to Labor on 2PP, same as it was three weeks ago.

 The Preferred PM:

Rudd: 73% (+3)
Nelson: 9% (-1)

Oh dear. getting quite embarrasing for the Libs now. This is despite a fair bit of negative coverage for Rudd recently.

http://www.newspoll.com.au/image_uploads/0402%20Fed%208-4-08.pdf

[Iosif is a COTHO]

This is one of the hilarious articles I've read recently in the increasingly shrill anti-Rudd The Australian:

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23801059-601,00.html

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you hear that!

He's slumped from 70% approval to 66% approval!! He must resign now!

And i love it how they bury down the article that the 2PP poll results are unchanged at 57 Labor, 43 Coalition. This really is a serious crisis for Labor alright.